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Helmi Najamuddin, Head of Coal Division, PT PLN delivered this presentation at Kalimantan Coal 2014 in Balikpapan Indonesia. This event brings together 120+ senior executives, and decision makers from government, mining, infrastructure, shipping and supply sectors to discuss new policies and strategies for tackling the current and emerging issues within the burgeoning Kalimantan coal sector. Visit the website to find out more: http://bit.ly/KalimantanCoal2014
Citation preview
Power Plants Project Updates and DMO Requirement : Kalimantan’s Roles in Fueling Future National
Electricity Helmi Najamuddin, Head of Coal Division – PLN, 2 Sept 2014, Balikpapan
CFPP Pacitan (2 x 315 MW) CFPP Kendari (2 x 10 MW) CFPP Barru (2 x 50 MW) CFPP Tj. Balai Karimun (2 x 7 MW)
NO Bribery
NO Gratification NO Corruption
2
Table of Contents
1. Introduction to PLN
2.
3.
Fast Track Program 10.000 MW Update
Coal Overview
4.
5.
6.
Domestic Market Obligation
Coal Supply Agreement
PLN’s Coal Demand Projection – up to 2022
7.
8.
9.
10.
Coal Fired Power Plant and Its Coal Consumption - 2014
Local Coal Pricing
Generation Expansion Projects
New Coal Biddings - 2014
1. Introduction to PLN
Corporate Structure
Ministry of State Owned Enterprises (MSOE) Ministry of Energy and Mineral
Resources (MEMR) Ministry of Finance (MoF) Ministry of the Environment
National Development Planning Authority (BAPPENAS)
PT Indonesia Comnets Plus Telecommunications for
the Electricity Sector
PT PLN Batubara
Coal Supplier for PLN
PT Prima Layanan Nasional Enjiniring Engineering and
Construction Services
PT PLN Tarakan
Regional Fully Integrated Electric Utility
PT PLN Batam
Regional Fully Integrated Electric Utility
PT Indonesia Power
Electricity Generation
Government of Indonesia will continue to hold 100% of PLN
PT PLN (Persero)
Majapahit Holding B.V.
Financial Institution
Oversight
PT PLN Geothermal
Geothermal Energy Generation
PT Pembangkitan Jawa Bali
Electricity Generation
PT Pelayaran Bahtera Adhiguna
Shipping Activities
Note: Excludes Joint Ventures.
PT Haleyora Power
Electricity Supplier
Who are we ?
5
The biggest Indonesia’s State Owned Enterprise Company with USD 56 billion Assets
Total electrical generating capacity : 54.5 GW serving 54 million customers Of the total, 26,4 GW is CFPP (72% owned by PLN), require about 70 million ton coal in 2014
INSTALLED CAPACITY PER MARCH 2014
EVO-SJB 2014
Fuel Mix in Java Bali System (January Up to 15 March 2014)
PLTA6.5%
PLTP4.8%
BtBara58.2%
BBG21.3%
LNG6.7%
MFO0.4%
HSD2.2%
Coal
Why PLN builds 10.000 MW Fast Track Program Phase I and Phase II ?
The 10.000 MW Fast Track Program is designed to reduce PLN’s reliance on fuel oil, which
currently is PLN’s most expensive fuel cost of electricity production on a IDR per-kWh basis.
