11
ERGP Workshop - Bucharest, 19/11/2014 Dr. Bruno Basalisco USO: Considerations and next steps

0 copenhagen economics_-_uso,_considerations_and_next_steps_final

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

documento presentato al workshop di Bucarest per il servizio universale

Citation preview

Page 1: 0 copenhagen economics_-_uso,_considerations_and_next_steps_final

ERGP Workshop - Bucharest, 19/11/2014

Dr. Bruno Basalisco

USO: Considerations and next steps

Page 2: 0 copenhagen economics_-_uso,_considerations_and_next_steps_final

USO: Considerations and next steps

How to spend 5 mins well…

2

1. Setting the scene

o Why are we all looking at the USO?

2. Our initial considerations

o Reduce the scope of the USO

o Increase the flexibility for USPs

o (if necessary) Provide targeted support to vulnerable users

who cannot afford basic postal services

3. Next steps

o Ask the right questions

o Ask the right people

o Enable operators’ future innovations

Plan of the presentation

Page 3: 0 copenhagen economics_-_uso,_considerations_and_next_steps_final

USO: Considerations and next steps

Why are we all looking at the USO?

3

Major conflict

The USO becomes more and more

expensive as volumes decline

Setting the scene: 1 key conflict + 3 shifting fault lines

Page 4: 0 copenhagen economics_-_uso,_considerations_and_next_steps_final

USO: Considerations and next steps

Volumes trends

4

Source: Postnord (2014), The Leading Nordic Communications and Logistics Company. Presentation held by

President and Group CEO Håkan Ericsson at PostEXPO 2014, 23 September, 2014

Page 5: 0 copenhagen economics_-_uso,_considerations_and_next_steps_final

USO: Considerations and next steps

Behavioural change: Most communication is done digitally

5

2004

2013 36%

72%

Source: Eurostat Information Society Database. EU27, % of individuals , frequency of internet access: at least once a week

Page 6: 0 copenhagen economics_-_uso,_considerations_and_next_steps_final

USO: Considerations and next steps

Shifting tectonic plates in postal world lead to 3 fault lines

1. Changing needs

2. Public policy pulling in opposite directions

3. Affordability: historic concerns but no more general concerns

Setting the scene: 1 key conflict + 3 shifting fault lines

The generational

clash

The USO cost-benefit

balance changes

Save public spend

via e-government A still broad USO Need for change?

Page 7: 0 copenhagen economics_-_uso,_considerations_and_next_steps_final

USO: Considerations and next steps USO: Considerations and next steps

Are letters less affordable than ice cream?

7

Household spend, 2010 EU average

Ice cream: €65

Postal: €35

Page 8: 0 copenhagen economics_-_uso,_considerations_and_next_steps_final

USO: Considerations and next steps

What actions could be considered?

8

2 key aims

1. Reduce cost and make service provision

sustainable, efficient and targeted to the

large majority of users

2. Ensure basic services for vulnerable users

in a less costly way

Key options on the table

Page 9: 0 copenhagen economics_-_uso,_considerations_and_next_steps_final

USO: Considerations and next steps

What actions could be considered?

9

3 key actions

1. Reduce the scope of the USO

2. Increase the flexibility for USPs

3. (if necessary) Provide targeted support to

vulnerable users who cannot afford basic

postal services

Key options on the table

Page 10: 0 copenhagen economics_-_uso,_considerations_and_next_steps_final

USO: Considerations and next steps

Next steps

10

A cost benefit framework focus on needs and costs

1. Needs: Ask the right questions

2. Needs: Ask the right people

3. Costs: enable operators’ future innovations

What more do we need to know?... A lot

Page 11: 0 copenhagen economics_-_uso,_considerations_and_next_steps_final

USO: Considerations and next steps

11

Bruno Basalisco

[email protected]

Copenhagen Economics A/S

Sankt Annæ Plads 13

DK-1250 Copenhagen K

copenhageneconomics.com