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A PRACTICAL COMPUTER PROGRAM THAT DIAGNOSES DISEASES IN ACTUAL PATIENTS Carlos Feder & Tomás Feder

A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

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Page 1: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

A PRACTICAL

COMPUTER

PROGRAM

THAT DIAGNOSES DISEASES

IN ACTUAL PATIENTS

Carlos Feder &

Tomás Feder

Page 2: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

A PRACTICAL COMPUTER PROGRAM

THAT DIAGNOSES DISEASES IN ACTUAL PATIENTS

Carlos Feder & Tomás Feder

Page 3: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

ESSENTIAL NEED FOR AN EFFICIENT

COMPUTER DIAGNOSTIC PROGRAM

Page 4: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

ESSENTIAL NEED FOR AN EFFICIENT

COMPUTER DIAGNOSTIC PROGRAM

Diagnostic errors occur very frequently; some are disabling or fatal,

resulting in liability for the physician. Unawareness, underreported

Page 5: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

ESSENTIAL NEED FOR AN EFFICIENT

COMPUTER DIAGNOSTIC PROGRAM

Diagnostic errors occur very frequently; some are disabling or fatal,

resulting in liability for the physician. Unawareness, underreported

Physicians order an inordinate number of futile tests, not rationally

selected according to a probabilistically determined benefit

Page 6: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

ESSENTIAL NEED FOR AN EFFICIENT

COMPUTER DIAGNOSTIC PROGRAM

Diagnostic errors occur very frequently; some are disabling or fatal,

resulting in liability for the physician. Unawareness, underreported

Physicians order an inordinate number of futile tests, not rationally

selected according to a probabilistically determined benefit

These errors are due to the impossibility to remember or even learn

thousands of diseases with their corresponding names, symptoms,

tests, procedures, causes, mechanisms, etc.

Page 7: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

ESSENTIAL NEED FOR AN EFFICIENT

COMPUTER DIAGNOSTIC PROGRAM

Diagnostic errors occur very frequently; some are disabling or fatal,

resulting in liability for the physician. Unawareness, underreported

Physicians order an inordinate number of futile tests, not rationally

selected according to a probabilistically determined benefit

These errors are due to the impossibility to remember or even learn

thousands of diseases with their corresponding names, symptoms,

tests, procedures, causes, mechanisms, etc.

Diseases neither learned nor recalled by the physician remain

undiagnosed or misdiagnosed

Page 8: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

ESSENTIAL NEED FOR AN EFFICIENT

COMPUTER DIAGNOSTIC PROGRAM

Diagnostic errors occur very frequently; some are disabling or fatal,

resulting in liability for the physician. Unawareness, underreported

Physicians order an inordinate number of futile tests, not rationally

selected according to a probabilistically determined benefit

These errors are due to the impossibility to remember or even learn

thousands of diseases with their corresponding names, symptoms,

tests, procedures, causes, mechanisms, etc.

Diseases neither learned nor recalled by the physician remain

undiagnosed or misdiagnosed

Problem compounded by time constraints imposed by health

insurances (managed care medicine)

Page 9: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

ESSENTIAL NEED FOR AN EFFICIENT

COMPUTER DIAGNOSTIC PROGRAM

Diagnostic errors occur very frequently; some are disabling or fatal,

resulting in liability for the physician. Unawareness, underreported

Physicians order an inordinate number of futile tests, not rationally

selected according to a probabilistically determined benefit

These errors are due to the impossibility to remember or even learn

thousands of diseases with their corresponding names, symptoms,

tests, procedures, causes, mechanisms, etc.

Diseases neither learned nor recalled by the physician remain

undiagnosed or misdiagnosed

Problem compounded by time constraints imposed by health

insurances (managed care medicine)

Computers can store the contents of many medical texts and swiftly

retrieve the needed information anywhere and at any time

Page 10: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

EXISTING SO CALLED

“COMPUTER DIAGNOSTIC PROGRAMS”

INTERNIST (former Caduceus)

MEDITEL

QMR (Quick Medical Reference)

ILIAD

PKC (Problem-Knowledge Couplers)

ISABEL

DXplain

Page 11: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

EXISTING SO CALLED

“COMPUTER DIAGNOSTIC PROGRAMS”

INTERNIST (former Caduceus)

MEDITEL

QMR (Quick Medical Reference)

ILIAD

PKC (Problem-Knowledge Couplers)

ISABEL

DXplain

Excellent remainder of unusual diagnoses, but

Unable to pinpoint the disease(s) that actually afflict a specific patient

Considered educational or training tools rather than diagnostic tools

Poorly accepted and seldom used by practicing health care providers

Page 12: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Advantages of our novel computer program

Page 13: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Advantages of our novel computer program

It confirms one or more diseases that indeed afflict a specific patient, instead of

displaying a long list of potential diagnoses that compete with each other

Page 14: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Advantages of our novel computer program

It confirms one or more diseases that indeed afflict a specific patient, instead of

displaying a long list of potential diagnoses that compete with each other

It rules in diagnoses evoked by clinical data present, but also rules out those diagnoses

that are not viable, based on sensitivity of clinical data absent

Page 15: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Advantages of our novel computer program

It confirms one or more diseases that indeed afflict a specific patient, instead of

displaying a long list of potential diagnoses that compete with each other

It rules in diagnoses evoked by clinical data present, but also rules out those diagnoses

that are not viable, based on sensitivity of clinical data absent

It diagnoses concurrent diseases afflicting simultaneously a specific patient

Page 16: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Advantages of our novel computer program

It confirms one or more diseases that indeed afflict a specific patient, instead of

displaying a long list of potential diagnoses that compete with each other

It rules in diagnoses evoked by clinical data present, but also rules out those diagnoses

that are not viable, based on sensitivity of clinical data absent

It diagnoses concurrent diseases afflicting simultaneously a specific patient

It calculates accurately the probability of each diagnosis with our novel mini-max

procedure, instead of applying inexact Bayes formula or other methods

Page 17: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Advantages of our novel computer program

It confirms one or more diseases that indeed afflict a specific patient, instead of

displaying a long list of potential diagnoses that compete with each other

It rules in diagnoses evoked by clinical data present, but also rules out those diagnoses

that are not viable, based on sensitivity of clinical data absent

It diagnoses concurrent diseases afflicting simultaneously a specific patient

It calculates accurately the probability of each diagnosis with our novel mini-max

procedure, instead of applying inexact Bayes formula or other methods

It gives primary importance to the cost of obtaining each clinical datum. Our algorithm

interprets cost not only as dollar expense, but also considers discomfort and risk of the

procedure. Four overall cost categories are established: No Cost, Small Cost,

Intermediate Cost, and Great Cost

Page 18: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Advantages of our novel computer program