IDR
/kW
h
(ESTIMATION)
350 402 410 376
706 730 760 763
2,080 1,995
2,343
2,889
746512
354
862
0
600
1,200
1,800
2,400
3,000
3,600
2011 2012 2013 2014
Natural Gas Coal Geothermal Fuel oil
PLN is to support Indonesia Growing Economy
9
Coal Fired Power Plant Currently in Operation 2013
Additional Coal Fired Power Plant by 2014 (PLN, IPP & Rental)
2. Up date: Fast Track Program 10.000 MW Phase I Fast Track Program 10.000 MW Phase II
12
13
List of Project, FTP Phase II - 10.000 MW*
Developer Power PlantNumber of
Projects
Capacity
(MW)
Geothermal PP 6 340
Hydro PP 4 1,324
Coal PP 21 2,195
Gas Turbine PP 2 380
Combine Cycle 2 740
Geothermal PP 51 4,725
Hydro PP 6 354
Coal PP 36 7,961
Total 128 18,019
PLN
35 projects
4.979 MW
(27.3%)
IPP
93 projects
13.040 MW
(72.7%)
*) Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Regulation No. 21 / 2013
14
FAST TRACK PROGRAM - PHASE II
SUMATERA • HEPP : 583 MW •GEOPP: 2.753 MW •SCPP : 547 MW TOTAL : 3.883 MW
JAVA •GEOPP : 2.057 MW •SCPP : 7.775 MW •CCPP : 500 MW •HEPP : 1.095 MW TOTAL : 11.427 MW
West Nusa Tenggara •GEOPP : 40 MW •SCPP : 70 MW TOTAL : 110 MW
East Nusa Tenggara •GEOPP : 35 MW •SCPP : 24 MW TOTAL : 59 MW
KALIMANTAN • CCPP: 120 MW •GTPP: 380 MW •SCPP: 642 MW TOTAL: 1142 MW
SULAWESI •GEOPP : 145 MW •CCPP : 240 MW •SCPP : 608 MW TOTAL : 993 MW
MALUKU • GEOPP: 35 MW •SCPP : 54 MW TOTAL : 89 MW
PAPUA •SCPP: 116 MW TOTAL: 116 MW
TOTAL •HEPP : 1.678 MW •GEOPP : 5.065 MW •SCPP : 10.036 MW •GTPP : 380 MW •CCPP : 860 MW TOTAL : 18.019 MW
*HEPP : Hydro Electric Power Plant
•GEOPP : Geothermal Power Plant
•SCPP : Steam Coal Power Plant
•CCPP : Combine Cycle Power Plant
•GTPP : Gas Turbine Power Plant
Fast Track Program - 2 Progress
Based on Ministry of Mineral Decree No. 21/2013, FTP – 2 Project has 76 location (17.918 MW) which consist of PLN (17 Location : 5.749 MW) and IPP (59 Location : 12.169 MW)
Current Status :
No Status Capacity (MW) Amount Location
1 Construction / Pre Construction 2.654 9
2 Already Financial Close 400 4
3 Already Power Purchase Agreement (PPA)
940 7
4 PPA Discussion 780 9
5 Problem with land acquisition 2.439 13
Total 7.213 42
Fast Track Program – 2 Status
No Power Plant Capacity (MW) COD Estimation
1 Parit Baru – Coal Fired PP (CFPP) 110 #1 : FEB 2016 #2 : APR 2016
2 Bangkanai – Micro Gas PP (MGPP) 155 JAN 2015
3 Sungai Penuh , Jambi – Geothermal PP (GEOPP) 110 #1 : 2018 #2 : 2018
4 Hululais, Bengkulu – GEOPP 110 #1 : 2018 #2 : 2018
5 Asahan 3, North Sumatera – HYDROPP 174 #1 : 2018 #2 : 2018
6 Masang 2, West Sumatera – HYDROPP 110 2020
7 Pangkalan Susu – CFPP 400 #3 : 2017 #4 : 2017
Fast Track Program – 2 Status
No Power Plant Capacity (MW) COD Estimation
8 Upper Cisokan – HYDROPP 1.040 2017
9 Jatigede #1 & #2 – HYDROPP 110 2017
10 Kotamobagu #1 & #2 – GEOPP 40 #1 : 2022 #2 : 2022
11 Kotamobagu #1 & #2 – GEOPP 40 #1 : 2022 #2 : 2022
12 Sembalun #1 & #2 – GEOPP 20 #1 : 2020 #2 : 2020
13 Tulehu #1 & #2 – GEOPP 20 #1 : 2018 #2 : 2018
14 Punagaya #1 & #2 – CFPP 200 #1 : 2016 #1 : 2016
15 Lombok #1 & #2 – CFPP 50 #1 : 2017 #2 : 2017
3. Coal Overview
19
Exported coal increases more rapidly than its prediction
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
20
Indonesia Coal Resources (2014)
