North Korea Collapse

What to expect…

Beginning to Collapse

• North Korea Power Struggle

• Lead into a small scale civil war, in terms of duration.

• Why? Lack of food, terrible agriculture, malnourishment, and lack of drinking water.

• This will result in a massive famine, like in the 1990s.

Country Status

North Korea is with beyond reasonable doubt a failed state.

Failed State: “Loss of physical control of its territory, or of the

monopoly on the legitimate use of physical force therein,

erosion of legitimate authority to make collective decisions, an

inability to provide reasonable public services, and an inability

to interact with other states as a full member of the

international community.”

Source:

http://www.princeton.edu/~achaney/tmve/wiki100k/docs/Failed_state.html

What to expect?

• North Korea will collapse in the visible future.

• Will create as mentioned an internal civil war.

• Short lasting, resulting in nuclear weapons floating around, massive famine, requiring militarily intervention and a massive relief mission.

The Experts….

“Combined with the country’s disastrous centralized economy, dilapidated industrial sector, insufficient agricultural base, mal nourished military and populace, and developing nuclear pro -

grams, the possibility of a sudden leadership change in the North

could be destabilizing and unpredictable.”

- U.S. General Walter Sharp

How to intervene….

• Military mobilization of United Nations Security Council, the ROK (Republic of Korea), United States, and NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization), and the Chinese.

• Military intervention to secure floating Weapons of Mass Destruction.

• Stabilize climate to begin a large scale International Gov. and Non Governmental Organizations or NGO for relief operation.

• After relief operations stabilize, reconciliation needs to promptly begin.

Intervention at a glance…

Non Governmental OrganizationsN.G.O Part 1

N.G.O, Agencies, Institutions• Chamber of Commerce and religious

institutions must be mobilized, so non for profit relief and aide charities or foundations can aide in relief and recovery ops. Along with monetary agencies.

Once relief is stabilized…

• When relief operations are stabilized negotiators from R.O.K, United Nations Security Council, Chinese, Russia, United States, NATO, European Union, and ASEAN or “Association of Southeast Asian Nations” must begin formulating and implementing “ROK” reconciliation of former DPRK into South Korea.

Costs?

• Immense, but necessary.

• Are we prepared? No

• Collapse of DPRK government will happen in the foreseeable future.

The End