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Where is the NZ property market is heading ? How to ensure Business Success in 2010

Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

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Presentation at the American Chamber of Commerce 21 Sep 2009 session on "How to ensure business success in 2010"

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Page 1: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

Where is the NZ property market is heading ?

How to ensure Business Success in 2010

Page 2: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

Boom or Bust – everyone has an opinion

Page 3: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

Property Prices - rebounding

Page 4: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

Property prices – small declines

Page 5: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

Principles of real estate

Page 6: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

Access to accurate, timely and comprehensive data is

critical

Information is key – but property is not just an investment

Page 7: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Conditional offer 21 Sep

Unconditional offer 16 Oct

Settlement 13 NovListed 27 Aug

Protracted release of property data

Page 8: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

The web has opened up a richer source of data on the dynamics of

the market for property

Page 9: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

TurnoverTurnover ValueValue PacePace DemandDemand SupplySupply

Better informed decisions based on richer information

Sales PriceSales PriceProperty sales

Property sales

ValuationsValuations

Days on the market

Days on the market

InventoryWeeks of

sale

InventoryWeeks of

sale

New listingsNew listings

Website traffic

Website traffic

Lead generation

Lead generation

Asking priceAsking price

Page 10: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

New monthly report

Page 11: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

Property sales – still all time low

Page 12: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

Putting sales into perspective

Page 13: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

Supply – inventory building

Page 14: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

Supply – true inventory more balanced

Page 15: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

Demand – web traffic as a surrogate of consumer confidence

Page 16: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

Demand – Consumer sentiment reflected in web traffic

Page 17: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

Property Prices - no inflated expectations in asking price

Page 18: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

Property Prices – Comparison to UK

Page 19: Where is the NZ Property Market heading?

Sales volumes steady growth back to long term volumes

Rising demand – stifled natural demand & migration / population growth

Constraining demand - continued tight credit criteria- rising interest rates

Restrictive supply - new builds / source of labour

Growing supply – market confidence encourages sellers

Median price : 1 year: 0% - 5% 2 years: 10%

A steady property market