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Potential Impacts of Climate Change on WaterResources in the Kunhar River Basin, Pakistan

Submitted To:

Dr. Khurram Shahzad Munawar Submitted By:

Shakeel Ahmad Khan (14003140007)

Program: MS (Chemistry) 4th

Department of Chemistry, University of Management and Technology Lahore

Mahmood, R., Jia, S. and Babel, M. S., MDPI (water), 8 (2016) 1-24.

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Pakistan and Climate change Impact of Climate ChangeAim of the StudyResearch Methodology

a. Area of Study

b. Simulation Software

c. Scheme for the Synthesis of Formazans

d. Instrument UsedResult and DiscussionConclusion and Future AspectsReferences

List of Contents

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Pakistan and Climate change:Like all other countries in the world , Pakistan is also under threat in response to climate change. 1996 -5000 m3 to 2006-1100 m3 [1].

There are following challenges that are prevailed in Pakistan in response to climate change [2,3].

Water Challenge Food Security Events Hazards Ecosystem

Introduction

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Evaporation Saltwater Intrusion Higher sea level

Reduction in Stream Flow Ecological Communities

Impact of Climate Change on Water resources in Pakistan

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To develop the HEC-HMS, hydrological

model, in the mountainous Kunhar River

basin which is greatly influenced by winter

snowfall [2].

To assess the possible impacts of climate

change on the water resources of the Kunhar

River basin, located in Pakistan, under A2

and B2 scenarios of HadCM3 [2].

Aim of this Study

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Area of Study:Kunhar River basin is located in the northern side of Pakistan.

Research Methodology

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Simulation Software:Hydrological Modeling system (HEC-HMS) employed for the study of mainstream flow from 1961, 1990-2080.

Research Methodology

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Projected Changes in Mean Stream flow

Result and Discussion

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Result and Discussion

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Percent future changes in low, median, and high flows with respect to the baseline (1961–1990)

Temporal Shifts in Peak Flows

Result and Discussion

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High level Increase in Stream flow

and flood

Decreases Stream

flow and flood

Medium level Increase

Medium level Increase

On the whole, the Kunhar basin due to the projected increase in high flow and decrease in low flow will face

More Floods Droughts

Greater temporal and Magnitudinal variations

in peak in the future.

Conclusion

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1. Mahmood, R.; Babel, M.S. Evaluation of sdsm developed by annual and monthly sub-models for downscaling temperature and precipitation in the jhelum basin, pakistan and india. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 2013, 113, 27–44.

2. Chu, J.; Xia, J.; Xu, C.Y.; Singh, V. Statistical downscaling of daily mean temperature, pan evaporation and precipitation for climate change scenarios in haihe river, China. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 2010, 99, 149–161.

3. Khattak, M.S.; Babel, M.S.; Sharif, M. Hydro-meteorological trends in the upper indus river basin in Pakistan. Clim. Res. 2011, 46, 103–119.

5. Jordan, Y.C.; Ghulam, A.; Chu,M.L. Assessing the impacts of future urban development patterns and climate changes on total suspended sediment loading in surface waters using geoinformatics. J. Environ. Inform. 2014, 24, 65–79.

References

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