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Ben Page gave this presentation at the Department for Education National College for Training & School Leadership annual conference "Seizing Success 2013". More information: http://www.education.gov.uk/nationalcollege/index/events/conference2013/conference2013-ben-page-making-sense-of-britain.htm
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Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
6%
Britain is getting
better as a place to
live November 2011
61%
Britain is getting
worse as a place to
live November 2011
24%
Britain is getting better
as a place to live July 1998
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
R² = 0.49
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
-40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
We are in a group of European countries feeling hardest hit
by the last five years
Net disagree
country will
never be the
same again
Net last five years good for country
Base: 17,678 online interviews with adults aged 16/18-64 in 23 countries, September 4-18 2012. Source: Ipsos Global @dvisor
Japan
Hungary
Turkey Russia
Belgium South Africa
Argentina
Germany
US
France
GB
Mexico Poland
Sweden
Spai
n
Italy
South Korea
Indonesia Australia
Saudi Arabia
Canada India
Brazil
Net last five years bad for country
Net agree
country
will never
be the
same
again
What it means to be British
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
What we really value about Britain...
Overall, which two or three of the following, would you say makes you most
proud to be British?
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
45
37
36
28
24
22
15
10
5
4
Our History
The NHS
British Army/armed forces
The Royal Family
Our culture and arts
Our system of democracy
Having a free press/media
British sports teams
Our position in the world
British business
What we really value about Britain...
Overall, which two or three of the following, would you say makes you most
proud to be British?
Base: 998 British adults, interviewed face to face 27 Jan - 5 Feb 2012 Source: Ipsos MORI / Channel 4
Mustn’t
Grumble There’s lots
about Britain
that’s good
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
The Great British Character...
From this list, please tell me which two or three, if any, you think are the best
characteristics of British people as a whole?
Base: 998 British adults, interviewed face to face 27 Jan- 5 Feb 2012 Source: Ipsos MORI / Channel 4
45
34
30
28
26
19
18
14
Good sense of humour
Friendly
Tolerant to all sections of society
Hard working
Polite / good manners
Patriotism
Law abiding
Keep themselves to themselves
On the
other
hand...
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
The British character - bad
From this list, please tell me which two or three, if any, you think are the worst
characteristics of British people as a whole?
Base: 998 British adults, 27 Jan- 5 Feb 2012 Source: Ipsos MORI / Channel 4
50
33
23
20
19
18
16
15
6
6
4
Drink too much
Ignorant of other cultures
Complain too much
Lazy
Intolerant to different sections of society
Bad eating habits
Too pessimistic
Rude
Too nationalistic
Unfriendly
Bad teeth
An
assessment
supported
by the
evidence...
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
May be they’re right....
Alcohol Consumption in the UK 1947-2009
Source: British Beer and Pub Association Statistical Handbook 2010
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
16% drop in consumption since 2004
Alcohol Consumption in the UK 1947-2009
Source: British Beer and Pub Association Statistical Handbook 2010
Not worried
about you
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
0
10
20
30
40
50
May 1997
May 1998
May 1999
May 2000
May 2001
May 2002
May 2003
May 2004
May 2005
May 2006
May 2007
May 2008
May 2009
May 2010
May 2011
May 2012
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Concern about education and schools....
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
London
Bombs
Introduction of
means-tested
tuition fees.
Education most
important issue.
Fuel
Protests
City academies introduced
to combat entrenched
failure in some urban
schools
Lowest score
since Dec 1985
Labour’s second term - pledge
to improve failing secondary
schools
Education and Inspections
Bill limits the power of LAs
to open new schools
Brown becomes
PM
Cameron becomes
PM
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Q “Currently, what would you say is the MAIN educational issue the
Government needs to address?”
