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Our Florida. Our Future.Population Analysis
US Census: “Florida Continues to Grow”
Page 2
Source: US Census Bureau, http://2010.census.gov/2010census/data/
Growth Underpins the Florida Story
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0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
16,000,000
18,000,000
20,000,000
54,477 140,424 269,493528,542 968,470 1,897,414
4,951,560
9,746,324
18,801,310
Doubling about every 20-30 years…since statehood
Source: US Census Bureau
Growth Continues But…
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1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 -
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
35,000,000
40,000,000
Source: US Census Bureau; BEBR; Collins Center
Life Expectancy
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1900
1905
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
49.0
83.2
46.4
79.3
Female
Male
Ye
ars
+ 30 years due to advances in antibiotics &
focus on childhood
How much higheronce we conquer key
diseases & later years?
Source: US Social Security
Where Will Talent Go?
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US
B
C
R
I
JapanCh
EU
US
Source: OECD
Components of Growth
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1970 2000 2030
-150,000
-50,000
50,000
150,000
250,000
350,000
450,000
550,000
1970 2000 20300
50,000100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000
Births – Deaths = Natural Increase
Net Migration
Natural Increase
Source: FL Demographic Estimating Conference
Key Migration
**
Key Gains
Key Losses
Argentina IndiaBrazil JamaicaCanada MexicoChina NicaraguaColombia PeruCuba PhilippinesDominican Republic RussiaEcuador Trinidad and TobagoGuatemala United KingdomHaiti VenezuelaHonduras Vietnam
New York Louisiana New Jersey Wisconsin Massachusetts Mississippi Michigan Georgia Ohio North Carolina Pennsylvania Tennessee Connecticut Texas Maryland South Carolina Alaska Alabama Indiana Arizona Illinois Kentucky
Source: US Census, ACS; US Dept of Homeland Security
Residents by Region
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1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 -
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
Source: US Census Bureau; FL EDR; Collins Center
We are older…
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1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0%
Age Cohort Trend, 1960-2030
0-4 5-17 18-24 25-39 40-54 55-64 65-79 80+
Source: US Census Bureau; FL EDR
…and Retiring
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Source: US Census Bureau; FL EDR
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Entering v. Exiting Workforce
18-24 year olds
65-69 year olds
% o
f F
L P
op
ula
tio
n
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 20305,000,000
7,000,000
9,000,000
11,000,000
13,000,000
15,000,000
“Dependent” (<18 + 65>) v. Working Age
"Dependent" Age "Traditional" Working Age
We are Diverse…
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Source: US Census Bureau
…and Diffuse
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Foreign Born
Source: US Census Bureau; American Community Survey
2010
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It’s Our Florida …Our Future.
Join us as we rehearse for tomorrow
