31
1 Mike Lees EA Technology @myelectricave @eatechnology @eatlmikelees ww.myelectricavenue.info

Painel 1 – My Electric Venue

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Slide 1

1Mike LeesEA Technology

@myelectricave@[email protected]

Introduce selfSet out learning from MEAs technical and social workstreamsTotal outputs for this learning: >500 pages published reports; 9 academic papers (so far); 2 things: 1 hurry up, 2 selective: so ask afterwardsAcknowledge: UoM, DMU, SMEs at EA, Riccardo, participantsCaveat: 3.5kW charging, LEAF size cars, participants may not be typical, EV usage has mostly been as 2nd cars1

2

#

2

Innovation Squared: EVs10m, 3 year project to understand the issue and trial a mitigation solution (Esprit)Led by EA Technology, working with SSEPD, Nissan, Northern Powergrid, Zero Carbon Futures, plus many others4.5m funded via Ofgems Low Carbon Networks Fund

Largest network related EV trial in Europe:220x 3.5kW charging Nissan LEAF18month lease dealsLocally clusteredControlled at peak timesDatasets analysedReal people, real cars, real networks. REAL LIFE

My Electric Avenue is a c10m project to understand the potential impact that EV charging may have and trial new technology called Esprit to reduce the impact.

The project is funded with in-kind contribution from EA Technology, SSEPD, Fleetdrive Electric, Zero Carbon Futures and Nissan, to the tune of 5m

as well as Ofgems Low Carbon Network Fund, which awarded the project 4.5m

3

4

Technical trialMinimum of 100 customers in (very) local clusters Social trialMinimum of 100 customers across GB to provide comparison

EV stress testing for future networks

Esprit as you can see here, controls charging by a monitor at the substation and an Intelligent Control Box at the customers home. When the network exceeds a threshold, the monitor sends a signal to the ICB, ICB receives the message it switches off the charger. When the network drops below the threshold the monitor sends signals to the ICB again and charging returns to normal.

So to trial a new technology which manages EV charging, you need people to test this technology this means customers, or EV drivers to test Esprit and give feedback

We needed to recruit customers to two trials:1st:Technical trials: we needed a minimum of 100 customers in very local areas basically neighbours on the same street - to test a new technology, monitoring and controlling EV charging in their home and workplace. These had to be in the DNO licence areas in the North East, or South. In return or testing a technology which took control of charging out of their hands, participants had a very attractive lease deal (100 a month!).

2nd: Social trials: to act as a comparison, these customers are providing EV charging and driving behaviour without the technology.

Click for photos and these are just some of our participants4

Recruiting Participants5

The most difficult part of any public technology trial is recruitmentTo gain the funding we had to form at least 10 clusters of 10 peopleEach cluster on the same LV feederVirtually everyone not associated with the project thought that we would fail and some working on th project thought so too.Bt we succeededHow?5

How to recruit the public?6

On track to deliver all clusters within / ahead of timescalesStrength and commitment of all partners

Partnership and third party delivery of a LCN Fund projectNew way of working for Ofgem and the DNOsNot without its challenges for an SME!But we are deliveringPlay to your strengths, dont be afraid to partner Seek win-win in every partnering opportunity

To catch a fish, you need to think like a fish Were all customers Whats in it for meEVs are possibly different (they [more] sexy [than a HP]), but the price needs to be right. Have a plan, test it with others

Great marketing and PRYou need to get your message to the people who can make it happenSeek more partners to get your message heardRepeat, repeat, repeat

Community-led customer engagementHugely effective personal touch through partners and local cluster championsCluster establishment is exceeding expectationsBut it takes a lot of effort to manage, respond and manage

6

Strategic customer engagement

Customer Engagement planGreat hook Nissan LEAFStrategic marketing and PRWebsiteSocial mediaCommunity-led customer engagementCluster ChampionsRoad shows / EV test drivesVideos

7

We achieved our clusters by taking a strategic approach to customer engagement.