It confirms one or more diseases that indeed afflict a specific patient, instead of

displaying a long list of potential diagnoses that compete with each other

It rules in diagnoses evoked by clinical data present, but also rules out those diagnoses

that are not viable, based on sensitivity of clinical data absent

It diagnoses concurrent diseases afflicting simultaneously a specific patient

It calculates accurately the probability of each diagnosis with our novel mini-max

procedure, instead of applying inexact Bayes formula or other methods

It gives primary importance to the cost of obtaining each clinical datum. Our algorithm

interprets cost not only as dollar expense, but also considers discomfort and risk of the

procedure. Four overall cost categories are established: No Cost, Small Cost,

Intermediate Cost, and Great Cost

It anticipates the benefit that each clinical datum would confer to each diagnosis in the

differential diagnosis list, by calculating with our mini-max procedure how much it would

increase or decrease the current probability of the corresponding diagnosis if the data

were found respectively present or absent in the patient

Page 19: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Advantages of our novel computer program

It confirms one or more diseases that indeed afflict a specific patient, instead of

displaying a long list of potential diagnoses that compete with each other

It rules in diagnoses evoked by clinical data present, but also rules out those diagnoses

that are not viable, based on sensitivity of clinical data absent

It diagnoses concurrent diseases afflicting simultaneously a specific patient

It calculates accurately the probability of each diagnosis with our novel mini-max

procedure, instead of applying inexact Bayes formula or other methods

It gives primary importance to the cost of obtaining each clinical datum. Our algorithm

interprets cost not only as dollar expense, but also considers discomfort and risk of the

procedure. Four overall cost categories are established: No Cost, Small Cost,

Intermediate Cost, and Great Cost

It anticipates the benefit that each clinical datum would confer to each diagnosis in the

differential diagnosis list, by calculating with our mini-max procedure how much it would

increase or decrease the current probability of the corresponding diagnosis if the data

were found respectively present or absent in the patient.

It selects and recommends the probabilistically calculated best cost-benefit clinical data

to investigate next in the patient at each diagnostic step, to achieve more efficiently and

economically a final diagnosis

Page 20: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Advantages of our novel computer program(continues)

Page 21: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Advantages of our novel computer program(continues)

It recommends a set of best cost-benefit clinical data to be investigated simultaneously

in the patient, based on diverse heuristic strategies

Page 22: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Advantages of our novel computer program(continues)

It recommends a set of best cost-benefit clinical data to be investigated simultaneously

in the patient, based on diverse heuristic strategies

It can display selected partial lists that render the diagnostic task more economic and

manageable, without compromising the accuracy of the result. It accomplishes this

through parameters that can be set at diverse values and through abridged output files,

giving the user the choice to select the ones that fit best his or her preferences

Page 23: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Advantages of our novel computer program(continues)

It recommends a set of best cost-benefit clinical data to be investigated simultaneously

in the patient, based on diverse heuristic strategies

It can display selected partial lists that render the diagnostic task more economic and

manageable, without compromising the accuracy of the result. It accomplishes this

through parameters that can be set at diverse values and through abridged output files,

giving the user the choice to select the ones that fit best his or her preferences

It includes complex clinical presentation models in the database, which list associations

among diseases, such as causes, complications, and other relations, precluding

overlooking associated diseases

Page 24: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Advantages of our novel computer program(continues)

It recommends a set of best cost-benefit clinical data to be investigated simultaneously

in the patient, based on diverse heuristic strategies

It can display selected partial lists that render the diagnostic task more economic and

manageable, without compromising the accuracy of the result. It accomplishes this

through parameters that can be set at diverse values and through abridged output files,

giving the user the choice to select the ones that fit best his or her preferences

It includes complex clinical presentation models in the database, which list associations

among diseases, such as causes, complications, and other relations, precluding

overlooking associated diseases

It deals with interactions between concurrent diseases or drugs that mask important

clinical data of the primary disease, precluding the improper ruling out of the

corresponding diagnosis

Page 25: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Advantages of our novel computer program(continues)

It recommends a set of best cost-benefit clinical data to be investigated simultaneously

in the patient, based on diverse heuristic strategies

It can display selected partial lists that render the diagnostic task more economic and

manageable, without compromising the accuracy of the result. It accomplishes this

through parameters that can be set at diverse values and through abridged output files,

giving the user the choice to select the ones that fit best his or her preferences

It includes complex clinical presentation models in the database, which list associations

among diseases, such as causes, complications, and other relations, precluding

overlooking associated diseases

It deals with interactions between concurrent diseases or drugs that mask important

clinical data of the primary disease, precluding the improper ruling out of the

corresponding diagnosis

It proposes an easy way to handle synonyms of diagnoses and clinical data

Page 26: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Advantages of our novel computer program(continues)

It recommends a set of best cost-benefit clinical data to be investigated simultaneously

in the patient, based on diverse heuristic strategies

It can display selected partial lists that render the diagnostic task more economic and

manageable, without compromising the accuracy of the result. It accomplishes this

through parameters that can be set at diverse values and through abridged output files,

giving the user the choice to select the ones that fit best his or her preferences

It includes complex clinical presentation models in the database, which list associations

among diseases, such as causes, complications, and other relations, precluding

overlooking associated diseases

It deals with interactions between concurrent diseases or drugs that mask important

clinical data of the primary disease, precluding the improper ruling out of the

corresponding diagnosis

It proposes an easy way to handle synonyms of diagnoses and clinical data

It is ease to update

Page 27: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Advantages of our novel computer program(continues)

It recommends a set of best cost-benefit clinical data to be investigated simultaneously

in the patient, based on diverse heuristic strategies

It can display selected partial lists that render the diagnostic task more economic and

manageable, without compromising the accuracy of the result. It accomplishes this

through parameters that can be set at diverse values and through abridged output files,

giving the user the choice to select the ones that fit best his or her preferences

It includes complex clinical presentation models in the database, which list associations

among diseases, such as causes, complications, and other relations, precluding

overlooking associated diseases

It deals with interactions between concurrent diseases or drugs that mask important

clinical data of the primary disease, precluding the improper ruling out of the

corresponding diagnosis

It proposes an easy way to handle synonyms of diagnoses and clinical data

It is ease to update

Such an algorithm, if successful in medicine, may represent a more general model of

reasoning; a paradigm of mental structure and functioning applicable to other inexact

disciplines such as law, sociology, politics, defense, or corporate strategy

Page 28: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

SOCIOECONOMIC ADVANTAGES

OF OUR PROGRAM

Page 29: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

SOCIOECONOMIC ADVANTAGES

OF OUR PROGRAM1. Reduces significantly the current numerous diagnostic errors and their dismal

consequences

Page 30: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

SOCIOECONOMIC ADVANTAGES

OF OUR PROGRAM1. Reduces significantly the current numerous diagnostic errors and their dismal

consequences

2. Saves specialist consultations; important in emergencies and in underdeveloped

areas were specialists are not available

Page 31: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

SOCIOECONOMIC ADVANTAGES

OF OUR PROGRAM1. Reduces significantly the current numerous diagnostic errors and their dismal

