Bertrand Gorge

VUCA | We live in a VUCA World

Nov 2015

Volatile

Uncertain

Complex

AmbiguousVUCA

“Volatile

Uncertain

Complex

Ambiguous

Volatile | Change is accelerating

Over the next 10 years, I expect

many more industries to be

disrupted by software, with new

world-beating Silicon Valley

companies doing the disruption

in more cases than not.

Marc Andreessen, 2011

1991 The web1994 Amazon1997 Netflix1998 Google1998 PayPal1999 Alibaba1999 BlackBerry1999 SalesForce2001 iPod2001 Wikipedia2002 SpaceX2002 Amazon Web Services2003 Skype2003 Tesla2003 Digital photo > film2004 Facebook2005 YouTube2006 Twitter2006 Spotify2007 iPhone2007 Dropbox2008 Android2008 AirBnB2009 Uber2010 iPad2011 E-Books > Print Books2012 Coursera

Volatile

Uncertain

Complex

Ambiguous

Uncertain | predictability is not achievable anymore

Source: International Energy Agency

Volatile

Uncertain

Complex

Ambiguous

Complex| Models are becoming so complex, isolating the impact of actions is impossible

Total U.S. economic impacts of the 1998 El Nino were estimated to be on the order of $25 billion.

Volatile

Uncertain

Complex

Ambiguous

Ambiguity | Differences in interpretation when contextual clues are insufficient to clarify meaning

“Our mandate is not one of creative

ambiguity, it is to end austerityAlexis Tsipras

VUCA Prime | The answer to VUCA

Volatile

Uncertain

Complex

AmbiguousVUCA

Vision

Understanding

Clarity

Agility

Vision

Understanding

Clarity

Agility

Vision | Communication, Belief and Focus

“We will not stop until every car

on the road is electric.

Elon Musk, 2011

Vision

Understanding

Clarity

Agility

Understanding | Curiosity, Empathy, Open mind

Facilitation is becoming the number 1 tool in management 3.0

Vision

Understanding

Clarity

Agility

Clarity | Simplify, Intuition, Systems thinking

“Intuition is a very powerful thing,

more powerful than intellect, in

my opinion.

Steve Jobs, 2011

Vision

Understanding

Clarity

Agility

Agility | Decisiveness, Innovate or die, Empower

“You can't build an adaptable

organization without adaptable

people - and individuals change

only when they have to, or

when they want to.

Gary Hamel

“An organization's ability to learn, and translate that learning into action rapidly, is the ultimate competitive advantage.

Jack Welch