A R E A S O N E D 5 Y E A R S P R O J E C T I O N

F O R T E C H N O L O G Y L A N D S C A P E

Enterprise IT 2020 Outlook

Raymond GaoEuropean University

May, 2015

Current State of EIT*

Key Drivers

Market Size

Expert Predictions

*EIT (Enterprise IT)

Gartner Nexus of Forces – Key Drivers

Source: Gartner 2015

NOW

Market Size as of 2013/2014

Source: TechCrunch / Forrester

It’s a ~$2.1 Trillion Global Market.Biggest Slices:• Software• Devices & Equipment• IT Outsourcing

Cloud is a Rising Star

Source: GS / Forbes

An Expert Prediction

Forrester thinks, that SaaS will capture the lion share of the business.

Different Perspectives

Experts views differ in the Growth Rate and the Numbers.

A Deviant Prognosis

Cisco thinks, the numbers will be more evenly distributed.

Now, some Famous Quotes

The groundhog is like most other prophets; it delivers its prediction and then disappears.

- Bill Vaughan

Difficulty of Making Predictions

Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.

-Niels Bohr

Reasoning is More Elegant

In questions of science, the authority of a thousand is not worth the humble reasoning of a single individual.

- Galileo Galilei

My Prognosis

SMIC will RISE.

How?

Social needs 3Rs

Currently, Almost every major vendor has one or more social applications.

As some said:

The 3 Rs

Content should have 3Rs.

Relevancy

Richness

Refined

Reasoning:

Remove Social noises.

Relevant

Richness Refined

~Noise~

MEANINGFUL INFORMATION

Example of Irrelevant Contents

Noise proves Nothing.

- Mark Twain

Don’t care about this and 518 more feeds?

Example of Relevant Content

To have any Value, Social feeds should be organized by CONTEXT.

Can Anyone bear this Anymore?

Let’s hope to find a man, who can still suffer the green text on the black background!

Some say, the price on the right is justified?

Vs.

Please TELL ME, which one is Fairly / Richly priced?

Do you like this burger?

Don’t think so!

If yes, you have gotten REFINED taste buds.

YUMMY!

Next, everyone’s gotten a Selfie.

Even him. Waterproof, too…….

What’s the best Phone and/or Plan?

When you figured it out, please let me know.

Some say, this will be future …

Want future? Michael F. might know best.

The 2Is.

Intelligent(Predictive)

Independent(Autonomous)

Internet Ready

The Tesla car guy said…

Well, you will need:

Autonomous (Independent Operating Machines).

For that, you need to read Alan’s works.

Artificial Intelligence

Let’s hope, the aging T800 will fight for Good.

Before, his guy’s prediction realizes.

However, the Cloud King would say:

The rights of every man are diminished, when the rights of one man are threatened.

- JFK

I shall quote only:

“If you can dream it, you can do it.”

- Walt Disney

As for Cloud Computing, it needs:

Simplicity

Simply, NO more Technical Jargons

For example, IaaS and PaaS will fold into one, “Hosting”.The boundary between onsite and offsite deployment will blur and disappear, given multitudes of virtual containers, “Docker”, ESX, OpenStack…

Really, No Cloud is a Continent

As for Big Data people, they might prophesy:

The Apocalypse of RDBMS

I see only this:

In five years, it will be a new world. The war of NoSQL vs. SQL will be over. The chasm between structured, non-structured, semi-structured, and stream data will close and Converge.

Important data must be always safe kept; while, architecture shall be in perfect proportions.

Q: Who redesigned this?

A Hint.

He sculpted this as well.

Furthermore, Knowledge needs to Extent.

We already have tactile technologies.

Given this in 2015

How distant are those?

Yes, today’s buzz word, BI, will sound like Cockney to you, in five years time.

Let me close - EIT 2020 could be defined by:

3 Rs 2 Is

S 4 Es

3 Rs – Relevant, Rich, and Refined.2 Is – Independent and Intelligent1 S – Simplify 4 Es – Extensible, Experience, Evolving, and Enabling

And, one last quote

Logic will get you from A to B. Imagination will take you everywhere.

- Albert Einstein

Thank You

COOKING Recipes for 2020 coming soon.