consequences

2. Saves specialist consultations; important in emergencies and in underdeveloped

areas were specialists are not available

3. Reduces significantly the number of futile tests and procedures, by recommending

the best cost-benefit clinical data to investigate next in a patient. This saves

expense, risk, and discomfort for the patient and saves social medical resources

Page 32: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

SOCIOECONOMIC ADVANTAGES

OF OUR PROGRAM1. Reduces significantly the current numerous diagnostic errors and their dismal

consequences

2. Saves specialist consultations; important in emergencies and in underdeveloped

areas were specialists are not available

3. Reduces significantly the number of futile tests and procedures, by recommending

the best cost-benefit clinical data to investigate next in a patient. This saves

expense, risk, and discomfort for the patient and saves social medical resources

4. On the other hand, if best cost-benefit function proves probabilistically that a

diagnostic procedure is absolutely necessary, it will force managed care

organizations and insurers to authorize such procedures, otherwise curtailed for

being expensive

Page 33: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

SOCIOECONOMIC ADVANTAGES

OF OUR PROGRAM1. Reduces significantly the current numerous diagnostic errors and their dismal

consequences

2. Saves specialist consultations; important in emergencies and in underdeveloped

areas were specialists are not available

3. Reduces significantly the number of futile tests and procedures, by recommending

the best cost-benefit clinical data to investigate next in a patient. This saves

expense, risk, and discomfort for the patient and saves social medical resources

4. On the other hand, if best cost-benefit function proves probabilistically that a

diagnostic procedure is absolutely necessary, it will force managed care

organizations and insurers to authorize such procedures, otherwise curtailed for

being expensive

5. Facilitates and improves utilization reviews by hospitals, laboratories, and other

providers.

Page 34: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

SOCIOECONOMIC ADVANTAGES

OF OUR PROGRAM1. Reduces significantly the current numerous diagnostic errors and their dismal

consequences

2. Saves specialist consultations; important in emergencies and in underdeveloped

areas were specialists are not available

3. Reduces significantly the number of futile tests and procedures, by recommending

the best cost-benefit clinical data to investigate next in a patient. This saves

expense, risk, and discomfort for the patient and saves social medical resources

4. On the other hand, if best cost-benefit function proves probabilistically that a

diagnostic procedure is absolutely necessary, it will force managed care

organizations and insurers to authorize such procedures, otherwise curtailed for

being expensive

5. Facilitates and improves utilization reviews by hospitals, laboratories, and other

providers.

6. Protect health care providers against unfounded malpractice liability

Page 35: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

SOCIOECONOMIC ADVANTAGES

OF OUR PROGRAM1. Reduces significantly the current numerous diagnostic errors and their dismal

consequences

2. Saves specialist consultations; important in emergencies and in underdeveloped

areas were specialists are not available

3. Reduces significantly the number of futile tests and procedures, by recommending

the best cost-benefit clinical data to investigate next in a patient. This saves

expense, risk, and discomfort for the patient and saves social medical resources

4. On the other hand, if best cost-benefit function proves probabilistically that a

diagnostic procedure is absolutely necessary, it will force managed care

organizations and insurers to authorize such procedures, otherwise curtailed for

being expensive

5. Facilitates and improves utilization reviews by hospitals, laboratories, and other

providers.

6. Protect health care providers against unfounded malpractice liability

7. Helps to overcome the current well known resistance of physicians to resort to

computerized aid for medical diagnosis

Page 36: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

SOCIOECONOMIC ADVANTAGES

OF OUR PROGRAM1. Reduces significantly the current numerous diagnostic errors and their dismal

consequences

2. Saves specialist consultations; important in emergencies and in underdeveloped

areas were specialists are not available

3. Reduces significantly the number of futile tests and procedures, by recommending

the best cost-benefit clinical data to investigate next in a patient. This saves

expense, risk, and discomfort for the patient and saves social medical resources

4. On the other hand, if best cost-benefit function proves probabilistically that a

diagnostic procedure is absolutely necessary, it will force managed care

organizations and insurers to authorize such procedures, otherwise curtailed for

being expensive

5. Facilitates and improves utilization reviews by hospitals, laboratories, and other

providers.

6. Protect health care providers against unfounded malpractice liability

7. Helps to overcome the current well known resistance of physicians to resort to

computerized aid for medical diagnosis

8. Some concepts of our diagnostic program are applicable and necessary to properly

implement the current renewed enthusiasm for long needed universal electronic

storage of medical records

Page 37: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

DEMONSTRATION

Page 38: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

DEMONSTRATION

A 32-year-old white female grade-school teacher with recent onset of

palpitations. Six months ago she lost her job, followed by

nervousness and depression. At that time a complete physical

examination and basic lab tests were normal; she was treated with an

antidepressant, without improving. Her medical condition gradually

worsened and recently the mentioned palpitations added to the clinical

picture, motivating the present consultation. The medical examination

revealed the following clinical data.

Page 39: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

CLINCAL DATA PRESENT

Page 40: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

CLINCAL DATA PRESENT

No Cost clinical data

Medical History (symptoms)

C0072 (palpitations)

C0216 (nervousness/anxiety)

C0606 (depression)

C0050 (fatigue, asthenia)

C0109 (sweating, diaphoresis, perspiration)

C0161 (weight loss)

C0165 (diarrhea)

C0010 (dyspnea, breathlessness, shortness of breath)

Physical Examination (physical signs)

C0078 (tachycardia)

C0219 (fine texture of skin/hair)

C0224 (exophthalmos)

C0490 (conjunctival redness)

C0222 (lid lag)

C0220 (goiter, enlarged thyroid gland)

C0095 (loud first heart sound)

C0053 (systolic murmur)

C0111 (weakness)

C0223 (tremor)

Page 41: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

CLINCAL DATA ABSENT

Page 42: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

CLINCAL DATA ABSENT

No Cost clinical data

Medical History (symptoms)

C0498 (male)

Page 43: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

DIFFERENTIAL DIAGNOSIS LIST

D0011 (HYPERTHYROIDISM, GRAVES' DISEASE)total P: 818----------D0004 (MITRAL STENOSIS/RHEUMATIC HEART DISEASE)total P: 640----------D0012 (PHEOCHROMOCYTOMA)total P: 364----------D0003 (ATRIAL SEPTAL DEFECT SECUNDUM)total P: 338----------D0002 (AORTIC VALVE STENOSIS)total P: 332----------D0035 (ROCKY MOUNTAIN SPOTTED FEVER)total P: 272----------D0057 (ACUTE MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION WITH MASKED CHEST PAIN)total P: 183----------D0005 (ACUTE MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION WITHOUT MASKED CHEST PAIN)total P: 183----------D0027 (DISSEMINATED GONOCOCCAL INFECTION)total P: 181----------D0069 (PANCREATIC BODY-TAIL CARCINOMA)total P: 176----------