Pupil behaviour seen as main educational problem – not exam system
Funding/(budget crisis)
Pupil behaviour/discipline
Tuition fees
Class size/pupil-teacher ratio
Back to basics/higher standards
Teachers’ workload
Base: 2,048 British adults 18+ , January 2012
Teacher recruitment and retention
Assessment/exam reform
Inclusion/Special Education Needs (SEN)
Bullying in schools
17%
9%
6%
6%
6%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
Version 1 | Public
On the other
hand...
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Hysteresis –
my new
favourite
word
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How do we compare with our parents?
Base: 985 British adults aged 15+, 5-25 April 2013
Q. “To what extent, if at all, do you feel that your generation will have had a better or worse
life than your parents’ generation, or will it have been about the same?”
Source: Ipsos MORI
32%
29%
20%
14%
4% 1%
Much better
About the same
Much worse
Generations
Better
%
Worse
%
Generation Y 42 29
Generation X 60 19
Baby
Boomers 70 14
Pre-War 79 8
Slightly better
Slightly worse
61%
18%
Don’t know
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
23
43
42
45
35
12
Base: 1,006 British adults aged 18+, 19th-21st November 2011
% Higher % Lower
Q. When they reach your age, do you think your children will have a higher or lower quality of life than you, or about the same?
Source: Ipsos MORI
November 2011
And what about our own children?
April 2003
..worried
about young
people
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Q “What do you see as the most important issue facing Britain today?”
Youth unemployment seen by one in eight Captains of Industry as key problem - higher than lending and financial crisis
43%
32%
20%
18%
15%
13%
12%
11%
8%
Top Mentions
The Eurozone
Government deficit/debt
Lack of economic growth
Consumer
confidence/confidence
Unemployment
Youth unemployment
Societal dysfunction/social
issues
Availability of finance/bank
lending
Financial crisis/instability
Base: British Captains of Industry (100), interviewed September - December 2012
More than a million young people in England
were not in education, employment or training
(Neet) in the three months to September 2012.
17% of 16- to 24-year-olds were without jobs or
college places.
Department for Education, November 2012
81% of small business owners are not confident that school leavers have the right level of employability skills
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
3%
29%
23%
54%
13%
8%
35%
8%
26%
1%
Britain’s education system delivers the
skills that your business needs
Large companies should do a lot more
to promote understanding of
business in secondary schools
% Strongly agree % Tend to agree % Neither agree nor disagree
% Tend to disagree % Strongly disagree
83%
Q “To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following
statements?”
Views shared by Captains of Industry
Base: British Captains of Industry (100), interviewed September - December 2011
Only 26% Agree 61% Don’t
9%
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Q28 To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement? “Vocational qualifications are of an equal value to traditional academic qualifications such as GCSEs and A levels in terms of the difficulty involved in achieving the qualification.”
24%
23%
16%
15%
27%
30%
15%
18%
Headteachers 14%
4
Teachers 14%
Neutral opinion or don’t know
Strongly disagree
Tend to disagree
Tend to agree
Strongly agree
Vocational qualifications under valued?
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Q “How well prepared are education leavers for employment? “
A third of business say school leavers are NOT
well prepared
28% 25% 19% 12%
9% 7%
5% 2%
49% 54% 60%
59%
10% 10% 13% 23%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
16 - year old school leavers 17-18 - year old school leavers
17-18-year old FE leavers University or HE Leavers
Poorly Prepared Very poorly prepared Well prepared Very well prepared
Unweighted Base: (10,985) (13,891) (13,024
)
(15,706
)
Base: 85,069 establishments in England, Northern Ireland, and Wales
Source: Employer Skills Survey 2011
37% 32%
24%
14%
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Q “How helpful, if at all, will each of the following be in helping you do
what you want to do in the future? “
Are you helping them?
Base: All year 11 pupils in England stating an answer (368), 9th January - 3rd April 2009
94
92
91
89
83
75
72
66
56
4
5
5
8
13
20
25
25
33
2009
Learning how to look for a job
% Helpful % Not helpful
Learning interview techniques
Going on a work placement for a week or more
Being taught how to write a CV
Discussing what job you want to do when you are older
Visiting a work place, such as a factory or shop
Listening to or speaking with a visitor from business
Taking part in exercises about the world of work
2007 %
Helpful
97
94
92
86
96
79
79
71
62 Taking part in a mini-enterprise or other enterprise project
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Q “Looking at the list below, have you ever done any of the following in school time?”
