Invest in Post War Syria

Invest in Post War Syria

By www.profitableinvestingtips.com

http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/

http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/invest-in-post-war-syria

The tide has turned in the grueling Syrian Civil War.




Opposition forces have taken another town in the North.




United States has stated its willingness to provide non-

lethal support for the rebels.




The Syrian Opposition is already receiving arms from the likes of

Saudi Arabia.




Many believe that it is only a matter of time before Bashar

Assad steps down from power and flees the country or is

assassinated.




Once the Assad family is no longer part of the picture negotiations between the

remaining government and rebel forces may be possible.




Baring that scenario, the increasingly well-armed

opposition may simply win the war, much like what happened

in Libya.




Assuming that the war will come to an end in the next year or so, is it possible to profitably

invest in post war Syria?




How does one do fundamental analysis of such a

situation? Here are a few thoughts on how to invest in

post war Syria.



http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/fundamental-analysis


Invest in Post War Syria through Its Historic Trading

Partners




When the war ends in Syria people will need to eat.




Refugees will return.




There will likely be international aid on a large scale.




However, Syria has trading partners.




Turkey, Jordan, Lebanon, and Iraq all share borders with Syria.




Syria has been, to a degree, a client state of Russia.




It remains to be seen how much influence Russia will retain if the Syrian government falls without

a peace agreement.




Local trading partners will likely resume business with their old

business partners in Syria.




Manufacturers, wholesalers, and trucking companies in

Turkey will benefit and will likely investing post war Syria by

beefing up their operations at home or investing directly in

Syria.




The same applies to Iraq, Jordan, and Lebanon.




We previously wrote about Three Good Offshore Investment Ideas

in the Western Hemisphere.



http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/three-good-offshore-investment-ideas

http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/three-good-offshore-investment-ideas


A forth good idea might be to invest in post war Syria.




NASDAQ carries a Turkish ETF that outperformed most others

across the world in 2012.




If peace breaks out on the nation’s borders it could further stimulate the Turkish economy and raise the value of Turkish stocks traded as ADR’s in the

USA.




Who Wins and Who Loses in the Syrian Civil War




If you want to invest in post war Syria there are two caveats.




One is the famous “blood in the streets” statement by Baron

Rothschild from the 19th century.




The best time to invest is when there is blood in the streets

even if it is your own.




When things are darkest is the best time to pick up deals.




However, the second caveat is to know who will win and who will lose in the broader context if the Syria Civil War continues,

if the government wins, or if the rebels win.




The background for this conflict and for much of the Middle East

is religious.




The main branches of Islam are Sunni, Shia, Sufism, Kharijite,

Ahmadiyya, and Quranism and there are successively smaller

sects.




The largest group is the Sunni followed by the Shia.




Although the Shia branch comprises only ten percent of

all Islam they are the majority in the countries of Iran and Iraq

and are the largest Islamic group in Lebanon.




Syria is 87% Muslim and 74% Sunni. However, the ruling party

is Alawite Shia is only 13% of the population.




From a religious standpoint it will be a loss for Iran, Iraq, and

Lebanon it the Shia led government of Syria falls and a

Sunni majority takes over.




It remains to be seen how relations will fare based on

religious affiliation but to the extent that religion dominates,




picking sound investments in the area will probably have to do with picking local entities

that understand the culture and business of the region and its

people.



http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/picking-sound-investments

News & Politics

Invest in Post War Syria