The customer engagement journey began in mid March 2013, when the Customer Engagement Plan was signed off by Ofgem.

Initial engagement through a variety ofMarketing and PR to engage and signpostCoverage in over 40 online media since launch event on 3 JuneFurther coverage in around 80 online media since EV test drive event at Drayson Racing Technologies in JulyVarious radio interviews including BBC Radio 5 Live!BBC keen to cover first cluster and follow the journey

Website main engagement and recruitment tool website up and running in 6 weeks post code checker, to check if interested people were in the right network areas.Launch event on 3rd June..the pr that resulted from this event attracted many passionate people main source of potential cluster championsSent further info, checked if had off street parking, sent them marketing material to help them targeted and focused media, including social media.Road shows and EV test drives more detail to followVideos - to explain the project and demonstrate the community-led customer engagement approach through EV test drive films

Roadshows in portsmuth and bracknel local councilers wanted to make a cluster happen . This top down approach didnt work.

Local people engender trust.7

8As at 10 November 13

Unique visitors: 9,9998

Cluster validation process9

A number of eligibility criteria that each potential; person goes through at the very start off-road parking needed for example.

Once 10 DOIs received checks and surveys commence.

Network assessment, on-site survey, property survey (CPs), credit checks.

Evidence collated into a report for Ofgem and submitted.9

Location: South ShieldsNetwork Type: UrbanLocal DNO (and licence area): Northern Powergrid - NEDLCluster size: 1 x 10Total households on the LV feeder: 54Case study South Shields10

Cluster ZONEThe area shaded green denotes the target area for the LV feeder in South Shields

EngagementCluster championLV network diagramLocal recruitment drive by championEV test drive eventDeclaration of Intent forms sent, signed and returned (10 customers)Cluster checks and surveysCompletion of all critical checks by 08/10/2013Cluster evidence report submitted to Ofgem on 14/10/2013

10

Participant demographics

Social trial 120 customersTechnical trial100 customersMaleFemale

Here you can see where our Technical trial clusters are located these are the participants who have signed up as a group to have their EV charging controlled and are shown here by the blue circles on the map. Each blue circle represents a cluster.

You can also see where our social trial participants are located these participants are not having their charging controlled and are acting as a comparison or control group they are shown here by the light green diamond shapes on the map.

The Male/female split is roughly about even with a slight majority of men taking part in the Technical trials, a slightly larger majority is shown in the Social trials.Across both trials, roughly 40% are in their 40s, the range of ages tends to span from 30s up to retirement ageThe typical 2.4 family unit is common across both trials; almost half of the Technical trials live in a family of 4.

11

Network Impact of Electric Vehicles12

In this section, Ill talk a little bit about the impact of the trial like this on on EV uptake12

13Time to chargeCharging happens during peak demand hours if unmanaged: Connection or plug in time13

Probability distribution curveAll participants, 18mth dataset

15 min resolution of probability of someone plugging in. 96 chances to plug in 2-3% is actually twice than what youd expect to see for uniform distribution.

The residential EV charging pattern is very similar, irrespective of whether the EV user is part of the technical trial managed charging or in the social trial non-managed chargingResidential EV charging behaviour tends to follow the UK residential load curve, i.e., peaks occur around 8:00 and 18:00 hours.A number of non-managed EVs are connected at 23:30 possibly due to time of use tariff.

13

14Depending on number of EVsSDRC 9.8 - An assessment of how much headroom an Esprit type solution would yield

#

University of Manchester have taken all of the monitored data from the physical trials of the Esprit technology and have modelled the impact of installation of many electric vehicles on a feeder than was possible in the trialsStochastic modelling randomised the charge patterns and demands

Curve shows how the peak demand varies with number of vehicles.Note this is peak load per connectionIt follows the normal shape of this kind of curve for other loads: More variation at low numbers i.e. each load on or off has material impact compared to averageSmaller variation at high numbers i.e. each load on or off is a small proportion of the large number of connections14

Potentially doubling the load15

EV demand based on 1000 EVs (3.5kW charging) impact is larger for fewer customers

Lets go back to our normal residential demand load profile which looks like this.