Based on Calorific Value and Province
21
Indonesia Coal Reserves (2014)
Based on Calorific Value and Province Million Tons
22
Geological Agency 2012 ©
Coal Resources 160 Billion ton (120 B Ton Open Pit & 40 B Ton Underground) Coal Reserves 31.30 Billion ton
53%
10%
47%
90%
53%
10%
Potency
Production
23
Geological Agency and Directorate General of Mineral and Coal 2012 ©
Kalimantan
PKP2B : 61
IUP : 2,670 Sumatera
PKP2B : 15
IUP : 983
Jawa
IUP : 6
Bali & Nusa Tenggara
IUP : 1
Sulawesi
IUP : 105
Maluku
IUP : 12
Papua
IUP : 115
2013
/ IUP total 3892
/ PKP2B total 76
24
Sumatra Low Rank Coal Distribution
25
Kalimantan Low Rank Coal Distribution
WORLD’S COAL RESERVE CURRENT CONDITION
Indonesia is only 3 % of Total World’s Coal Reserve
Indonesia is the Biggest Coal Exporter in the World
No Export Tax
4. DMO (Domestic Market Obligation)
29
DMO - 2014
30
EXPORT
DOMESTIC
Indonesian Coal - 2014
273.2 Million Ton
95,5 Million Ton (25,90%)
Source : Energy And Mineral Resources Decree No. 2901.K/30/MEM/2013 about Domestic Market Obligation
31
Domestic Market Obligation Policy
CURRENT CONDITION
Indonesia is one of the largest coal exporter
2012 Production : 373 MT where 82% of Coal Production is Exported
There is a trend the increase of domestic coal demand
Security of Energy
OBJECTIVES
DMO
Domestic coal supply must be guaranteed : -- More than 10.000 MW Crash Program phase I + II -- Cement Industry -- Metallurgy Industry -- Power Plant
Optimizing National Income
Energy Security
•Law 4/2009 •MEMR Regulation 17/2010 •MEMR Decree 34/2009 •MEMR Decree 1991.K/30/MEM/2011 •MEMR Decree 2901.K/30/MEM/2013
32
Domestic Market Obligation
64.96 78.97 82.07
74.03
95.5
24.75% 24.17% 24.72%
20.03%
25.90%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
DM
O P
erc
en
tage
(%
)
Mill
ion
MT
/ Ye
ars
Volume
Persentase
Source : Energy And Mineral Resources Decree No. 2901.K/30/MEM/2013 about Domestic Market Obligation
33
Domestic Market Obligation 2014
Supplier in DMO 2014 List
Total Coal Contracted 79.9 Million Ton,
65.21% from Suppliers in DMO 2014 List and 34.79% from suppliers not in DMO 2014 List.
Supplier not in DMO 2014 List
No Suppliers Calorific Value DMO
Contract Volume
Million Ton/Year
1 PT Adaro Indonesia 5.000 12.95 8.3
2 PT Arutmin Indonesia 4.200 7.14 7.6
3 PT Berau Coal 5.050 5.96 4.1
4 PT Indominco Mandiri 5.800 3.59 3.2
5 PT Jorong Barutama Greston 4.500 0.34 0.5
6 PT Kadya Caraka Mulya 4.800 0.1 0.1
7 PT Kaltim Prima Coal 5.200 & 5.700 13.13 9.6
8 PT Kideco Jaya Agung 4.200 & 4900 9.58 8.9
9 PT Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk. 4.900 4.98 9.8
Total 57.7 52.1
No Suppliers Calorific
Value
Contract Volume Million
Ton/Year 1 PT Artha Daya Coalindo 4.800 0.5 2 PT Batara Batari 4.200 0.5 3 PT Exploitasi Energi Indonesia 4.250 1.3 4 PT Daya Bambu Sejahtera 4.200 0.2 5 PT Dwi Guna Laksana 4.200 2.6 6 PT Hanson Energi 4.200 3.1 7 Konsorsium PT KII dan PT SEM 4.200 3.3 8 PT Natuna Energi 4.800 0.5 9 PT Oktasan Baruna Persada 4.200 2.4
10 PT Rizki Anugerah Pratama 4.250 1.3 11 PT Sumber Suryadaya Prima 4.500 0.5 12 PT Titan Mining Energy 4.200 &
4.600 2.9
13 PT PLN Batubara Various 6.8 14 Kontrak Unit Various 2.0
Total 27.8 Feedback form PLN :