D0046 (PANCREATIC HEAD CARCINOMA)total P: 176----------D0001 (AORTIC DISSECTION)total P: 169----------D0007 (PULMONARY EMBOLISM)total P: 157----------D0026 (INTESTINAL GIARDIASIS)total P: 145----------D0022 (ULCERATIVE COLITIS)total P: 145----------D0024 (ACUTE INFECTIVE ENDOCARDITIS)total P: 138----------D0038 (SYSTEMIC LUPUS ERYTHEMATOSUS)total P: 132----------D0059 (DIABETIC KETOACIDOSIS)total P: 110----------D0021 (CROHN'S DISEASE, REGIONAL ENTERITIS)total P: 107----------D0034 (PNEUMOCOCCAL PNEUMONIA)total P: 100----------

Page 44: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Data Cost Procedure Quantity

No Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 103

G0001 MEDICAL HISTORYC0353 (abdominal pain, right lower quadrant)C0800 (abdominal pain, left lower quadrant)C0799 (abdominal pain, right upper quadrant)C0246 (abdominal pain, epigastric)C0781 (abdominal pain, left upper quadrant)C0697 (inadequate insulin administration)C0352 (mucus in stool)C0615 (dysuria)C0538 (photosensitivity)C0533 (pericarditis)C0215 (hypersensitivity to heat)C0486 (onset May-September)C0458 (vaginal discharge)C0401 (urinary tract symptoms, female)C0400 (urinary tract symptoms, male)

Continues…

G0002 PHYSICAL EXAMINATIONC0864 (urethral discharge)C0860 (urethritis)C0859 (cervicitis)C0853 (small intestine obstruction)C0854 (colonic obstruction)C0794 (systolic thrill)C0793 (unequal blood pressures)C0702 (Kussmaul respiration)C0529 (butterfly, malar rash)C0475 (chest dullness at percussion)C0402 (tenosynovitis/periarthritis)C0398 (dehydration)C0379 (new/worsened regurgitant murmur)

Continues…

Small cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 92

G0003 ELECTROCARDIOGRAMC0377 (abnormal ECG)C0120 (myocardial infarction pattern on ECG)C0065 (left ventricular hypertrophy on ECG)C0577 (myocardial infarction pattern on ECG, with masked chest pain)C0048 (myocardial infarction pattern on ECG, without masked chest pain)

G0004 LABORATORY TESTSC0867 (nucleic acid urogenital probe tests for gonococcus)C0788 (CA 19-9)C0705 (plasma ketones ++++)

C0704 (moderate hyperosmolality: 300 – 320 mOsm/mL)C0703 (glucose: 250 – 600mg/dL)C0710 (hypertriglyceridemia, triglycerides > 250 mg/dL)C0711 (hyperlipoproteinemia)C0679 (plasma D-dimer ELISA)C0535 (ANA, antinuclear antibodies)C0526 (hypergammaglobulinemia)C0518 (casts)C0496 (latex agglutination test for rocky mountain spotted fever)C0495 (indirect immunofluorescence assay for rocky mountain spotted fever)C0386 (C-reactive protein)C0384 (multiple blood cultures for acute endocardits)C0244 (elevated plasma and urine catecholamines and metanephrines)C0243 (elevated twenty four-hour urine vanillylmandelic acid)C0229 (suppressed TSH)C0228 (increased free, uncombined thyroxin, T four or T three)C0214 (hypophosphatemia)

Continues…

G0005 RADIOLOGYC0680 (Westermark's, Hampton's, and Palla's signs on chest x-rays)C0338 ("string sign" on x-rays)C0329 (pleural effusion on imaging)C0134 (pulmonary infiltrate on imaging)C0330 (pancreatic head mass on abdominal ultrasound)C0681 (venous ultrasonography with Doppler imaging)C0044 (transthoracic aorta ultrasound for aortic dissection)

Continues…

G0007 ECHOCARDIOGRAMC0664 (echocardiogram for MI)C0378 (valvular vegetations on transesophageal echocardiogram)C0070 (aortic valve stenosis on echocardiogram)C0102 (mitral stenosis on echocardiogram)

Intermediate cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 33

G0004 LABORATORY TESTSC0396 (string test)C0189 (abnormal glucose tolerance)

G0005 RADIOLOGYC0856 (upper GI series with small bowel follow-through for Crohn's disease)C0242 (barium enema for ulcerative colitis)C0027 (gastrograffin enema for Crohn's disease)

Continues…G0006 ULTRASOUNDC0792 (transesophageal ultrasound for aortic dissection)

G0007 ECHOCARDIOGRAMC0797 (echocardiogram of atrial septal defect secundum)

G0008 IMAGING: CT AND/OR MRIC0902 (magnetic resonance colangio-pancreatography for body or tail mass)C0901 (magnetic resonance colangio-pancreatography for head)C0851 (multidetector-row CT with oral contrast for Crohn's disease)C0834 (positron-emission tomography (PET) for pheochromocytoma)C0798 (mitral stenosis on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging)C0784 (pancreatic body or tail mass on CT or MRI)C0682 (multislice spiral chest CT or MRI for pulmonary embolism)C0670 (liver imaging with CT or MRI: fatty liver)C0612 (spiral CT scanning for pancreatic head carcinoma)C0785 (spiral CT scanning for pancreatic body or tail carcinoma)

Continues…

G0009 SCANNINGC0833 (nuclear medicine scintigraphy with MIBG for pheochromocytoma)C0157 (lung perfusion scan with ventilation scan: high probability)C0233 (thyroid radionuclide scan)

G0010 ENDOSCOPYC0850 (wireless capsule endoscopy for Crohn's disease)C0153 (colonoscopy and biopsy for Crohn's disease)

Continues…

G0011 BIOPSYC0497 (biopsy and immunologic exam for R. rickettsii of a rash lesion)C0399 (biopsy of small intestine for Giardia lamblia)

Great cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 14

G0010 ENDOSCOPYC0898 (endoscopic ultrasound and fine-needle aspiration for body)C0608 (ERCP for pancreatic head carcinoma)

Continues…

G0011 BIOPSYC0611 (biopsy for pancreatic head carcinoma)C0786 (biopsy for pancreatic body or tail carcinoma)

G0013 ANGIOGRAPHYC0787 (pancreatic body or tail mass on angiography)C0047 (aortography)C0071 (aortic valve stenosis on catheterization)C0160 (pulmonary angiogram)

Continues…

Total: 242

Page 45: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

PARAMETERS Trim Present No Cost 800 Trim Absent No Cost 800 Trim Present Greater Cost 800 Trim Absent Greater Cost 800 Present Difference Cost 000 Absent Difference Cost 000 Confirmation Threshold 900 Deletion Threshold 100 Cutoff Present 100 Cutoff Absent 900

Page 46: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Abridged Data Cost Procedure QuantityNo Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 35

