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Action for 2030July 9, 2015
Hiroshi KuniyoshiExecutive Director
Chief of Energy and Environment Headquarters
New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization
1. Japan’s Energy Outlook
1
Source: METI (2015)
Heat andothers75%
Electricity25%
Energy Demand
Economic growth
1.7% per year
Heat andothers72%
Electricity28%
50.3 million kl reduction in energy consumption
(13% reduction from 2013)
FY2013 FY2030 FY2030
Oil30%
LPG 3%
Coal30%
Natural gas18%
Nuclear10%–11%
Renewables
13%–14%
489 million kl
Self-sufficiency
rate
24.3%
Primary Energy Supply
22000–2010 (average) FY2030
Nuclear 27%
Renewables11%
Oil 12%
Coal 24%
LNG 27%
Oil 3%
Coal 26%
LNG 27%
Nuclear 20%–22%
Renewables22%–24%
(Total power generation capacity)
About 1,065 billion kWh
Structure of Power ResourcesGeothermal1.0%–1.1%
Biomass 3.7%–4.6%
Solar 7%
Hydropower8.8%–9.2%
Wind 1.7%
Source: METI (2015)1. Japan’s Energy Outlook
3
Midterm
20502030
20502030
Diffusion of
Existing
Technologies
Diffusion of
Innovative
Technologies
Long term
Geothermal
Nuclear
High-efficiency Coal-fired Power Plant
Biomass
Offshore Wind Power
CCS
High-spec Devices
Transportation SystemHeat Pump
Cogeneration
ZEB / ZEH
Insulation Tech.
Rechargeable Battery
Methane Reduction Vegetation
Global Mitigation Climate Change Forecasting
Superconducting Cable
Marine Energy
New Steel Manufacturing System
Nuclear Fusion
Space Solar
Solar Energy
Solar Heat
Artificial Photosynthesis
20202040
50% global GHG
reduction
Fuel Cell
Hydrogen Energy
New-generation Vehicle
HEMS/BEMS/CEMS
Power Interchanging System
CFRP
Process Improvement
1. Japan’s Energy Outlook Source: Council for Science, Technology and Innovation(2013)
Energy Conservation (\29 bn.)
•HEMS/BEMS/CEMS•Superconductingcable•Heat pumps•ZEB/ZEH
Rechargeable Batteries (\23 bn.)
•High-efficiencystorage system
Discovery of Technology Seeds
National Projects Practical Application Promotion
Others (\11 bn.)
¥363.2 bn. ¥4 bn. ¥20.5 bn.
New Energy(¥119.3 bn.)
• Solar power•Wind power•Fuel cells & hydrogen•Biomass•Geothermal power•Marine energy
International Projects (\99.3 bn.)
CCT, Environment, and Resource Conservation
(\24 bn.)•Methane reduction •New steelmanufacturing system
NEDO: Budget for FY2013–FY2015 ¥393.1 billion
Electronics, IT, Materials, and Nanotechnology
(\69.2 bn.) •Carbon fiber reinforced
plastic (CFRP)•Innovative devices
4
Source: NEDO2. NEDO’s Role and Achievements
5
1980
20102005
2000
2015
High-efficiency
industrial furnace
Blue LED
Solar panels
SKYACTIVE-D
(Mazda)EcoCute
Fuel cell vehicle
(FCV)
ENE-FARM
IGCC
Source: NEDO2. NEDO’s Role and Achievements
Photovoltaic power generation
2030202002013 2015 2025
Pow
er g
ener
atio
n c
ost
Equivalent to commercial electricity price in Japan
Reduction of power generation cost through contribution of NEDO projects
Equivalent to conventional power generation cost in Japan
Source: NEDO3. Activities of NEDO (Solar)
\14/kWh
\7/kWh
6
- From on-shore to off-shore
- Trend of further increase in scale
Rotor diameter (m)
Year of operationCapacity (MW)
Source: NEDO3. Activities of NEDO (Wind)
7
8
Dissemination Scenario for FCVs and Charging Stations
Ch
argi
ng
Stat
ion
FCV
Phase 1
Technology Demonstration
Phase 2
Technology and Market Demonstration
Phase 3
Early Commercialization
Start Expansion
Phase 4
Full Commercialization(Profitable Business)
