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CCAFS – MOT: A decision support tool for geographic op;misa;on of agricultural mi;ga;on op;ons (ongoing work) Dali Nayak, Jon Hillier, Diana Feliciano & Sylvia VeJer University of Aberdeen Rome 12.10.2014

Feliciano Tool for geographic optimization mitigation options Nov 12 2014

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Presentation at workshop: Reducing the costs of GHG estimates in agriculture to inform low emissions development November 10-12, 2014 Sponsored by the CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO)

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Page 1: Feliciano Tool for geographic optimization mitigation options Nov 12 2014

CCAFS  –  MOT:  A  decision  support  tool  for  geographic  op;misa;on  of  agricultural  mi;ga;on  op;ons  

(ongoing  work)  Dali  Nayak,  Jon  Hillier,  Diana  Feliciano  

&  Sylvia  VeJer  University  of  Aberdeen  

Rome  12.10.2014  

Page 2: Feliciano Tool for geographic optimization mitigation options Nov 12 2014

   

 

Low  emissions  agriculture:  Suppor3ng  agricultural  development  that  GHG  emissions    or  sequesters  carbon.      

Page 3: Feliciano Tool for geographic optimization mitigation options Nov 12 2014

What  it  does  -­‐  Es3mate  GHG  emissions  for  different  land  use  systems  according  to  management  types;  

-­‐  Rank  the  most  effec3ve  mi3ga3on  op3ons;  -­‐  Es3mate  the  mi3ga3on  poten3al  of  different  op3ons.  

 What  it  does  not  do    

-­‐  Es3mate  life  cycle  assessment  of  GHG  emissions;  -­‐  Scale  emissions  up  to  total  area,  total  livestock;  -­‐  Es3mate  GHG  emissions  in  different  microclimates;  -­‐  ….    

Page 4: Feliciano Tool for geographic optimization mitigation options Nov 12 2014

Main  objec3ve  of    CCAFS-­‐MOT    -­‐  User  friendly  -­‐  LiJle  ;me  required  -­‐  It  widely  used  -­‐  Quick  user  vs  expert  user  -­‐  General  overview  of  key  emission  sources  

-­‐  Tool  to  help  providing  advice  for  policy  makers    

-­‐  Accommodates  regional  differences  

     

Page 5: Feliciano Tool for geographic optimization mitigation options Nov 12 2014

GHG  emissions:  main  input  variables  are  flexible  

•  Region,  climate,  soil  characteris;cs    •  Ecosystem:  upland  (34  crops  +  other),  rice,  grassland  

•  Current  management  prac;ces:  user  can  choose  which  prac3ces  they  are  using  (e.g.  fer3liser  applica3on  rate,  3llage  prac3ces).  

 

 

Page 6: Feliciano Tool for geographic optimization mitigation options Nov 12 2014

Mi;ga;on  op;ons  and  poten;al    

Page 7: Feliciano Tool for geographic optimization mitigation options Nov 12 2014

Empirical  models  to  es;mates  GHG  emissions  

Land  use   Parameters   Empirical  models  

Rice    

Mineral  fer3liser  applica3on  

Yan  et  al.  (2005)  Water  regime  Compost  applica3on  Manure  applica3on  

Upland  crops  and  grassland    

Organic  fer3liser  applica3on  

Stehfest  and  Bouwman  (2006)  

Mineral  fer3liser  applica3on  

Stehfest  and  Bouwman  (2006)  

Organic  amendments   Smith  et  al.  (1997)  

Mineral  fer3liser  produc3on  

China  -­‐  Zhang  et  al.  (2013)  Europe  -­‐    Brentrup  &  Palliere  (2014)  World  -­‐  IFA  (2009)  

Livestock  systems    Enteric  fermenta3on  

Herrero  et  al.  2013  Manure  management  

Page 8: Feliciano Tool for geographic optimization mitigation options Nov 12 2014

Mi3ga3on  prac3ces    •  Mi;ga;on  prac;ces:  12  prac;ces  +  agroforestry  (3  

systems  included).  -­‐      Balanced  mineral  nitrogen  (N)  applica3on  -­‐  Nitrifica3on  inhibitor/Polymer-­‐coated  fer3liser  -­‐  Timing  of  mineral  nitrogen  applica3on  -­‐  Best  fer3liser  produc3on  technology  (Europe)  -­‐  Reduced  3llage/No  3llage  -­‐  Straw  addi3on/Residue  incorpora3on    -­‐  Cover  crops  -­‐  Manure  addi3on    -­‐  Compost  applica3on    -­‐  Agroforestry    

 

Page 9: Feliciano Tool for geographic optimization mitigation options Nov 12 2014

Brentrup  &  Palliere  (2010)  

•  Nitrogen Use Efficiency (NUE)= Kg N removed with harvest / Kg of mineral fertilizer N applied * 100.  

85%  

Page 10: Feliciano Tool for geographic optimization mitigation options Nov 12 2014

 How  does  it  look  like?  

     

Page 11: Feliciano Tool for geographic optimization mitigation options Nov 12 2014

Ques;ons/feedback  

•  Are  you  familiar  with  the  mi3ga3on  op3ons  suggested?  

•  Would  you  like  to  see  more  informa3on  than  what  is  currently  presented?  What  is  missing?  

•  What  is  the  difference  from  other  tools?  •  Other  sugges3ons…  

Page 12: Feliciano Tool for geographic optimization mitigation options Nov 12 2014

Acknowledgements  

•  This  work  was  undertaken  as  part  of  the  CGIAR  Research  Program   on   Climate   Change,   Agriculture   and   Food  Security   (CCAFS),   which   is   a   strategic   partnership   of  CGIAR   and   Future   Earth.   This   research  was   carried   out  with   funding   by   the   European   Union   (EU)   and   with  technical   support   from   the   Interna3onal   Fund   for  Agricultural  Development  (IFAD).  The  views  expressed  in  the   document   cannot   be   taken   to   reflect   the   official  opinions  of  CGIAR,  Future  Earth,  or  donors.  

Page 13: Feliciano Tool for geographic optimization mitigation options Nov 12 2014

     

Many  thanks!!!!