G0001 MEDICAL HISTORYC0353 (abdominal pain, right lower quadrant)C0800 (abdominal pain, left lower quadrant)C0781 (abdominal pain, left upper quadrant)C0780 (strong analgesics)C0673 (pregnancy)C0401 (urinary tract symptoms, female)C0333 (malabsorption)C0296 (gross blood in stool)C0262 (acholic, pale, clay-colored stool)C0215 (hypersensitivity to heat)C0163 (anorexia, loss of appetite)C0127 (arthralgia)C0004 (chest pain)C0052 (history of angina pectoris)C0107 (diabetes)

G0002 PHYSICAL EXAMINATIONC0794 (systolic thrill)C0678 (paradoxical bradycardia)C0562 (Horner's syndrome)C0475 (chest dullness at percussion)C0379 (new/worsened regurgitant murmur)C0375 (meningism)C0365 (skin lesions)C0337 (mouth lesions)C0332 (intestinal fistulas)C0248 (jaundice, icterus)C0238 (funduscopic abnormalities for pheochromocytoma)C0147 (tachypnea)C0015 (abdominal tenderness)C0018 (fever)C0019 (hypertension)C0022 (heart murmur)C0054 (clinical data of advanced age)C0055 (delayed second heart sound)C0074 (right ventricular abnormal maximal impulse)C0094 (mitral opening snap)

Small Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 27

G0004 LABORATORY TESTSC0867 (nucleic acid urogenital probe tests for gonococcus)C0788 (CA 19-9)C0789 (CA 19-9)C0705 (plasma ketones ++++)

C0819 (increased troponins with masked chest pain)C0829 (increased troponins without masked chest pain)C0679 (plasma D-dimer ELISA)C0535 (ANA, antinuclear antibodies)C0496 (latex agglutination test for rocky mountain spotted fever)C0495 (indirect immunofluorescence assay for rocky mountain spotted fever)C0884 (sputum culture for pneumococcus)C0395 (antigen detection in stool)C0384 (multiple blood cultures for acute endocardits)C0345 (serologic markers for Crohn's disease: ASCA)C0852 (serologic markers for ulcerative colitis: pANCA)C0244 (elevated plasma and urine catecholamines and metanephrines)C0229 (suppressed TSH)C0228 (increased free, uncombined thyroxin, T four or T three)C0151 (increased bilirubin)C0131 (increased ESR)C0033 (leukocytosis)

G0005 RADIOLOGYC0042 (abnormal aortic contour on chest x-ray; widening of mediastinum)C0085 (cardiac enlargement on imaging; usually due to right ventric. enlarg.)C0086 (increased pulmonary artery and/or vascular engorgement on imaging)

G0006 ULTRASOUNDC0044 (transthoracic aorta ultrasound for aortic dissection)

G0007 ECHOCARDIOGRAMC0070 (aortic valve stenosis on echocardiogram)C0102 (mitral stenosis on echocardiogram)

Intermediate Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 16

G0005 RADIOLOGYC0856 (upper GI series with small bowel follow-through for Crohn's disease)

G0006 ULTRASOUNDC0792 (transesophageal ultrasound for aortic dissection)

G0007 ECHOCARDIOGRAMC0797 (echocardiogram of atrial septal defect secundum)

G0008 IMAGING: CT AND/OR MRIC0834 (positron-emission tomography (PET) for pheochromocytoma)C0798 (mitral stenosis on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging)C0682 (multislice spiral chest CT or MRI for pulmonary embolism)C0612 (spiral CT scanning for pancreatic head carcinoma)C0785 (spiral CT scanning for pancreatic body or tail carcinoma)C0045 (aortic dissection on MRI)

G0009 SCANNINGC0833 (nuclear medicine scintigraphy with MIBG for pheochromocytoma)C0233 (thyroid radionuclide scan)C0665 (radionuclide imaging: viable myocardium, ventricular eject.)

G0010 ENDOSCOPYC0153 (colonoscopy and biopsy for Crohn's disease)C0186 (colonoscopy and biopsy for ulcerative colitis)

G0011 BIOPSYC0497 (biopsy and immunologic exam for R. rickettsii of a rash lesion)C0399 (biopsy of small intestine for Giardia lamblia)

Great Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 7

G0011 BIOPSYC0611 (biopsy for pancreatic head carcinoma)C0786 (biopsy for pancreatic body or tail carcinoma)

G0013 ANGIOGRAPHYC0047 (aortography)C0071 (aortic valve stenosis on catheterization)C0090 (atrial septal defect on arteriography)C0103 (mitral stenosis on catheterization)C0160 (pulmonary angiogram)

Total: 85

Page 47: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Abridged Data Cost Procedure QuantityNo Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 35

G0001 MEDICAL HISTORYC0353 (abdominal pain, right lower quadrant)C0800 (abdominal pain, left lower quadrant)C0781 (abdominal pain, left upper quadrant)C0780 (strong analgesics)C0673 (pregnancy)C0401 (urinary tract symptoms, female)C0333 (malabsorption)C0296 (gross blood in stool)C0262 (acholic, pale, clay-colored stool)C0215 (hypersensitivity to heat)C0163 (anorexia, loss of appetite)C0127 (arthralgia)C0004 (chest pain)C0052 (history of angina pectoris)C0107 (diabetes)

G0002 PHYSICAL EXAMINATIONC0794 (systolic thrill)C0678 (paradoxical bradycardia)C0562 (Horner's syndrome)C0475 (chest dullness at percussion)C0379 (new/worsened regurgitant murmur)C0375 (meningism)C0365 (skin lesions)C0337 (mouth lesions)C0332 (intestinal fistulas)C0248 (jaundice, icterus)C0238 (funduscopic abnormalities for pheochromocytoma)C0147 (tachypnea)C0015 (abdominal tenderness)C0018 (fever)C0019 (hypertension)C0022 (heart murmur)C0054 (clinical data of advanced age)C0055 (delayed second heart sound)C0074 (right ventricular abnormal maximal impulse)C0094 (mitral opening snap)

Small Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 27

G0004 LABORATORY TESTSC0867 (nucleic acid urogenital probe tests for gonococcus)C0788 (CA 19-9)C0789 (CA 19-9)C0705 (plasma ketones ++++)

C0819 (increased troponins with masked chest pain)C0829 (increased troponins without masked chest pain)C0679 (plasma D-dimer ELISA)C0535 (ANA, antinuclear antibodies)C0496 (latex agglutination test for rocky mountain spotted fever)C0495 (indirect immunofluorescence assay for rocky mountain spotted fever)C0884 (sputum culture for pneumococcus)C0395 (antigen detection in stool)C0384 (multiple blood cultures for acute endocardits)C0345 (serologic markers for Crohn's disease: ASCA)C0852 (serologic markers for ulcerative colitis: pANCA)C0244 (elevated plasma and urine catecholamines and metanephrines)C0229 (suppressed TSH)C0228 (increased free, uncombined thyroxin, T four or T three)C0151 (increased bilirubin)C0131 (increased ESR)C0033 (leukocytosis)

