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AFGHANISTAN POSSIBLE SCENARIOS - 2020 Futuristic Scenarios Based on Current Debate (March 2013) for Discussion & to Facilitate Working Towards Stability in Afghanistan and the region

Afghanistan scenarios 2020 18 march 2013

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Here are four scenarios for Afghanistan in 2020 based on current debates and discussions wit a view to promote discussion and work towards the best case scenario and avoid the worst case depicted in the last slide Anarchy

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Page 1: Afghanistan scenarios 2020 18 march 2013

AFGHANISTAN POSSIBLE SCENARIOS - 2020

Futuristic Scenarios Based on Current Debate (March 2013) for Discussion & to

Facilitate Working Towards Stability in Afghanistan and the region

Page 2: Afghanistan scenarios 2020 18 march 2013

MUDDLING THROUGH

STEADY BUT INTERRUPTED PROGRESS TOWARDS STABILITY

Page 3: Afghanistan scenarios 2020 18 march 2013

POCKETS OF RESISTANCE

GENERAL STABILITY BUT LARGE POCKETS REMAIN UNDER CONTROL OF ANTI GOVERNMENT FORCES

Page 4: Afghanistan scenarios 2020 18 march 2013

NORTH VERSUS SOUTH

DIVISION ON ETHNIC LINES

Page 5: Afghanistan scenarios 2020 18 march 2013

ANARCHY

COLLAPSE OF THE STATE & GENERAL DISORDER