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Page 2
Introduction
© 2014 Webloyalty & Conlumino [email protected] | 020 7291 8720
Looking ahead ... Halloween October 2014
Webloyalty 19-21 Great Portland Street W1W 8QB 020 7291 8720 [email protected] www.webloyalty.co.uk
Conlumino 7 Carmelite Street, London EC4Y 0BS 020 7936 6654 [email protected] www.conlumino.com
This research has been commissioned by Webloyalty to provide retailers with insight into the current trading environment as well as some more specific insight around Halloween trading. About Webloyalty Webloyalty is a leading reward programme provider working with major online retailers to help them build stronger, more profitable relationships with their customers. Through our membership programmes we help our online retail partners’ customers save hundreds of pounds a year while providing the partner with an additional revenue stream. As well as incentivising customers to make repeat purchases at the partner’s site, members can also earn cashback and get great deals on everything from fashion to electronics to travel at hundreds of top online stores. Webloyalty was established in the UK in 2007 and has since expanded into France, Spain, Ireland, Brazil, the Netherlands and Turkey. About Conlumino Conlumino is a retail research agency and consulting firm. Our work focuses on all aspects of retailing and consumer behaviour, which we deliver through bespoke reports, projects and presentations. We work with many of the world’s leading retailers, property firms and those in the financial sector to help them maximize success through developing a thorough understanding of the sector and its likely future performance.
Foreword
Page 3
Halloween
© 2014 Webloyalty & Conlumino [email protected] | 020 7291 8720
Looking ahead ... Halloween October 2014
Summary
A growing market Halloween now means big business for retailers. We estimate that last year consumers spent €40m on all aspects of the celebration from costumes to sweets. This year, growing consumer interest means that spend is likely to be €41m, growth of around 5.7%.
Beyond sweets and chocolate While traditionally Halloween was about buying sweets and chocolate for trick or treaters, the commercial opportunity is now far wider. Indeed, the biggest segment of the market – worth around €13m this year – is clothing and costumes. Other areas, such as entertainment and stationery, have also grown rapidly.
The majority celebrates The scale of the market is underpinned by the fact that Halloween is now a mainstream celebration in which over 75% of Irish consumers participate in some way. The most popular activity is to give out sweets to trick or treaters, which well over a third of people do.
A commercial opportunity Despite the fact that people celebrate Halloween, a majority (64%) believe that it is not a real festival but a commercial opportunity. Around 29% of people feel that Halloween is bad as it focuses on the occult. However, over half agree that Halloween is nowadays as much for adults as it is for children.
Trick or treat less popular Although Halloween as a whole is popular, people are less happy with trick or treating. Just under a third say they won’t open the door to trick or treaters while 3.1% will open the door, but only to tell them to go away. A more generous 61% will give sweets and 5% will give money.
Page 4
Halloween
© 2014 Webloyalty & Conlumino [email protected] | 020 7291 8720
Looking ahead ... Halloween October 2014
Spending
In 2013 we spent €40m on Halloween
Breakdown of Halloween spending 2013
Total Halloween spending
€40m
Halloween food spend
€12m
Halloween decorations spend
€9m
Halloween clothing and costume spend
€13m
Halloween entertainment and stationery spend
€6m
Page 5
Halloween
© 2014 Webloyalty & Conlumino [email protected] | 020 7291 8720
Looking ahead ... Halloween October 2014
Spending
In 2014 we forecast spending on Halloween will be €41m
Breakdown of Halloween spending 2014
Total Halloween spending
