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One-time buyers strategies based on customer portfolio analysis. A static approach Przemysław Tomczyk, PhD Institute of Value Management Warsaw School of Economics

Churn & retention, tomczyk. p., short presentation

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Page 1: Churn & retention, tomczyk. p., short presentation

One-time buyers strategies basedon customer portfolio analysis.

A static approach

Przemysław Tomczyk, PhD

Institute of Value Management

Warsaw School of Economics

Page 2: Churn & retention, tomczyk. p., short presentation

About me

PhD in Management

research interest include:customer lifetime value management

customer portfolio analysisquantitative researchqualitative research

Page 3: Churn & retention, tomczyk. p., short presentation

Business problem: one-time buyers– ok. 88%

multi-time buyers – ok. 12%

Research problem:

is to identify the one-time buyers purchase potential to

migrate them to the multi-time buyers segment. This migration equals the lengthening of the customer lifetime cycle(from transactional to relalationship approach)

Current marketing model:transactional approach with minimum customer relationships building

customer service costs (direct costs) minimization

Key customer value factorpurchase frequency

Research purposeis to identify the purchase frequency determinants

Research object:

internet shop offering garden plants

time market activity: since 2010

the period of analysis: 2010-2013

customer portfolio size: 1122

random sample – 256

Page 4: Churn & retention, tomczyk. p., short presentation

Discrimination function canonical coefficients

Function

11. revenues ,012

2. pieces purchased ,010

3. the average purchase value -,016

4. the average product value -,007

5. product categories purchased ,009

6. pieces in the main category -,002

(Const.) -,448

Non-standardized coefficients

purchase frequency determinants for one-purchasing customers – boldpurchase frequency determinants for multu-purchasing customers – normal

y = -0,448+ 0,12X(1) + 0,010X(2) – 0,016X(3) – 0,007X(4) + 0,009X(5)

– 0,002X(6)

Page 5: Churn & retention, tomczyk. p., short presentation

Results:

purchase frequency determinants for one-time buyers:

big one-time revenues

expensive products sold

a lot of products sold in the main category

purchase frequency determinants for multi-time buyers:

big overall revenues

big overall number of products sold

big overall categories of products sold

Recommendations (strategies)

If you want to have more multi-time buyers, you have to:

1. sell more products and more categories, but not too expensive ones

2. try not to sell the most expensive products during the first transaction

3. try not to sell too much products during the first transaction

4. try to be a rational adviser. Try to ecourage the purchasing for a long period of time.

Page 7: Churn & retention, tomczyk. p., short presentation