G0005 RADIOLOGYC0042 (abnormal aortic contour on chest x-ray; widening of mediastinum)C0085 (cardiac enlargement on imaging; usually due to right ventric. enlarg.)C0086 (increased pulmonary artery and/or vascular engorgement on imaging)

G0006 ULTRASOUNDC0044 (transthoracic aorta ultrasound for aortic dissection)

G0007 ECHOCARDIOGRAMC0070 (aortic valve stenosis on echocardiogram)C0102 (mitral stenosis on echocardiogram)

Intermediate Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 16

G0005 RADIOLOGYC0856 (upper GI series with small bowel follow-through for Crohn's disease)

G0006 ULTRASOUNDC0792 (transesophageal ultrasound for aortic dissection)

G0007 ECHOCARDIOGRAMC0797 (echocardiogram of atrial septal defect secundum)

G0008 IMAGING: CT AND/OR MRIC0834 (positron-emission tomography (PET) for pheochromocytoma)C0798 (mitral stenosis on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging)C0682 (multislice spiral chest CT or MRI for pulmonary embolism)C0612 (spiral CT scanning for pancreatic head carcinoma)C0785 (spiral CT scanning for pancreatic body or tail carcinoma)C0045 (aortic dissection on MRI)

G0009 SCANNINGC0833 (nuclear medicine scintigraphy with MIBG for pheochromocytoma)C0233 (thyroid radionuclide scan)C0665 (radionuclide imaging: viable myocardium, ventricular eject.)

G0010 ENDOSCOPYC0153 (colonoscopy and biopsy for Crohn's disease)C0186 (colonoscopy and biopsy for ulcerative colitis)

G0011 BIOPSYC0497 (biopsy and immunologic exam for R. rickettsii of a rash lesion)C0399 (biopsy of small intestine for Giardia lamblia)

Great Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 7

G0011 BIOPSYC0611 (biopsy for pancreatic head carcinoma)C0786 (biopsy for pancreatic body or tail carcinoma)

G0013 ANGIOGRAPHYC0047 (aortography)C0071 (aortic valve stenosis on catheterization)C0090 (atrial septal defect on arteriography)C0103 (mitral stenosis on catheterization)C0160 (pulmonary angiogram)

Total: 85

Page 48: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

CLINCAL DATA PRESENT

No Cost clinical data

Medical History (symptoms)

C0072 (palpitations)

C0216 (nervousness/anxiety)

C0606 (depression)

C0050 (fatigue, asthenia)

C0109 (sweating, diaphoresis, perspiration)

C0161 (weight loss)

C0165 (diarrhea)

C0010 (dyspnea, breathlessness, shortness of breath)

C0215 (hypersensitivity to heat)

Physical Examination (physical signs)

C0078 (tachycardia)

C0219 (fine texture of skin/hair)

C0224 (exophthalmos)

C0490 (conjunctival redness)

C0222 (lid lag)

C0220 (goiter, enlarged thyroid gland)

C0095 (loud first heart sound)

C0053 (systolic murmur)

C0111 (weakness)

C0223 (tremor)

Page 49: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

CLINCAL DATA ABSENT

No Cost clinical data

Medical History (symptoms)

C0498 (male)

C0353 (abdominal pain, right lower quadrant)

C0800 (abdominal pain, left lower quadrant)

C0781 (abdominal pain, left upper quadrant)

C0780 (strong analgesics)

C0673 (pregnancy)

C0401 (urinary tract symptoms, female)

C0333 (malabsorption)

C0296 (gross blood in stool)

C0262 (acholic, pale, clay-colored stool)

C0163 (anorexia, loss of appetite)

C0127 (arthralgia)

C0004 (chest pain)

C0052 (history of angina pectoris)

C0107 (diabetes)

Physical Examination (physical signs)

C0794 (systolic thrill)

C0678 (paradoxical bradycardia)

C0562 (Horner's syndrome)

C0475 (chest dullness at percussion)

C0379 (new/worsened regurgitant murmur)

C0375 (meningism)

C0365 (skin lesions)

C0337 (mouth lesions)

C0332 (intestinal fistulas)

C0248 (jaundice, icterus)

C0238 (funduscopic abnormalities for

pheochromocytoma)

C0147 (tachypnea)

C0015 (abdominal tenderness)

C0018 (fever)

C0019 (hypertension)

C0022 (heart murmur)

C0054 (clinical data of advanced age)

C0055 (delayed second heart sound)

C0074 (right ventricular abnormal maximal impulse)

C0094 (mitral opening snap)

Page 50: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

DIFFERENTIAL DIAGNOSIS LIST

D0011 (HYPERTHYROIDISM, GRAVES' DISEASE)total P: 671----------D0004 (MITRAL STENOSIS/RHEUMATIC HEART DISEASE)total P: 103----------

Page 51: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Abridged Data Cost Procedure Quantity

No Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 2G0002 PHYSICAL EXAMINATIONC0221 (thyroid bruit or thrill)C0096 (rumbling diastolic murmur)

Small Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 3G0004 LABORATORY TESTSC0229 (suppressed TSH)C0228 (increased free, uncombined thyroxin, T four or T three)

G0007 ECHOCARDIOGRAMC0102 (mitral stenosis on echocardiogram)

Intermediate Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 2G0008 IMAGING: CT AND/OR MRIC0798 (mitral stenosis on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging)

G0009 SCANNINGC0233 (thyroid radionuclide scan)

Great Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 1G0013 ANGIOGRAPHYC0103 (mitral stenosis on catheterization)

Total: 8

Page 52: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Abridged Data Cost Procedure Quantity

No Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 2G0002 PHYSICAL EXAMINATIONC0221 (thyroid bruit or thrill)C0096 (rumbling diastolic murmur)

Small Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 3G0004 LABORATORY TESTSC0229 (suppressed TSH)C0228 (increased free, uncombined thyroxin, T four or T three)

G0007 ECHOCARDIOGRAMC0102 (mitral stenosis on echocardiogram)

Intermediate Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 2G0008 IMAGING: CT AND/OR MRIC0798 (mitral stenosis on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging)

G0009 SCANNINGC0233 (thyroid radionuclide scan)

Great Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 1G0013 ANGIOGRAPHYC0103 (mitral stenosis on catheterization)

Total: 8

Page 53: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Abridged Data Cost Procedure Quantity

No Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 2G0002 PHYSICAL EXAMINATIONC0221 (thyroid bruit or thrill)C0096 (rumbling diastolic murmur)

Small Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 3G0004 LABORATORY TESTSC0229 (suppressed TSH)C0228 (increased free, uncombined thyroxin, T four or T three)

G0007 ECHOCARDIOGRAMC0102 (mitral stenosis on echocardiogram)

Intermediate Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 2G0008 IMAGING: CT AND/OR MRIC0798 (mitral stenosis on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging)

G0009 SCANNINGC0233 (thyroid radionuclide scan)

Great Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 1G0013 ANGIOGRAPHYC0103 (mitral stenosis on catheterization)

Total: 8

Page 54: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

CLINCAL DATA PRESENT

No Cost clinical data

Medical History (symptoms)