- DMO should be NOT ONLY QUANTITY but also QUALITY
6. PLN’s Coal Demand Projection - up to 2022
PLN’s Coal Supply Policy
To consume DMO and more. 3
To consume Low Rank Coal: abundant resource in
Indonesia (40.4% LRC, 49.9% MRC, 9.7% HRC) 4
To increase coal quality: Clean Coal Technologies 5
To strengthen security of coal supply by :
Long term supply contract 1
To replace oil fuel by coal in fuel mix 2
36
Electricity Demand Growth 2013-2022
36
Sumatera: 10,6%
26
TWh
66
TWh
TWh
IT : 10,8%
18 44
TWh
JB : 7,6%
144
TWh
275
TWh
2013 2022
TWh
TWh 188
385
Kalimantan: 10,7% Sulawesi: 10,8%
Indonesia: 8,4%
Papua: 10%
Maluku: 10,9%
Nusa Tenggara: 11,1%
Tahun 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Demand (TWh) 189 207 226 246 266 287 310 334 359 386
Electrification Rasio (% ) 79.6 82.6 85.9 88.9 91.9 93.7 95.3 96.8 97.4 97.8
Additional Capacity of new Power Plant (including IPP)
37
Additional Capacity 2013-2022:
FTP-1 : 5,4 GW
FTP-2 : 17,8 GW
Reguler : 36,8 GW
Fuel Mix Projection 2013 and 2022 Total Indonesia (Include IPP)
38
Coal 53%
Coal 66%
Mix Energy Projection Total Indonesia , including IPP
39
Hydro
Geothermal
Coal
Gas
LNG
Oil
Import Biomass Solar HSD MFO LNG Gas Coal Geothermal Hydro
40
Fuel Mix 2005-2021 : Coal share to be increased
40
LNG
Geothermal Hydropower
Natural Gas
Coal
Oil
Coal Demand 2014 – 2022
41
0.46 1.58 2.93 3.41 3.47 3.58 3.58 3.58 3.58 17.78 20.41 25.21 32.97 37.42 42.81 51.63
61.53 63.96 54.84
60.89 65.64
69.36 72.67
73.78 75.71
77.66 83.46
73.09 82.89
93.77 105.74
113.55 120.17
130.92 142.77
151.00
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Mill
ion
To
ne
s
Total
PLN
IPP
Rental
Coal Demand, Coal Contracted and
Coal Power Plant Capacity: PLN+PLN’s Sub + IPP
66.3
76.6 82.6
88.1
96.8
85.2 85.5 85.5 85.6 85.6
21.5
24.2 25.1
28.5 29.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
GW Million Ton
Demand Contracted Capacity
43
Coal Demand in Indonesia (2014 up to 2022)
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
A PLN : Perusahaan Listrik Negara 54,843 60,895 65,640 69,360 72,665 73,782 75,715 77,662 83,465
I PLN - REGION SUMATERA 5,737 8,209 8,945 11,121 13,267 14,230 13,901 13,063 13,192
II PLN - REGION KALIMANTAN 1,601 2,729 3,669 3,895 5,004 4,760 4,644 4,356 4,399
III PLN - REGION INDONESIA TIMUR 974 1,363 1,921 3,075 4,762 5,272 5,528 5,556 5,788
IV PLN - REGION JAWA BALI 46,530 48,593 51,105 51,269 49,633 49,520 51,642 54,687 60,085
B IPP : Independent Power Producer 17,785 20,410 25,207 32,975 37,417 42,810 51,628 61,529 63,957
I IPP - REGION SUMATERA 1,147 2,879 5,275 6,855 7,154 8,376 12,460 15,999 17,025
II IPP - REGION KALIMANTAN 576 677 890 850 1,000 1,897 2,376 2,728 3,057
III IPP - REGION INDONESIA TIMUR 781 750 931 1,007 1,361 2,046 2,224 2,565 3,027
IV IPP - REGION JAWA BALI 15,280 16,104 18,113 24,264 27,902 30,492 34,569 40,238 40,848
C SEWA 461 1,582 2,926 3,410 3,467 3,581 3,581 3,581 3,581
I SEWA - REGION SUMATERA 446 1,556 2,872 3,213 3,213 3,213 3,213 3,213 3,213
II SEWA - REGION KALIMANTAN 15 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26
III SEWA - REGION INDONESIA TIMUR - - 28 171 228 342 342 342 342
IV SEWA - REGION JAWA BALI
TOTAL KESELURUHAN 73,089 82,887 93,773 105,745 113,549 120,173 130,924 142,771 151,002
