National planning law in brief fyi 2015 2016

National Planning Law

2015-2016Fiscal year

Wunna Htun Governance Coordinator

ActionAid Myanmar

Three chapters

• Chapter (1) Title and Definition• Chapter (2)Economic Development Objectives• Chapter (3) General Provisions

• This law shall be called as National Planning Law for FYI 2015-2016

• This law is enacted in 1st April 2015.• This law is the last annual planning law for first five

year short term plan from 2011-2012 to 2015-2016 FYI years.

General Definition

• National Plan: Set of plans of action of Union Government for socio-economic development of the country. It could be sectorally or regionally or country as a whole.

• Which includes 20 years long term plan, 5 years short term plans and annual plan which is drawn upon every financial year.

• This plan covers sectoral plans, Human resource development plans, project plans, industrial zones, SEZ and Urban plans, agricultural development plan, investment development plans, rural development plans, boarder areas development plans.

For calculation of GDP Growth

• Basic Year Price Index- - Price index of commodities and services of

2010-2011 fiscal year.

• Yearly Price Index- - Price index of commodities and services

which has occurred according to every fiscal year.

Chapter (2)

• Real GDP projection (targeted) • - By taking as a basic of 2010-2011, real GDP

growth has been targeted to project into 9.1 %.

Sectoral GDP Growth ( targeted)( 14 sectors in total)

Sr No Sector Targeted % of growth 2014-2015

Targeted % of growth 2015-2016

1 Agricultural Sector 2.7 % 2.3%

2 Fishery and livestock 8.2 % 8.0%

3 Forestry - 29.4 % ( will be decreased as government is planning to stop raw timber export starting from 2014-2015 fiscal year)

0.2 %

4 Energy 13.4 % 2.6%

5 Mining 8.8 % 9.5%

6 Industry 9.5 % 10.1%

7 Electricity 11.6 % 9.1%

8 Construction 14.1 % 11.0%

9 Transportation 68.9 % 9.1%

Cont:10 Communication 68.9 % 46.9%

11 Financial 23.9 % 26.5%

12 Social and management

21.2 % 8.3%

13 Renting and other services

11.7 % 12.1%

14 Trade 5.4 % 6.7%

GDP growth of Regions and states (targeted) Sr N State and Regions % in growth of

2014-2015% in growth of 2015-2016

1 Kachin 2.0 5.5

2 Kayah 10.1 9.3

3 Kayin 15.4 11.0

4 Chin 26.4 4.9

5 Sagaing 9.6 10.1

6 Tanintharyi 9.4 10.4

7 Bago 8.7 10.7

8 Magway 8.2 9.4

9 Mandalay 12.4 10.1

10 Mon 10.4 8.7

11 Rakhine 5.7 7.6

12 Yangon 9.3 12.1

13 Shan 5.0 4.5

14 Ayeyarwaddy 6.2 4.9

15 Nay Pyi Taw Union Council area 28.2 8.2

% of contribution from different sectors ( 100%)

Agriculutre 28.6 % 27.5%

Industry 35.0 % 35.4%

Service 36.4% 37.1%

Total 100 % 100 %

• Maximum targeted GDP growth area is Yangon region with targeted growth of 12.1% . And

• Minimum targeted GDP growth area is Chin state with targeted growth of 4.5 %.

• Investment Ratio is Public Sector 25.6%, Cooperative sector 0.01 % and Private sector is 74.4%.

• Per Capita GDP is from 281,105 to 1,403,978.

Targeted GDP growth of three main sectors ( Comparison between 2014-2015 and 2015-2016)

Sectors Fiscal year( Agricultural and livestock sector)

2014-2015 fiscal year 2015-2016 fiscal year

% of Contribution to GDP

GDP growth rate


GDP growth rate

Agricultural 30.3 3.9 20.8 3.8

Industry 29.1 10.4 29.3 10.2

Service 40.6 12.4 41.9 12.7

Targeted GDP growth of each sector for 2015- 2016 fiscal year ( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year)

( Agricultural and livestock Sector)

Sub-sector Fiscal year( Agricultural and livestock sector)

Agriculutre and Livestock



GDP growth rate


GDP growth rate


Fishery and livestock

8.2 8.7 8.1 8.0

Forestry 0.2 29.4 0.2 0.2


( Industrial Sector)Sub-sectorIndustry ( Manufacturing)

Fiscal year( Industrial Sector)



GDP growth rate


targeted GDP growth

Energy 0.2 13.4 0.1 2.6

Mining 0.8 8.8 0.8 9.5

Industry (manufacturing)

21.7 9.5 21.9 18.1

Electricity 1.2 11.6 1.2 9.1

Construction 5.2 14.1 5.3 11.8

Total 29.1 10.4 29.3 10.2


( Service Sector)Sub-sector Fiscal year

(Service Sector)