€41m
Halloween food spend
€12m
Halloween decorations spend
€6m
Halloween clothing and costume spend
€14m
Halloween entertainment and stationery spend
€9m
Page 6
Halloween
© 2014 Webloyalty & Conlumino [email protected] | 020 7291 8720
Looking ahead ... Halloween October 2014
Spending
Entertainment and stationery will see the fastest growth
Growth in Halloween spending (2013 to 2014)
5.7 4.8 4.7
7.7
4.8
Overall Food Decorations Clothing and costumes Entertainment and stationery
Page 7
Halloween
© 2014 Webloyalty & Conlumino [email protected] | 020 7291 8720
Looking ahead ... Halloween October 2014
Celebrations
How will you mark Halloween this year? All figures are percentages
Over 75% of consumers will celebrate Halloween in some way this year
34.4
16.1
9.8 9.3 8.6 7.4 5.8 4.6 4.1 2.4 1.5
24.3
Give out sweets to trick and
treaters
Carve a pumpkin Take my kids trick or treating
Dress up or put on fancy dress
Go to Halloween themed party in a
bar/pub/club
Decorate the inside of the
house
Watch a horror movie at home
Go to or host a Halloween house
party
Decorate the outside of the
house
Go to watch a horror movie at
the cinema
Go trick or treating myself
Will not celebrate Halloween
Page 8
Halloween
© 2014 Webloyalty & Conlumino [email protected] | 020 7291 8720
Looking ahead ... Halloween October 2014
Purchases
What will you purchase for Halloween this year? All figures are percentages
65% will buy something for Halloween; over half will buy chocolate
35.9
29.9
20.1
7.8 6.5 6.4 6.1 5.6 3.5 2.5 2.2 1.9 1.9 0.9 0.8 0.7
35.4
Normal chocolates /
confectionery
Halloween themed
chocolates / confectionery
Pumpkin(s) Barmbrack Halloween costumes
(purchased)
Monkey nuts House decorations
Alcoholic drinks
Halloween costumes (rented)
Other food Halloween tableware
Horror films Halloween costumes for
pets
Halloween stationery
Halloween treats for pets
Halloween greetings
cards
I do not intend to buy
anything
Page 9
Halloween
© 2014 Webloyalty & Conlumino [email protected] | 020 7291 8720
Looking ahead ... Halloween October 2014
Spending
How much will you spend on Halloween? All figures are percentages
Those who spend will part with €11.79 each for Halloween
27.4% will spend under €5
12.2% will spend
€5 -€10
9.1% will spend €10.01-€15
3.4% will spend €15.01-€20
3.9% will spend €20.01-€25
2.6% will spend €25.01-€30
4.7% will spend €30.01+
36.7% say that they will spend nothing on Halloween this year.
Page 10
Halloween
© 2014 Webloyalty & Conlumino [email protected] | 020 7291 8720
Looking ahead ... Halloween October 2014
Fancy dress spending
How much will you spend on Halloween costumes? All figures are percentages
The average spend on Halloween costumes will be €17.97
2.9% will spend Under €5
19.3% will spend €5-€10
25.4% will spend €10.01-€15
18.3% will spend €15.01-€20
13.4% will spend €20.01-€25
9.5% will spend €25.01-€30
8.1% will spend
€30.01+
3.7% say that they will spend nothing on Halloween costumes this year.
Page 11
Halloween
© 2014 Webloyalty & Conlumino [email protected] | 020 7291 8720
Looking ahead ... Halloween October 2014
Buying costumes
Where do you plan to buy your fancy dress costume? All figures are percentages
A fifth plan to buy costumes from supermarkets
20.1 20.1 18.2 13.4 11.3 11.2 10.6 10.1 9.6 9.4 7.8
3.4 2.1
Supermarket chain
Discount store Amazon Online fancy dress shop
Discount supermarket
eBay Penneys or other clothing
store
Independent fancy dress
shop
Elsewhere online
Charity shop Other Department store
Independent grocer,
newsagent or convenience
store
Page 12
Halloween
© 2014 Webloyalty & Conlumino [email protected] | 020 7291 8720
Looking ahead ... Halloween October 2014
Where shopping
Where will you be doing your Halloween shopping this year? All figures are percentages
Halloween buying will be mostly done in physical stores
Online only
Mainly online
Both online and in-store
Mainly in-store
In-store only
4.1% 4.4% 25.5% 28.0% 38.0% Numbers may not sum to 100%; residuals are accounted for by those saying ‘don’t know’.
