The Advanced Contemporary Affairs ® (Book 91)

ISBN 978-969-588-296-2

Price Rs. 500/-

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5th Issue, 2014

Trade Mark Registration No. 22177

The book series is backed and supported by the prestigious think tank, Council on Contemporary Affairs – Pak istan

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Articles and Essays included in the Advanced Contemporary Affairs are being taken from national and international newspapers and

journals of repute.

The book series is designed to offer the readers a conglomerate of enlightened, research oriented,

and thought provoking articles on current affairs

at minimum possible cost.

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addressed to the Editor’s office:

M. Imtiaz Shahid 614, 2nd Avenue, SW (B) Block NFC, Lahore – Pakistan.

(Tel: 03222700004)

E-mail: advancedcontemporaryaffairs@gmail.com

mimtiazshahid@gmail.com

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We welcome any article on current affairs for publication. These articles may be sent to the Editor’s office.

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Opinions expressed in articles and reviews published in the Advanced Contemporary Affairs are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the editor or the publishers.

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Grateful acknowledgements are due to all those Authors, Newspapers, Journals & Publishers, whose articles and research works are included in this book series.

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Published by Advanced Publishers

17–2nd Floor, Muslim Centre. Chatter Jee Road. Urdu Bazaar.

Lahore. Pakistan. Ph. (042) 37360555, 35056955 (email: advancedpublisherspk@gmail.com)

Advisory Board Dr Hasan-Askari Rizvi

Political and Defence Analyst

Dr Farooq Hasnat

Middle East specialist

Middle East Centre Washington DC

Dr Nilofer Mehdi

Analyst Pakistan Foreign Policy

Dr Maqsud al Hasan Nuri

Analyst Central Asia, Afghanistan and the Gulf

Former President & Senior Research Fellow, Islamabad Policy Research Institute (IPRI)

Dr A Z Hilali

Analyst South Asian Security

Dean of Contemporary Studies National Defence University, Islamabad

Dr Mansoor Akbar Kundi

Vice Chancellor, Gomal University, D I Khan

Dr Muhammad Ahsan

Analyst Muslim World & International Political Economy

Dr Zafar Nawaz Jaspal

Analyst Nuclearization

Dr Nauman Zafar

University of Indiana, USA

Analyst Pakistan US Relations

Dr Zahid Anwer

Analyst Russia & Central Asia

Guo Xiaobing

Fellow, China Institute of Contemporary International Relations, Beijing

Faiza Mir

Analyst Balochistan & Tribal Areas

C O N T E N T S

S.#. Description Page

11. Russia and Pakistan: Shared Challenges and Common Opportunities

Vladimir Moskalenko and Petr Topychkanov

69

12. OPEC Decision a Shot in Oil Price War Nick Beams

78

13. Preparing for the Collapse of the Petrodollar System Jerry Robinson

80

PART ONE INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS

1. Twenty-six Things about the Islamic State (ISIL) that Obama Does Not Want You to Know About

Prof Michel Chossudovsky

1

2. Does Obama Really Want to Defeat Islamic State?

Alessandro Bruno

4

3. The Arab Uprisings: Causes, Consequences, and Perspectives

Rami Khouri

7

4. The Geostrategic Consequences of the Arab Spring

Zaki Samy Elakawi

18

5. The Tragedy of the Arabs The Economist

24

6. Global Jihad and the Tribal Areas of Pakistan Muhammad Ali Khan Saif

25

7. The 2014 US Withdrawal – An Unsettled Quagmire for Pakistan Lubna Sunawar

42

8. Post-US Withdrawal from Afghanistan: Internal and External Dimensions

Conference Report

53

9. CTBT: A Critical Evaluation from a Pakistani Perspective Malik Qasim Mustafa

58

10. Pakistan’s Role in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation Forum Report

66

14. After Modi's Big Win: Can India and Pakistan Enhance Relations? Frederic Grare

110

15. Hindutva and Indian Minorities Muhammad Nawaz Khan

113

16. India-Pakistan Relations: A Destructive Equilibrium Jordan Olmstead

118

17. Pakistan-India Relations via SAARC Khalid Iqbal

121

18. SAARC Summit Debriefing

Sharmadha Srinivasan

123

19. Ahead of SAARC Summit, Subdued Expectations Deepak Dobhal

124

20. Saarc Summit and After Inayatullah

126

21. Implementation of Indus Waters Treaty: Perceptions and Reality Mirza Asif Baig

131

22. The Challenge of Halving Poverty By 2015: Where Do India and Pakistan Stand?

Syed Imran Sardar

129

23. Feasibility of Granting Transit Facility to India for Afghanistan and CARs

Dr. Kamal Monnoo

145

24. President Ghani’s Endeavours Amna Ejaz Rafi

146

25. Emerging Contours of Pak-Afghan Relations Khalid Iqbal

147

26. Pakistan, India, and the Secret War for Afghanistan Parviz Azizi

149

27. Rise of China: Implications for Pakistan Muhammad Munir

151

PART TWO ASIAN AFFAIRS

28. The Beijing Bend: Future Trajectory of Pakistan-China Relations Adnan Qaiser

159

29. New ‘Oil Shock’ – Impact on South Asia Shahid Javed Burki

163

30. A Palestinian State: Elusions and Illusions of Sovereignty Anthony Rusonik

164

PART THREE PAKISTAN AFFAIRS

31. Economy of Tomorrow: A Case Study of Pakistan Dr. Hafiz A Pasha

170

32. General Macroeconomic Overview 171

33. Income Distribution, Consumption Demand and Inclusive Development

179

34. Green New Deal and Benefits of an Ecological Focus 199

35. General Evaluation 208

36. Natural Hazards and Disaster Management in Pakistan Himayatullah Khan and Abuturab Khan

212

37. 5 Unusual Causes of Drought in Pakistan’s Desert of Tharparkar Mimuba

232

38. Pakistan’s Impending Famine

Michael Kugelman

234

39. Democracy, Inclusion and Governance: The Inseparable Links Jamil Nasir

236

40. Reimagining Human Rights in Pakistan In search of a human rights policy

Asad Jamal

246

41. Education System Reform in Pakistan: Why, When, and How? Mehnaz Aziz, David E. Bloom, Salal Humair, Emmanuel Jimenez,

Larry Rosenberg &, Zeba Sathar

252

42. Demographic Doom Or Demographic Dreams: Pakistan at the Crossroads

Zeba A. Sathar

266

43. A Transatlantic Pakistan Policy Dhruva Jaishankar, John Rydqvist Andrew & Small Daniel Twining

273

45. Nuclear Proliferation Dhruva Jaishankar

275

46. Counterterrorism and Security John Rydqvist

279

47. Governance & Civil-Military Relations Daniel Twining

285

48. Economic Development Andrew Small

289

49. Strategic Decision Making in Pakistan Asad Durrani

293

50. Conflict in Balochistan: Natural Resources and the Way Forward Maliha Tariq

304

51. Balochistan Liberation Charter — The Reality Dr. Noor ul Haq

312

52. Drug Use in Pakistan 2013 United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime

316

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Editor in Chief

M Imtiaz Shahid

Backed by:

Council on Contemporary Affairs, Pakistan

(Lahore, London, Washington D.C.)

17-2nd Floor, Muslim Centre, Chatter Jee Road,

Urdu Bazaar, Lahore. Ph. 042 37360555, 35056955

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