Q “How helpful, if at all, will each of the following be in helping you do what you want?”
More practical techniques would be helpful
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
50 60 70 80 90
Have d
on
e i
n s
ch
oo
l
Would be helpful
Base: 379 year 11 pupils giving an answer in England. Fieldwork dates: 9th January- 3rd April 2009
%
%
Learning how to look for a
job
Learning interview techniques
Going on a work placement for a week or more
Being taught how to write a
CV
Discussing what job you want to do when you are older
Visiting a work place, such as a factory or shop
Listening to or speaking with a
visitor from business
Taking part in exercises about the
world of work
Taking part in a mini-enterprise or other enterprise project
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Q “Who do you think should learn about jobs and working life while
they are at school? “
They want to hear more about world of work...
2007
Only young people who plan to get a full-time job at 16
All young people
77%
13%
11%
2009
Base: 1,983 young people aged 11-16 in England. 2007 base (2,195), 2004 base (2,131),
Don’t know
79%
10%
12%
2004
74%
13%
13%
Fieldwork dates: 9th January- 3rd April 2009
Version 1 | Public
Our changing generations (and
our rugged individualist
youth)…….
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Need to understand our generational profile
Source: Eurostat
Proportion of UK adult (18+) population from each generational grouping
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
83 84 85 86 87 89 90 91 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
% Pre war generation
% Generation Y
% Generation X
% Baby boomers
• Of Twitter users are
likely to recommend a
brand they follow, and
more than 1/3 access
Twitter via their mobile
phone.
Two clear consistent themes:
“Younger generations will go
through the hardest times”
(Baby Boomer)
“I don’t want to be old in this
country”
(Gen X)
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
“The government should spend more money on welfare benefits for the poor, even if it leads to higher taxes”
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
All data points represent > 200 responses
Source: British Social Attitudes
“The government should spend more money on welfare benefits for the
poor, even if it leads to higher taxes”
But the young are toughest on the poor....
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1987 1989 1991 1993 1994 1995 1996 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Pre war (before 1945) Baby boomers (1945-65)
Generation x (1966-1979) Generation y (1980-2000)
% Agree
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
All data points represent > 200 responses
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Aggregates
“How much do you agree or disagree that … the creation of the welfare
state is one of Britain's proudest achievements.”
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Pre war (before 1945) Baby boomers (1945-65) Generation x (1966-1979) Generation y (1980-2000)
% % Agree/Strongly agree
Different generations now have different values...
Worried Britain
And yet...
Lowest
murder
rate since
1978...
Crime rates
running at
half 1990s
levels...
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Concern about crime also falling What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May 1997
May 1998
May 1999
May 2000
May 2001
May 2002
May 2003
May 2004
May 2005
May 2006
May 2007
May 2008
May 2009
May 2010
May 2011
May 2012
Fuel
Protests
May day riots
Blair activates civil contingencies
machinery to deal with spiralling
street crime
Tory election pledge of
40,000 more police
Foreign prisoners
scandal – Charles Clarke
is sacked
Rhys Jones and
Garry Newlove
murdered
Riots
Prison
overcrowding
reaches record
levels
9/11
Brown becomes
PM
Cameron becomes
PM
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Generally speaking, would you say that most people can be trusted or
that you need to be very careful in dealing with people?
No more “broken” than many other societies...
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
USA Germany Britain Spain Poland France
% A
gre
e t
hat
mo
st
peo
ple
can
be
tru
ste
d
Social Trust
USA
Germany
Britain
Spain
Poland
France
Source: World Values Survey quoted in Ipsos MORI’s, Our Nations Civic Health, 2010
54% 60%
On the other hand....