No Unit Pembangkit(Ribu Ton / Th)
Caloric Value of the Coal Demand in Kcal/kg (GAR)
• Ombilin CFPP : 5800 – 6200
• Suralaya CFPP : 4900 – 5100
• Tanjung Jati B CFPP : 5700 – 5900
• Cirebon CFPP : 4500 – 5000
• Paiton Energy CFPP : 4900 – 5100
• Jawa Power CFPP : 4900 – 5100
• Cilacap CFPP : 4500 – 4600
• The rest of PLN’s CFPPs: 4000 – 4500
7. Location of coal suppliers for PLN
Location of Coal Supplier for PLN LEGEND:
1. PT Kaltim Prima Coal (PT KPC)
Sanggata, South Borneo
2. PT Kideco Jaya Agung (KJA)
Pasir – East Borneo
3. PT Oktasan Baruna Persada (OBP)
Kotabara – South Borneo
4. PT Arutmin Indonesia (PT AI)
Satui – South Borneo
5. PT Exploitasi Energi Indonesia (PT
EEI)Tapin – South Borneo
6. PT Rizki Anugrah Pratama (PT RAP)
Tapin – South Borneo
7. PT Dwi Guna Laksana (PT DGL)
Banjar – South Borneo
8. PT Kasih Industri Indonesia (PT KII)
Barito Timur – South Borneo
Tebo - Jambi
9. PT Titan Mining Energy (PT TME)
Kutai – East Borneo
10. PT Hanson Energy (PT HE)
Ogan Komering Ulu, South Sumatera
11. PT Bukit Asam (PT BA)
Tanjung Enim, South Sumatera
12. PT Golden Great Borneo (PT GGB)
Lahat, South Sumatera
13. PT Adaro Indonesia
Kelanis, South Borneo
1
2
3
4
5 6
7
8
9
10
11
12
8
13
8. Local Coal Pricing - HBA
INDONESIA COAL REFERENCE (HBA) 2010 – AUG 2014
49
Exchange Rate USD – IDR to rise Coal price for 2014 by 15%
49
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
2-Jan-08 2-Jan-09 2-Jan-10 2-Jan-11 2-Jan-12 2-Jan-13 2-Jan-14
50
Weighted Average Coal Price Purchased by PLN
IDR
/kg
219.75 230.82 230.75 251.55
335.81 338.76
489.23
732.32
659.71 695 702
618
711.04
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
9. Generation Expansion Projects
Additional Capacity Generation (Include IPP)
52
• Total Additional
Capacity 2013 until
2022 is 60 GW.
Additional Capacity :
Coal Fired :38,0 GW
Geo : 6,0 GW
Combine Cycle : 5,0 GW
Gas : 3,7 GW
Hydro : 7,0 GW
Others : 0,3 GW
MW
Coal Hydro Geo Thermal Combine Cycle Gas Other
10. New Coal Bidding: 2014 : Riau and Kaltim CFPP – 1.000.000 Ton/year (LRC) 2014 (2-half): Tj jati B CFPP – 1.500.000 Ton/year (HRC) PLN's CFPP in Java – 5.000.000 Ton/year (MRC)
54
Invitatition to Bid in newspaper, “Kompas”, 6 January 2014, for Riau CFPP 2x110 MW and Kaltim CFPP 2x110 MW
Closing Remarks
1. Indonesia electricity demand is still high (9.4% per year) thus
need a huge additional capacity of generation, transmission and
distribution.
2. DMO should be decreed NOT ONLY based on the QUANTITY
(Tonnage), but also the QUALITY (Calorific Value) for each Coal
Fired Power Plant
3. PLN is the biggest coal buyer in Indonesia i.e.: 73.1 million Ton
in 2014, and >100 million Ton/year after 2017, and also > 150
million ton/year since 2022
CONCLUSION - 1
4. To supply the high electricity demand in Indonesia, Private Sectors
are invited to have electricity business in generation side as
Independent Power Producers (IPP).
5. The amount of Indonesian coal export should be controlled to fulfill
the security of coal supply for domestic users, in the future.
6. To increase coal price, the amount of coal production in Indonesia
should be decreased.
CONCLUSION - 2
Further contact : [email protected]
Phone: +62 812 122 0450