RN Surveys

Schools Surveys

Employer Surveys

FORECASTING CALIFORNIA’S RN WORKFORCE

Projected Shortage of Registered Nurses (FTEs) in California

-

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

Supply Forecast Hours-per-patient-day-based Demand Forecast Budgeted Position-based Demand Forecast

RN Surveys that evaluate change and RN satisfactionBiennial stratified random sample including:• Demographics• Salary• Job satisfaction• Future plans

Annual survey of CA nursing programs:• Graduates• Funding• Attrition and success of students

Forecasts of theRegistered Nurse Workforce

in California(2001, 2005, 2007, 2009, 2011)

Public Webpage

2001 Forecast

2011 Forecast

Policies & Legislation• 2002 – Governor Gray Davis’s

Nurse Workforce Initiative (NWI) to address the shortage of nurses in California

• 2005 – Gov. Schwarzenegger’s Nurse Education Initiative continues education expansion

• Private grants to Schools

• HRSA Grants

• Increased in state funding to community colleges

Recommendations to expand and redefine nursing profession, including:

• Increase funding for new RN education programs and expanding existing programs

Recent findings and trends:• Nursing school enrollments

have more than doubled in the past decade

• Fewer RNs retiring due to the economic recession

• Less demand for newly-graduated RNs

• Surplus not expected to continue as nurses retire

• The Affordable Care Act (ACA) will insure 30 million additional Americans

Funders• California Board of Registered Nursing (BRN)• Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation

Partners• Center for the Health Professions (CHP), UC San Francisco• Hospital Association of Southern California (HASC)• California Institute for Nursing & Health Care (CINHC)

Annual survey of CA nurse employers:• Current employment numbers• Vacancies• Turnover• New graduate hiring

Joanne Spetz, Timothy Bates, Renae Waneka, Dennis Keane, Lela Chu, Jessica Lin