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Assessment, Engagement, and Collective Action:
A Toolbox for Climate Adaptation Planning
Lisa Young Julie Curti
Danya Rumore MIT Science Impact Collaborative
New England Climate Adaptation Project
Workshop Agenda • Introductions (5 min)
• Overview of the New England Climate Adaptation Project (10 min) o Project goals and partners o Public polling results
• Scenario Exercise (30 min) o Small group discussions o Debrief session
• Presentation on Adaptation Planning Tools (15 min) o Risk Assessments o Stakeholder Assessments o Role-Play Simulations and Workshops
• Discussion (10 min)
2
Introductions
1. Name 2. State 3. Employer, Job Title 4. How long have you been
involved with climate adaptation planning?
5. What are you hoping to get out of this workshop?
3
Funded by the NERRS Science Collaborative
New England Climate Adaptation P R O J E C T
4
Project Goals: • Assess local climate change risks • Identify key challenges and
opportunities for adaptation
• Test the use of role-play simulations: o As a tool for educating the
public about climate change threats
o For helping communities explore ways of enhancing their climate preparedness
New England Climate Adaptation P R O J E C T
5
How concerned are you about the possible impacts a changing climate might have on
your town?
13%
13%
33%
18%
23%
1 - Not at all concerned
2
3 - Somewhat concerned
4
5 - Very concerned
6 Aggregated responses from Barnstable, MA; Dover, NH; Cranston, RI; and Wells, Maine Public Poll |
How concerned are you about the possible impacts a changing climate might have on
your town?
13%
13%
33%
18%
23%
1 - Not at all concerned
2
3 - Somewhat concerned
4
5 - Very concerned
Most people are somewhat to very concerned about climate
change impacts
7 Aggregated responses from Barnstable, MA; Dover, NH; Cranston, RI; and Wells, Maine Public Poll |
Do you ever think about whether a change in the climate could affect your community?
46%
25%
5%
24% Yes, often
Every once in a while
I have once or twice
No, not really
8 Aggregated responses from Barnstable, MA; Dover, NH; Cranston, RI; and Wells, Maine Public Poll |
Do you ever think about whether a change in the climate could affect your community?
46%
25%
5%
24% Yes, often
Every once in a while
I have once or twice
No, not really
A lot of people are thinking about local climate change risks
9 Aggregated responses from Barnstable, MA; Dover, NH; Cranston, RI; and Wells, Maine Public Poll |
How confident are you that your town will be able to effectively respond to climate-related risks despite uncertainty about what the future
climate will be like?
22%
22%
36%
11%
9% 1 - Not at all confident 2
3 - Somewhat confident 4
5 - Very confident
10 Aggregated responses from Barnstable, MA; Dover, NH; Cranston, RI; and Wells, Maine Public Poll |
How confident are you that your town will be able to effectively respond to climate-related risks despite uncertainty about what the future
climate will be like?
22%
22%
36%
11%
9% 1 - Not at all confident 2
3 - Somewhat confident 4
5 - Very confident
People are not very confident that their town will respond to
climate-related risks
11 Aggregated responses from Barnstable, MA; Dover, NH; Cranston, RI; and Wells, Maine Public Poll |
How significant do you think climate change should/will be in your town’s planning and decision making over the next ten years?
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
1 - Not at all significant
2 Somewhat significant
4 5 - Very significant
Should be
Will Be
12 Aggregated responses from Barnstable, MA; Dover, NH; Cranston, RI; and Wells, Maine Public Poll |
How significant do you think climate change should/will be in your town’s planning and decision making over the next ten years?
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
1 - Not at all significant
2 Somewhat significant
4 5 - Very significant
Should be
Will Be
People would like their town to do something about climate change,
but don’t think it actually will
13 Aggregated responses from Barnstable, MA; Dover, NH; Cranston, RI; and Wells, Maine Public Poll |
If the climate is changing, who do you think should be responsible for preparing for the
possible impacts on your community? Please select up to 3 options (first response shown below)
27%
24% 16%
14%
14%
3% 2% Individuals
The national government
The state government
The City/Town government
Other
Businesses
Neighborhoods
14 Aggregated responses from Barnstable, MA; Dover, NH; Cranston, RI; and Wells, Maine Public Poll |
If the climate is changing, who do you think should be responsible for preparing for the
possible impacts on your community? Please select up to 3 options (first response shown below)
27%
24% 16%
14%
14%
3% 2% Individuals
The national government
The state government
The City/Town government
Other
Businesses
Neighborhoods
People assign more responsibility to individuals and the federal government than to the local
government
15 Aggregated responses from Barnstable, MA; Dover, NH; Cranston, RI; and Wells, Maine Public Poll |
Climate Adaptation Planning Scenario
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5 minutes: read and think 10 minutes: small group discussion
15 minutes: large group debrief
• Group report-outs: What ideas came up? 1. Information and resources needed 2. Who to engage and how to involve them 3. Anticipated challenges and strategies to overcome them
• Did you find anything from this discussion particularly useful or surprising?
• How does the scenario relate to the situation in your town?
• How should your town make adaptation decisions?
Scenario Debrief
17
Climate Adaptation Planning Tools
• Public Polls o What does the general public think about climate change risks and their
town’s role in building resilience?
• Summary Risk Assessment o What are local climate change risks?
• Stakeholder Assessment o What do key stakeholders think about climate change risks and what, if
anything, are they doing on this topic?
• Role-Play Simulations o How can the local context and scientific information be built into an
interactive game?
• Role-Play Workshops o How do people think about climate change and local collective action
differently after playing the game?
All reports and materials available at: necap.mit.edu 18
Summary Risk Assessments
• Local climate projections produced for each town o Precipitation, temperature, sea level
rise, extreme weather events o Low-emissions and high-emissions
scenarios o Short-, medium-, and long-term
projections
• “Downscaled” using local
meteorological data
19
Summary Risk Assessments
20
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Summary Risk Assessments
Stakeholder Assessments • Interviews with 15 to 20
stakeholder representatives o City employees o Residents o Business owners o Civic groups
• Based on these interviews, the report identified: o Key threats o Impacts o Adaptation options o Obstacles to adaptation
22
Role-Play Simulation Workshops
• Games based on the findings from the Stakeholder and Summary Risk Assessments
• Participants given a character
that is different than their everyday role
• Tables of seven players have one hour to reach a consensus about adaptation policy options to recommend
23
Role-Play Simulation Findings
• Concern about local climate change risks increased in three of the four towns
• Sense of local responsibility for preparing for and managing climate change risks increased in three of the four towns
• Confidence in local adaptation action increased in all towns
• Participants’ understanding of other perspectives and appreciation for the need for collective action and stakeholder engagement increased in all towns
24
Discussion
25
Small Group 1 Discussion Notes :
26
27
Small Group 2 Discussion Notes :
28
Small Group 3 Discussion Notes :
• Danya Rumore § [email protected] § Assistant Director, MIT Science Impact
Collaborative § Project Manager and Collaboration
Lead, NECAP § PhD Student, Environmental Policy and
Planning, MIT
• Julie Curti § [email protected] § Research Assistant, NECAP § Master’s Student, City Planning, MIT
• Lisa Young § [email protected] § Research Assistant, NECAP § Master’s Student, City Planning, MIT
29
New England Climate Adaptation P R O J E C T
necap.mit.edu