C0072 (palpitations)

C0216 (nervousness/anxiety)

C0606 (depression)

C0050 (fatigue, asthenia)

C0109 (sweating, diaphoresis, perspiration)

C0161 (weight loss)

C0165 (diarrhea)

C0010 (dyspnea, breathlessness, shortness of

breath)

C0215 (hypersensitivity to heat)

Physical Examination (physical signs)

C0078 (tachycardia)

C0219 (fine texture of skin/hair)

C0224 (exophthalmos)

C0490 (conjunctival redness)

C0222 (lid lag)

C0220 (goiter, enlarged thyroid gland)

C0095 (loud first heart sound)

C0053 (systolic murmur)

C0111 (weakness)

C0223 (tremor)

Small Cost clinical dataLaboratory Tests

C0229 (suppressed TSH)

C0228 (increased free, uncombined thyroxin, T four

or T three)

Page 55: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

CLINCAL DATA ABSENT

No Cost clinical data

Medical History (symptoms)

C0498 (male)

C0353 (abdominal pain, right lower quadrant)

C0800 (abdominal pain, left lower quadrant)

C0781 (abdominal pain, left upper quadrant)

C0780 (strong analgesics)

C0673 (pregnancy)

C0401 (urinary tract symptoms, female)

C0333 (malabsorption)

C0296 (gross blood in stool)

C0262 (acholic, pale, clay-colored stool)

C0163 (anorexia, loss of appetite)

C0127 (arthralgia)

C0004 (chest pain)

C0052 (history of angina pectoris)

C0107 (diabetes)

Physical Examination (physical signs)

C0794 (systolic thrill)

C0678 (paradoxical bradycardia)

C0562 (Horner's syndrome)

C0475 (chest dullness at percussion)

C0379 (new/worsened regurgitant murmur)

C0375 (meningism)

C0365 (skin lesions)

C0337 (mouth lesions)

C0332 (intestinal fistulas)

C0248 (jaundice, icterus)

C0238 (funduscopic abnormalities for

pheochromocytoma)

C0147 (tachypnea)

C0015 (abdominal tenderness)

C0018 (fever)

C0019 (hypertension)

C0022 (heart murmur)

C0054 (clinical data of advanced age)

C0055 (delayed second heart sound)

C0074 (right ventricular abnormal maximal impulse)

C0094 (mitral opening snap)

C0221 (thyroid bruit or thrill)

C0096 (rumbling diastolic murmur)

Small Cost clinical dataEchocardiogram

C0102 (mitral stenosis on echocardiogram)

Page 56: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

DIFFERENTIAL DIAGNOSIS LIST

D0011 (HYPERTHYROIDISM, GRAVES' DISEASE)total P: 1000

Page 57: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Abridged Data Cost Procedure Quantity

No Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 0

Small Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 0

Intermediate Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 0

Great Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 0

Total: 0

Page 58: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Abridged Data Cost Procedure QuantityNo Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 35

G0001 MEDICAL HISTORYC0353 (abdominal pain, right lower quadrant)C0800 (abdominal pain, left lower quadrant)C0781 (abdominal pain, left upper quadrant)C0780 (strong analgesics)C0673 (pregnancy)C0401 (urinary tract symptoms, female)C0333 (malabsorption)C0296 (gross blood in stool)C0262 (acholic, pale, clay-colored stool)C0215 (hypersensitivity to heat)C0163 (anorexia, loss of appetite)C0127 (arthralgia)C0004 (chest pain)C0052 (history of angina pectoris)C0107 (diabetes)

G0002 PHYSICAL EXAMINATIONC0794 (systolic thrill)C0678 (paradoxical bradycardia)C0562 (Horner's syndrome)C0475 (chest dullness at percussion)C0379 (new/worsened regurgitant murmur)C0375 (meningism)C0365 (skin lesions)C0337 (mouth lesions)C0332 (intestinal fistulas)C0248 (jaundice, icterus)C0238 (funduscopic abnormalities for pheochromocytoma)C0147 (tachypnea)C0015 (abdominal tenderness)C0018 (fever)C0019 (hypertension)C0022 (heart murmur)C0054 (clinical data of advanced age)C0055 (delayed second heart sound)C0074 (right ventricular abnormal maximal impulse)C0094 (mitral opening snap)

Small Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 27

G0004 LABORATORY TESTSC0867 (nucleic acid urogenital probe tests for gonococcus)C0788 (CA 19-9)C0789 (CA 19-9)C0705 (plasma ketones ++++)

C0819 (increased troponins with masked chest pain)C0829 (increased troponins without masked chest pain)C0679 (plasma D-dimer ELISA)C0535 (ANA, antinuclear antibodies)C0496 (latex agglutination test for rocky mountain spotted fever)C0495 (indirect immunofluorescence assay for rocky mountain spotted fever)C0884 (sputum culture for pneumococcus)C0395 (antigen detection in stool)C0384 (multiple blood cultures for acute endocardits)C0345 (serologic markers for Crohn's disease: ASCA)C0852 (serologic markers for ulcerative colitis: pANCA)C0244 (elevated plasma and urine catecholamines and metanephrines)C0229 (suppressed TSH)C0228 (increased free, uncombined thyroxin, T four or T three)C0151 (increased bilirubin)C0131 (increased ESR)C0033 (leukocytosis)

G0005 RADIOLOGYC0042 (abnormal aortic contour on chest x-ray; widening of mediastinum)C0085 (cardiac enlargement on imaging; usually due to right ventric. enlarg.)C0086 (increased pulmonary artery and/or vascular engorgement on imaging)

G0006 ULTRASOUNDC0044 (transthoracic aorta ultrasound for aortic dissection)

G0007 ECHOCARDIOGRAMC0070 (aortic valve stenosis on echocardiogram)C0102 (mitral stenosis on echocardiogram)

Intermediate Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 16

G0005 RADIOLOGYC0856 (upper GI series with small bowel follow-through for Crohn's disease)

G0006 ULTRASOUNDC0792 (transesophageal ultrasound for aortic dissection)

G0007 ECHOCARDIOGRAMC0797 (echocardiogram of atrial septal defect secundum)

G0008 IMAGING: CT AND/OR MRIC0834 (positron-emission tomography (PET) for pheochromocytoma)C0798 (mitral stenosis on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging)C0682 (multislice spiral chest CT or MRI for pulmonary embolism)C0612 (spiral CT scanning for pancreatic head carcinoma)C0785 (spiral CT scanning for pancreatic body or tail carcinoma)C0045 (aortic dissection on MRI)

G0009 SCANNINGC0833 (nuclear medicine scintigraphy with MIBG for pheochromocytoma)C0233 (thyroid radionuclide scan)C0665 (radionuclide imaging: viable myocardium, ventricular eject.)