Year
FY2015
Start selling FCVs to general public
FY2025
Increase FCVs and stations
based on profitable business
2010 2011 2015 2016 2025 2026
3. Activities of NEDO (Hydrogen Energy) Source: NEDO (2015)
9
石炭ガス化燃料電池
複合発電 (IGFC)
超々臨界圧石炭火力
発電( USC )
A -IGFC
65%
55%
先進的超々臨界圧石炭
火力発電 (A -USC)700℃級
46%
750℃ 級
48%
A -IGCC
57%
1500 ℃級 GT
46~ 48%
1700 ℃ 級GT
50%
石炭ガス化複合発電
( IGCC )
600 ℃級
42%
35
45
50
55
60
65
70
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050Year
IGFC
IGCC
Tra
nsm
issio
n E
nd E
ffic
ien
cy
[%]
(with
ou
t C
O2
Captu
re)
(Hig
her
Heatin
g V
alu
e)
USC40
EAGLE
OCG
Entrained flow steam gasification
Energy saving oxygen production
Establishment of technology
3. Activities of NEDO (CCT) Source: NEDO
10
Energy Conservation Target in 2030:
50.3 million kl reduction (crude oil equivalent)
Fro
m E
ne
rgy
Sup
ply
to
En
erg
y D
eman
d Energy Conversion and Supply
Crossover Fields
Industry Household & Business Transportation
• High-efficiency coal-fired power plant
•Cogeneration/Heat utilization system
• Next-generation cars (e.g. FCVs)
• Smart transportation system
•Next-generation energy management system
• Next-generation heat pump system
•ZEB/ZEH
• Energy saving electronic devices
• System improvement for manufacturing
3. Activities of NEDO (Energy Conservation) Source: NEDO
11Source: NEDO(2011)
Lyon (France)Smart city applications for
a redeveloped urban area
Malaga (Spain)Navigate EV drivers to
charging stations
efficiently considering
power system and
traffic congestion
Java (Indonesia)Supplying reliable quality
electricity to industrial parks
Maui (USA)Maximizing use of
renewable energy by
managing EV charging
New Mexico (USA)Energy management for
power systems with
large-scale PV systems
Manchester (U.K.)Energy switching of heat
consumption of households
and aggregate energy
storage capability
NEDO’s Overseas Smart Community Projects
3. Activities of NEDO (Smart Community) Source: NEDO
Development targets for stationary use batteries
200
150
100
50
0 5 10 15 20
Surp
lus
po
wer
sto
rage
co
st(t
ho
usa
nd
ye
n/k
Wh
)
Surplus power storage
Load frequency control
2020sCost: \70,000/kWLife span: 20 yearsEfficiency: 80%
150
100
250
200
Load
fre
qu
en
cy c
on
tro
l co
st
(th
ou
san
d y
en
/kW
)
2020sCost: \20,000/kWhLife span: 20 yearsEfficiency: 80%
50
Present
Life span (years)
Target
Target
Ni-MH
Ni-MH
Li-ion
Li-ion
Lead-acid
3. Activities of NEDO (Energy Storage) Source: NEDO
12
The Model Project for Coke Dry Quenching
Partner Country People’s Republic of China
ImplementationPeriod
1997–2000
Project Site Shougang (Group) Corporation
Entrusted Company
Nippon Steel Corporation
CO2 Reduction 125,000 tons
The Model Project for Cement Plant Waste Heat Recovery Power Generation
Partner Country People’s Republic of China
ImplementationPeriod
1995–1997
Project Site Ningguo Cement Plant, Ningguo
Entrusted Company
Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd.
CO2 Reduction 62,000 tons
13
4. Importance of Diffusion Source: NEDO
14
▪ Innovation is a key to solving energy and
environmental issues.
▪ Technology is nothing if it is not used. We must
transfer leading technologies from one country to
another through international cooperation.
▪ Transfer of existing leading technologies as well
as innovative technologies can contribute a lot to
solving the problems.
5. Conclusion
Thank you
for your attention.