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New York’s New York’s NumbersNumbers
Why Taxpayers and Why Taxpayers and Businesses Need to Get Businesses Need to Get
Engaged Now! Engaged Now!
Fiscal RealityFiscal Reality
$2,200,000,000$2,200,000,000Projected shortfall after the Projected shortfall after the
budget was passedbudget was passed
$3,100,000,000$3,100,000,000Projected deficit in JulyProjected deficit in July
$4,100,000,000$4,100,000,000Current projected deficit by Current projected deficit by
Comptroller DiNapoliComptroller DiNapoli
$7,000,000,000$7,000,000,000Federal stimulus $$$ used this Federal stimulus $$$ used this
year to offset spending year to offset spending increasesincreases
$8,000,000,000$8,000,000,000New taxes and fees in the New taxes and fees in the recently enacted budget to recently enacted budget to
offset spendingoffset spending
$11,000,000,000$11,000,000,000Projected budget deficit next yearProjected budget deficit next year
$38,000,000,000$38,000,000,000Projected deficit over the next 3 Projected deficit over the next 3
yearsyears
$149,000,000,000$149,000,000,000Projected state budget for 2012-13Projected state budget for 2012-13
Realistic TrendsRealistic Trends
For a quarter century New York State spending has been growing steadily
New York State Operating Fund Disbursements, New York State Personal Income and U.S. Consumer Price Index , 1984-2009(indexed, 1985 =100)
Sources: State of New York, Office of State Comptroller, United States Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index, All Urban Consumers (CPI – U), United States Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Accounts, State Annual Personal Income
State Funds Disbursements
U.S. CPI
NYS Personal Income
0
100
200
300
400
1985 2009
Avg. Annual Growth 5.4%
Avg. Annual Growth 2.9%
Avg. Annual Growth 4.8%
67% of the budget goes to school aid, 67% of the budget goes to school aid, Medicaid, and employee salaries and benefitsMedicaid, and employee salaries and benefits
New York State Operating Spending by Major Category $78.2 B Fiscal Year 2008-09 Cash Disbursements
Source: New York State Division of Budget, Fiscal Year 2009-10 Financial Plan, First Quarter Update, July 30, 2009
Medicaid ($12.6B)
=16%
School Aid ($25.1B)
=32%
Debt Service ($4.5B)
Other ($2.1B)
Contracts, Supplies and Other Non-
Personal Services ($4.9B)
Local Aid for Health, Mental Health,
Social Services, Higher Education
and Transportation($14.
1B)
State Employee Salaries, Wages
and Benefits ($14.7B)
=19%
Personal Income, Sales / Use, and Business Personal Income, Sales / Use, and Business Income Taxes equal 75% of the baseIncome Taxes equal 75% of the base
State Operating Revenues by Major Category $75.2B Fiscal Year 2008-09 Cash Receipts
Source: New York State Division of Budget, Fiscal Year 2009-10 Financial Plan, First Quarter Update, July 30, 2009
New York State Division of Budget, Fiscal Year 2009-10 Financial Plan, First Quarter Update, July 30, 2009
Misc. Receipts ($16.9B)
Other Taxes ($1.6B)
Business Taxes
($7.0B)=9%
User Taxes and Fees ($12.8B)
=17%
Personal Income Tax
($36.8B)=49%
Big taxes are shrinking – Down by 23% from Big taxes are shrinking – Down by 23% from last year and 8% from the original enacted last year and 8% from the original enacted
budget projection for this yearbudget projection for this year
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
$14,000
$16,000
$18,000
Actual 2008-09 Budget 2009-10 Actual 2009-10
$ m
illi
on
s
UserTaxes
BusinessTaxes
PersonalIncomeTax
General Fund Tax Collections for Three Major Taxes* April to August - Last Year Compared to this Year
Down 23%
Source: New York State Comptroller and New York State Division of Budget
Notes:*Personal Income Tax adjusted for State-City offset payments
$17.0B
$13.1B
How Can We Reverse the Trend?How Can We Reverse the Trend?
Get Involved and Fight Get Involved and Fight Back!Back!
Keys to Success: Changing the Keys to Success: Changing the GameGame
Created statewide agreement on principlesCreated statewide agreement on principles Town Hall meetingsTown Hall meetings Social media outreach/fundraising planSocial media outreach/fundraising plan
Twitter Tweet on Unshackle Twitter Tweet on Unshackle UpstateUpstate
Tweet posted @9:45 AM, August 11th
204 followers
161 followers
66followers
546followers
136followers
38 followers
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134followers
Sampling of Re-tweets (forwarding) of UnshackleNY tweet. Eight people broadcasted this message to a total of 1,380 of their followers.
Keys to Success: Changing the Keys to Success: Changing the Game, con’t.Game, con’t.
Political strategyPolitical strategy Educate taxpayersEducate taxpayers
PDF on budget votePDF on budget vote Report cardsReport cards Candidate schoolCandidate school GOTVGOTV Targeted racesTargeted races
Paid media for candidatesPaid media for candidates Taxpayers do what Labor doesTaxpayers do what Labor does
Our Request of YouOur Request of You Get engagedGet engaged
Stop watching from the sidelinesStop watching from the sidelines Call to ActionCall to Action
Help gather support by spreading our messageHelp gather support by spreading our message Ask your Legislator what they are doing to cut Ask your Legislator what they are doing to cut
excessive costs in NYS?excessive costs in NYS? Talk up solutions, not just problemsTalk up solutions, not just problems Donate to Unshackle UpstateDonate to Unshackle Upstate
Through the websiteThrough the website Visit Visit www.UnshackleUpstate.comwww.UnshackleUpstate.com