The EV load profile weve created using CARWINGS data, looks like this (click)

This assumes that all households have one EV.

If you take the residential demand and then add the EV demand on top of it, the electricity demand at peak times doubles

As the network is designed with a particular level of demand in mind, doubling this could not only affect the local electricity networks, but also the High Voltage network potentially all equipment used to supply electricity, which are limited to certain temperatures could be overloaded as a result of the extra demand.

Remember, this is based on data from CARWINGs from our Nissan LEAF, charging at 3.5kW imagine what the impact might be if charging at 7kW.15

16Susceptible NetworksRepresentative Feeder 7:Long feederHigh numbers of residential customersCu 0.25in2 cableFirst exceedance of thermal rating at 50% EV penetrationSDRC 9.8 - An assessment of how much headroom an Esprit type solution would yield

#

We can still ask so what? Networks with EVs will be hotter and will have reduced voltages, that in itself isnt a problem. We need to consider how many networks will be moved outside of acceptable ranges. Firstly, heat:Each network has an associated capacity, due to the size of the cable, transformer installed and the number (And type) of customer.MEA considered a range of representative networks, some of which would not be affected by the EV results Ive just shown. Some will:Feeder LVNS 7 is one representative feeder, its a high number, long length feeder with significant customer numbers, it represents somewhere in the region of 3% of the LV feeders in one DNO license area (16

17Susceptible Networks Across GBNetwork TypeProportion of GB Feeders RepresentedNumber of Esprit Deployments for Network TypeProportion of the network type with requiring interventionLV3 Town centre3%28,77890%LV8 Terraced street35%213,94563%LV6 Suburban street ( 3 4 bed semi detached or detached houses)13%42,96835%LV1 Central Business District2%2,76217%LV14 Meshed Town centre1%1,98517%LV17 Meshed Suburban street ( 3 4 bed semi detached or detached houses)3%3,27613%LV2 Dense urban (apartments etc)5%4,5099%LV7 New build housing estate15%8,9706%LV5 Retail park1%2702%LV16 Meshed Retail park0%131%

#

From Transform, across GB, based on SGF allocation of EVsRural, notably absentClear problems with terraced street (but technology pulling this towards being possible)17

A SOLUTION18

In this section, Ill talk a little bit about the impact of the trial like this on on EV uptake18

Esprit and DNO driven DSR19

20SDRC 9.7.1 - An Assessment of Esprit IntegrationEsprit and DNO driven DSRVehicle AcceptanceThe switching of EV charging on and off will damage the vehicle battery lifeThe switching of EV charging will affect relay life in the chargerSwitching of demand (or the threat of) will affect EV uptake

The switching of EV charging on and off will damage the vehicle battery lifeThe cars are fitted with regenerative braking, they do this all the timeIt could be an issue if the solution meant that vehicles never received a full charge (as this affects battery life)However, cell balancing (in the last 30mins) needs consideration

The switching of EV charging will affect relay life in the chargerUnlikely if the cars arent being switched on a very regular basisYou'd have to do a lot of switching on and off to cause them to fail.

Switching of demand (or the threat of) will affect EV uptakeYes it might. The market is still fragile. The solution needs to be communicated clearly, and with the right tone

20

21Esprit and DNO driven DSRNetwork AcceptanceThermal headroom benefits of up to 46% at the highest levels of EV uptake using Esprit solutionVoltage headroom equivalent to an additional 10% of customers connecting EV chargers.

Furthermore, the number of non-compliant customers was reduced significantly, by up to 70% at the highest EV uptake considered.

Delivery of greater voltage headroom is feasible but would require a sophisticated control system responding to customer voltage measurements.