Page 13
Halloween
© 2014 Webloyalty & Conlumino [email protected] | 020 7291 8720
Looking ahead ... Halloween October 2014
Pumpkin purchasing
Aside from Halloween, how often do you buy pumpkins? All figures are percentages
Almost 27% of us buy pumpkins outside of Halloween
Never
73.2%
Once a year
14.8%
Twice a year
5.1%
Three times a year
2.4%
Four or more times a year
4.5%
Page 14
Halloween
© 2014 Webloyalty & Conlumino [email protected] | 020 7291 8720
Looking ahead ... Halloween October 2014
Views on Halloween
Agreement and disagreement with various statements All figures are percentages
A large majority sees Halloween as a commercial opportunity
Strongly agree Agree Neutral Disagree Strongly
disagree All who
agree Halloween is an American festival and should not be celebrated in Ireland 9.6 13.1 31.1 25.9 20.3 22.7
I’m indifferent to Halloween – it has no relevance to me but I am happy for others to celebrate it 14.5 26.5 25.4 18.9 14.7 41.0
Halloween is a fun festival that we should continue to celebrate in Ireland 14.3 26.9 33.3 13.0 12.5 41.2
Halloween is not a real festival, it’s just a commercial opportunity 28.6 35.6 20.5 12.3 3.0 64.2
Halloween marks the kick off for Christmas shopping 2.3 10.2 40.2 30.6 16.7 12.5
Halloween should be a festival for children, not adults 5.4 8.9 27.5 39.9 18.3 14.3
Halloween is nowadays as much for adults as it is for children 23.4 26.7 36.5 7.8 5.6 50.1
Halloween is bad as it focuses on the occult 14.5 14.3 36.3 22.6 12.3 28.8
Page 15
Halloween
© 2014 Webloyalty & Conlumino [email protected] | 020 7291 8720
Looking ahead ... Halloween October 2014
Trick or treating
What is your view on trick or treating? All figures are percentages
Just over a quarter of people think trick or treating is a nuisance
30.7% It’s a fun tradition
for children
5.4% It’s a fun tradition
but I wouldn’t take my children
out trick or treating
25.7% It’s a nuisance
for people to have to provide trick or
treaters with sweets
19.7% It’s intimidating
and makes people feel unsafe
in their own homes
25.0% It’s dangerous for
children to go trick or treating
23.7% I don’t mind
it
Page 16
Halloween
© 2014 Webloyalty & Conlumino [email protected] | 020 7291 8720
Looking ahead ... Halloween October 2014
Trick or treating
What will you do if trick or treaters knock at your door? All figures are percentages
Just under a third will not open the door to trick or treaters
30.2% I won’t open
the door
3.1% I will open the door, but
Tell them to go away
61.3% I will give them chocolate
and sweets
5.4% I will give them
money
Methodology
Page 18
© 2014 Webloyalty & Conlumino [email protected] | 020 7291 8720
Looking ahead ... Halloween October 2014
Methodology and sources
• A combination of consumer research, secondary research and market forecasting were used to compile this report.
• Consumer research in this report is based on a survey conducted with a Irish nationally representative poll of consumers. Over 1,500 consumers were interviewed during August and questioned about their views on Halloween and their likely shopping behaviour for this event.
• All numbers relating to expenditure and forecast expenditure on Halloween are taken from Conlumino’s own retail model. This is updated on an ongoing basis with inputs from official sources, retailers’ results and trading updates, other secondary sources and industry surveys, Conlumino’s ongoing programme of research into consumer spending and habits, and underlying economic drivers and trends. Conlumino analysts both model and interpret this information to provide guidance on the likely future direction of retail expenditure at an overall, sector and category level.
• Unless otherwise stated, all sources of information are derived from Conlumino’s own research and should be referenced to Webloyalty/Conlumino.
Conlumino
020 7936 6654 [email protected]
7 Carmelite Street, London EC4Y 0BS
Webloyalty
020 7291 8720 [email protected]
19-21 Great Portland Street, London