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
GAMIFICATION
SIMULATORS/
PREDICTIVE TOOLS
NEUROSCIENCE REAL TIME
QUANTIFIED SELF AUGMENTED
REALITY META DATA
CLOUD TECHNOLOGY RFID/SENSORS LEVERAGING
DISTRACTION
LOCATION-BASED/
GEO-SOCIAL APPIFICATION
A permanent
change – to
permanent change
TECHNOLOGY TRACKER | QUARTERLY RELEASE: Q1 2013
LEADING THE WAY IN SMARTPHONES
31
53
14
21
9 13
9
20
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Q1 '11 Q3' 11 Q4' 11 Q1 '12 Q2 '12 Q3 '12 Q4 '12 Q1 '13
50
Base: circa 1,000 GB adults aged 15+ per wave Source: Ipsos MORI
BLACKBERRY VS. IPHONE VS. ANDROID OWNERSHIP
iPhone
Males 15-34 29%
Males 35+ 22%
Female 15-
34 19%
Females
35+ 30%
Android
Males 15-34 27%
Males 35+ 27%
Female 15-
34 23%
Females
35+ 23%
BlackBerry
Males 15-34 22%
Males 35+ 29%
Female 15-
34 24%
Females
35+ 25%
Any Smartphone
(net)
Customer profile
Actually quite good Britain
• Of Twitter users are
likely to recommend a
brand they follow, and
more than 1/3 access
Twitter via their mobile
phone.
Back
to
London
2012
"As awful as it is to admit,
London 2012 was bigger,
slicker, almost as friendly
and more thoughtfully
planned than Sydney in
terms of the legacy it will
leave the host city”
The Australian
"As awful as it is to admit,
London 2012 was bigger,
slicker, almost as friendly
and more thoughtfully
planned than Sydney in
terms of the legacy it will
leave the host city”
The Australian
"These Olympics have
been a success for Great
Britain. Bolt, Boyle, Bond,
Brenda and Mr Bean: all the
champions took to the
field, no-one
disappointed!"
Corriere della Sella
We think we’re good at
SOME things...
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Our self assessment: The “inputs”
Which 2 or 3 would you pick out as areas where Britain is strongest/ weakest
compared with other countries?
Base: 1,003 British adults, 25-31 May 2012 Source: Ipsos MORI / Design Council
35
22
11 11 7 6 5 3
-19 -19
-45
0
The UK is in the world’s Top 10....
directly employs 2.5 million people,
generates half of UK
exports...2nd only to the US in
aerospace industry...2 of top 6
pharmaceutical companies in the
world have their HQs in UK…
Source: Technology Strategy Board
We think we’re good at
SOME more things...
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Our self assessment: The “outputs”
Which 2 or 3 would you pick out as areas where Britain is strongest/ weakest
compared with other countries?
Base: 1,003 British adults, 25-31 May 2012 Source: Ipsos MORI / Design Council
25 23 12 9 8 8 7 3
-4 -5 -8 -22
“... resurgent UK-based auto
industry exported a record-breaking
84% of production last
year.....average annual productivity
increase of 3.6%, two and a half
times greater than the UK economy
as a whole”
Source: Technology Strategy Board
But we’re modest
people really...
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The most famous British products?
Looking at this list, which, if any, would you describe as “British”?
By British, I mean they were made or designed in Britain
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
59
52
48
20
14
13
9
6
5
4
2
2
7
3
The Mini
Cat’s Eyes (on the road)
Dyson vacuum cleaner
The Hoover vacuum cleaner
Lastminute.com
World Wide Web (www)
Teflon
Grand Theft Auto video game
The BlackBerry phone
The VW Beetle
The “Angry Birds” App
Don’t know
None of these
The most famous British products?
Looking at this list, which, if any, would you describe as “British”?
By British, I mean they were made or designed in Britain
Base: 1,003 British adults, 25-31 May 2012 Source: Ipsos MORI / Design Council
But we’re modest people
really...