Service 2014-2015 fiscal year 2015-2016 fiscal year


GDP growthrate


GDP growth rate

Transportation 12.3 7.6 12.2 9.1

Tele-com 4.8 68.9 6.5 46.9

Financial 0.2 23.9 0.3 26.5

Social and Management

2.6 21.2 2.5 0.3

Rental and other services

2.3 11.7 2.4 12.1

Trade 10.4 5.4 18.0 6.7

Total 40.6 12.4 41.9 12.7

Targeted GDP growth of regions and states for 2015- 2016 fiscal year ( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year)

Regions and states

Fiscal yearRegions and states



GDP growthrate


targeted GDP growth

Kachin 2.3 2.0 2.2 5.5

Kayah 0.4 10.1 0.4 9.3

Kayin 1.9 15.4 1.9 11.0

Chin 0.4 26.4 0.4 4.9

Sagaing 11.6 9.6 11.7 10.1

Tanintharyi 3.4 9.4 3.5 10.4

Bago 8.6 8.7 8.7 10.7

Magway 9.5 8.2 9.5 9.4

Mandalay 11.4 12.4 11.5 10.1

Targeted GDP growth of regions and statesfor 2014- 2015 fiscal year ( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year)

Regions and states




Acutal GDP growth


targeted GDP growth

Mon 4.3 10.4 4.3 8.7

Rakhine 3.7 5.7 3.6 7.6

Yangon 22.3 9.3 22.8 12.1

Shan 6.8 5.0 6.5 4.5

Ayeyarwaddy 11.0 6.2 10.6 4.9

Naypyitaw 2.4 28.2 2.4 8.2

Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2015- 2016 fiscal year ( Base on basic year price index)

( Production)

Sub-sector Fiscal yearProduction

Production 2014-2015 fiscal year 2015-2016 fiscal year% of Contribution to GDP

Growth Rate % of Contribution to GDP Growth Rate


Fishery 8.2 8.7 8.1 8.0

Forestry 0.2 29.4 0.2 0.2

Energy 0.2 13.4 0.1 2.6

Mining 0.8 8.8 0.8 9.5

Industry 21.7 9.5 21.9 10.1

Electricity 1.2 11.6 1.2 9.1

Construction 5.2 14.1 5.3 10.8

Total 59.4 7.0 58.1 6.9

Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2015- 2016 fiscal year ( Base on basic year price index)

( Service)

Sub-sector Fiscal yearProduction



Growth Rate % of Contribution to GDP Growth Rate

Transpiration 12.3 7.6 12.2 9.1

Tele-communication

4.8 68.9 6.5 46.9

Finance 0.2 23.9 0.3 26.5


2.6 21.2 2.5 8.3


2.3 11.7 2.4 12.1

Total 22.2 19.1 21.9 17.7

Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2015- 2016 fiscal year ( Base on Yearly Price Index)

(Agriculutral Sector)Sub-sector Fiscal year

(Service )

Agriculture 2014-2015 fiscal year 2015-2016 fiscal year

Price % of Contribution to GDP


Changes in contribution to GDP

Agriculture 20.8 19.7 5.0

Fishery and Livestock

7.6 7.6 10.8

Forestry 0.2 0.2 1.1

Total 28.6 27.5 6.6

Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2015- 2016 fiscal year (Base on yearly price changes index)


(Industry - manufacturing)

Industry (Manufacturing)





Energy 6.8 6.4 4.3

Mining 1.1 1.0 2.6

Industry 20.4 21.0 13.6

Electrical power

1.5 1.5 7.6

Construction 5.2 5.5 17.0

Total 35.0 35.4 11.7

Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2015- 2016 fiscal year (Base on yearly price changes index)


(Service Sector)





Transportation 11.4 11.3 10.1

Communication 0.9 1.7 116.5

Finance 0.1 0.2 26.5


2.8 3.0 14.8


2.3 2.4 16.1

Trade 18.9 18.5 9.0

Total 36.4 37.1 12.9

Changes in contribution of GDP growth of states and regions for 2015- 2016 fiscal year (Base on yearly price changes index)

Regions and states






Kachin 2.3 2.2 5.6

Kayah 0.3 0.4 11.1

Kayin 1.7 1.8 13.8

Chin 0.4 0.4 10.7

Sagain 10.9 11.1 12.8

Thanintharyi 5.3 5.1 6.2

Bago 7.8 8.0 13.1

Targeted GDP growth of regions and states for 2014- 2015 fiscal year ( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year)

Regions and states


2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year% of Contribution to GDP

Actual GDP growth


targeted GDP growth

Magway 9.3 9.5 13.2Mandalay 10.3 10.3 10.9Mon 4.0 4.0 10.8Rakhine 4.5 4.7 16.9Yangon 21.1 21.7 13.8Shan 6.3 6.0 6.4

Ayeyarwaddy 13.6 12.9 5.2

Naypyitaw 2.2 1.9 3.3

Investment plan for each sector based on 2015-2016 fiscal year

Sector 2013-2014 fiscal year ( National Planning)

2014-15 fiscal year( National Planning)

State-owned

29.4 25.6

Co-operative

0.01 0.01

Private 70.6 74.4

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National planning law in brief fyi 2015 2016