21

22Esprit and DNO driven DSRCustomer AcceptanceSDRC 9.6: An assessment of the public acceptance of Demand Side Response of EV charging using EspritOur customers cited they were comfortable:..because they only did short journeys or charged for 10 to 12 hours overnight..they could work around any lack of charge by charging elsewhere.. they could always use another vehicle if necessary

Only 13 of the 61 Domestic Cluster participants who attended interviews or focus groups noticed curtailment..

..and all but one was unaffected by it

Why our customers cited they were comfortable:..because they only did short journeys or charged for 10 to 12 hours overnight..they could work around any lack of charge by charging elsewhere.. they could always use another vehicle if necessary

22

Potential Benefits for the Network23

Sharing our Learningwww.myelectricavenue.info

Learning reportsProject templatesPresentationsDownloadable datasets

Coming soon: Final (pretty) versions of learning reports24

25Susceptible Networks Across GBNetwork TypeProportion of GB Feeders RepresentedNumber of Esprit Deployments for Network TypeProportion of the network type with requiring interventionLV3 Town centre3%28,77890%LV8 Terraced street35%213,94563%LV6 Suburban street ( 3 4 bed semi detached or detached houses)13%42,96835%LV1 Central Business District2%2,76217%LV14 Meshed Town centre1%1,98517%LV17 Meshed Suburban street ( 3 4 bed semi detached or detached houses)3%3,27613%LV2 Dense urban (apartments etc)5%4,5099%LV7 New build housing estate15%8,9706%LV5 Retail park1%2702%LV16 Meshed Retail park0%131%

UK Networks saving from Esprit 2.2Bn Period 2015 to 2050Figures from Transform Model

#

From Transform, across GB, based on SGF allocation of EVsRural, notably absentClear problems with terraced street (but technology pulling this towards being possible)25

Overview of the Transform ModelThe Transform Model is a representation of the electricity distribution network and describes the impact that future scenarios may have on the planning and operation of networks.26

26

A common framework for dialogue27Calculates costs & benefits to inform decisions

Calculates expenditure required for different scenarios covering rate of technology uptake and type of mitigationMonetises the uncertainty associated with uptake ratesInforms decisions to be ready to respond if the world changesUsed by UK Energy Regulator Ofgem to set revenues in current price control RIIO-ED1http://www.eatechnology.com/products-and-services/create-smarter-grids/transform-model

27

My Electric Avenue: THE LEGACY28

28

Roll out considerations29How to deploy:Deployment at the substationRolled out when issue arisesDNO purchases as cluster formsNeeds to be able to communicate with ALL downstream chargers at this point

Deployment in the chargerEmbed algorithm in chargerbut why would I (as a customer) do this?Incentive payment, orIts required (a Standard), orA hybrid

Esprit (and any other form of DSR like this) consists of two elementsSubstation monitoringSubstation monitoring & controlCharging point (switch or control)Charging point (switch or control)

Needs a standard to encourage roll out of algorithm at charger end (properties)Develop a licencing model with charging point manufacturers

Needs exceptional messaging to the customer to not damage the fragile marketNeeds very close cooperation between Utility sector, EV manufacturers, charging point installers, Government & Regulator(s)

29

30Next Steps Breaking newsManagement of plug-in vehicle uptake on distribution networksNew NIA project registered by SSEPDDesk-based with consultationLed by EA TechnologySupported byAll GB DNOs plus National GridEngagement of OEMs, Charging manufacturers, customer groups and Govt organisations18 month duration

ScopeIndustry agreed material to inform an ENA Engineering Recommendation (or equivalent) available to third parties for supply and manufacture of the home end and the substation end controllers (the Solution). A functional specification describing the system components and operation to allow vendors to produce a compliant Solution.Evidence of UK EV industry acceptance of the Solution, including OEM engagement and clear path to adoption. Customer Messaging Strategy to facilitate customer understanding and buy-in to PIV-network demand response tools to improve customer acceptance of the solution(s).

#

30

31THANK YOUwww.myelectricavenue.info @myelectricave@eatechnology@eatlmikelees

31