...perhaps too
modest?
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Typically self-deprecating Brits…!
Taking into account all the things which you think are important, how
favourable or unfavourable is your overall opinion/impression of the UK…?
Base: c.500 - 1,000 residents aged 16-64 (18-64 in the US and Canada) in each country; July 2010
53%
50%
49%
48%
46%
45%
45%
43%
41%
37%
36%
24%
13%
55%
54%
45%
56%
45%
51%
53%
56%
47%
59%
43%
42%
48%
Respects human rights
Has a strong commitment to culture and the arts
Respects its neighbours and other countries
Has strong democratic values and institutions
Contributes to peace and co-operation
Contributes to global economy
Respects contracts and the rule of law
Respects the rights of its citizens
Contributes to international socio-economic development
Its people enjoy a good standard of living
Makes a positive difference in the world
Is a good country in which to invest
Has a strong economy
% Favourable - Britain % Favourable - Global
• Of Twitter users are
likely to recommend a
brand they follow, and
more than 1/3 access
Twitter via their mobile
phone.
Two
Olympic
Years:
1948
and
2012
TV ownership…
from 46,000 to
26,000,000
Life expectancy…
from 68 to 80 years
Population…
from 49.8m to 63m
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Better for women, more tolerant, diverse...
To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements about
how Britain has changed since 1948?
Base: 2,320 British adults, 30 Nov – 6 Dec 2011 Source: Ipsos MORI / British Future
88
72
44
4
11
29
Women have more choices now than they did
People are less discriminating of people who are gay
Relations between different ethnic groups are better now
Agree Disagree
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Less religious... And getting ruder...
To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements about
how Britain has changed since 1948?
Base: 2,320 British adults, 30 Nov – 6 Dec 2011 Source: Ipsos MORI / British Future
72
12
7
13
56
74
Britain is a less religious place now
British people are better at parenting now
Britain is now a more polite place
Agree Disagree
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
On balance we’ve lost something...
To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements about
how Britain has changed since 1948?
Base: 2,320 British adults, 30 Nov – 6 Dec 2011 Source: Ipsos MORI / British Future
24%
52%
24%
People are just as proud to be British now as they were then
Agree
Disagree
Neither / no opinion
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People have different attitudes towards statistics. Which of the following do you
agree with most?
...people’s own use of evidence skewed to direct
experience
Base: 1,034 British adults aged 16-75 Source: RSS/Ipsos MORI 2013
46
9
18
26 Statistics are more important
than my own experiences or
those of my family and friends in
helping me keep track of how
the government is doing
My own experiences or those of
my family and friends are more
important than statistics in
helping me keep track of how
the government is doing
Both equally
Neither/Don’t know
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Imagine you have a life-threatening illness and your doctor has told you that
you need an operation to treat it. How likely, if at all, are you to have this
operation if your doctor tells you that...
... we focus on negative information
Base: c. 500 British adults aged 16-75 Source: RSS/Ipsos MORI 2013
56
33
3
1
7
39
38
6
2
16
Very likely
Quite likely
Not very likely
Not at all likely
Don't know
90% of people who have the operation are alive for at least 5 years following the operation
10% of people who have the operation die within 5 years of the operation
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Thinking about your child/if you had a child, which of the following
would make you most proud?
We don’t value numeracy.......
Base: 516 British adults aged 16-75, interviews conducted online 9th-15th April 2013 Source: RSS/Ipsos MORI 2013
13
55
16
15
If they were very good with numbers
If they were very good at reading and writing
Neither
Don't know
We under-estimate ourselves, and our economy... ...we are much more interesting than we imagine...
Help them get ready for an unpredictable world!
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81 81
Most predictions are wrong
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82 82
Most predictions are wrong
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MICROSOFT,
APPLE AND IPSOS
MORI WILL
PROBABLY NOT
EXIST IN 100
YEARS’ TIME 83
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Help them get ready!
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