G0010 ENDOSCOPYC0153 (colonoscopy and biopsy for Crohn's disease)C0186 (colonoscopy and biopsy for ulcerative colitis)

G0011 BIOPSYC0497 (biopsy and immunologic exam for R. rickettsii of a rash lesion)C0399 (biopsy of small intestine for Giardia lamblia)

Great Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 7

G0011 BIOPSYC0611 (biopsy for pancreatic head carcinoma)C0786 (biopsy for pancreatic body or tail carcinoma)

G0013 ANGIOGRAPHYC0047 (aortography)C0071 (aortic valve stenosis on catheterization)C0090 (atrial septal defect on arteriography)C0103 (mitral stenosis on catheterization)C0160 (pulmonary angiogram)

Total: 85

Page 59: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Abridged Global Overview

No Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 35G0001 MEDICAL HISTORYC0353 (abdominal pain, right lower quadrant)D0021 (CROHN'S DISEASE, REGIONAL ENTERITIS)total P: 107absent total P: 35

C0781 (abdominal pain, left upper quadrant)D0069 (PANCREATIC BODY-TAIL CARCINOMA)total P: 176present total P: 800

D0069 (PANCREATIC BODY-TAIL CARCINOMA)total P: 176absent total P: 26

G0002 PHYSICAL EXAMINATION C0794 (systolic thrill)D0002 (AORTIC VALVE STENOSIS)total P: 332present total P: 651

C0678 (paradoxical bradycardia)D0007 (PULMONARY EMBOLISM)total P: 157present total P: 500

D0034 (PNEUMOCOCCAL PNEUMONIA)total P: 100present total P: 649

Continues…

Small Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 27G0004 LABORATORY TESTSC0867 (nucleic acid urogenital probe tests for gonococcus)D0027 (DISSEMINATED GONOCOCCAL INFECTION)total P: 181present total P: 1000

C0229 (suppressed TSH)D0011 (HYPERTHYROIDISM, GRAVES' DISEASE)total P: 818present total P: 1000

C0228 (increased free, uncombined thyroxin, T four or T three)D0011 (HYPERTHYROIDISM, GRAVES' DISEASE)total P: 818absent total P: 0

G0005 RADIOLOGYC0042 (abnormal aortic contour on chest x-ray; widening of

mediastinum)D0001 (AORTIC DISSECTION)total P: 169absent total P: 54

C0085 (cardiac enlargement on imaging; usually due to right ventric. enlarg.)

D0003 (ATRIAL SEPTAL DEFECT SECUNDUM)total P: 338absent total P: 101

G0006 ULTRASOUNDC0044 (transthoracic aorta ultrasound for aortic dissection)D0001 (AORTIC DISSECTION)total P: 169present total P: 1000

G0007 ECHOCARDIOGRAMC0070 (aortic valve stenosis on echocardiogram)D0002 (AORTIC VALVE STENOSIS)total P: 332present total P: 1000

D0002 (AORTIC VALVE STENOSIS)total P: 332absent total P: 0

Continues…

Intermediate Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 16G0005 RADIOLOGYC0856 (upper GI series with small bowel follow-through for Crohn's

disease)D0021 (CROHN'S DISEASE, REGIONAL ENTERITIS)total P: 107present total P: 1000

G0006 ULTRASOUNDC0792 (transesophageal ultrasound for aortic dissection)D0001 (AORTIC DISSECTION)total P: 169present total P: 1000

G0007 ECHOCARDIOGRAMC0797 (echocardiogram of atrial septal defect secundum)D0003 (ATRIAL SEPTAL DEFECT SECUNDUM)total P: 338present total P: 1000

D0003 (ATRIAL SEPTAL DEFECT SECUNDUM)total P: 338absent total P: 0

G0008 IMAGING: CT AND/OR MRIC0834 (positron-emission tomography (PET) for pheochromocytoma)D0012 (PHEOCHROMOCYTOMA)total P: 364present total P: 1000

C0798 (mitral stenosis on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging)D0004 (MITRAL STENOSIS/RHEUMATIC HEART DISEASE)total P: 780present total P: 1000

D0004 (MITRAL STENOSIS/RHEUMATIC HEART DISEASE)total P: 780absent total P: 0

G0009 SCANNINGC0833 (nuclear medicine scintigraphy with MIBG for

pheochromocytoma)D0012 (PHEOCHROMOCYTOMA)total P: 364absent total P: 27

C0233 (thyroid radionuclide scan)D0011 (HYPERTHYROIDISM, GRAVES' DISEASE)total P: 818present total P: 1000

D0011 (HYPERTHYROIDISM, GRAVES' DISEASE)total P: 818absent total P: 0

G0010 ENDOSCOPYC0153 (colonoscopy and biopsy for Crohn's disease)D0021 (CROHN'S DISEASE, REGIONAL ENTERITIS)total P: 107absent total P: 0

C0186 (colonoscopy and biopsy for ulcerative colitis)D0022 (ULCERATIVE COLITIS)total P: 145present total P: 1000

D0022 (ULCERATIVE COLITIS)total P: 145absent total P: 0

G0011 BIOPSYC0497 (biopsy and immunologic exam for R. rickettsii of a rash lesion)D0035 (ROCKY MOUNTAIN SPOTTED FEVER)total P: 272present total P: 1000

D0035 (ROCKY MOUNTAIN SPOTTED FEVER)total P: 272absent total P: 64

C0399 (biopsy of small intestine for Giardia lamblia)D0026 (INTESTINAL GIARDIASIS)total P: 145present total P: 1000

D0026 (INTESTINAL GIARDIASIS)total P: 145absent total P: 8

Continues…

Great Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 7G0013 ANGIOGRAPHYC0047 (aortography)D0001 (AORTIC DISSECTION)total P: 169present total P: 1000

D0001 (AORTIC DISSECTION)total P: 169absent total P: 6

C0090 (atrial septal defect on arteriography)D0003 (ATRIAL SEPTAL DEFECT SECUNDUM)total P: 338present total P: 1000

D0003 (ATRIAL SEPTAL DEFECT SECUNDUM)total P: 338absent total P: 0

Continues…

Total: 85

Page 60: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Abridged Data Cost Procedure Quantity

No Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 2G0002 PHYSICAL EXAMINATIONC0221 (thyroid bruit or thrill)C0096 (rumbling diastolic murmur)

Small Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 3G0004 LABORATORY TESTSC0229 (suppressed TSH)C0228 (increased free, uncombined thyroxin, T four or T three)

G0007 ECHOCARDIOGRAMC0102 (mitral stenosis on echocardiogram)

Intermediate Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 2G0008 IMAGING: CT AND/OR MRIC0798 (mitral stenosis on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging)

G0009 SCANNINGC0233 (thyroid radionuclide scan)

Great Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 1G0013 ANGIOGRAPHYC0103 (mitral stenosis on catheterization)

Total: 8

Page 61: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Abridged Global OverviewNo Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 2G0002 PHYSICAL EXAMINATION

C0221 (thyroid bruit or thrill)

D0011 (HYPERTHYROIDISM, GRAVES' DISEASE)

total P: 671

absent total P: 408

C0096 (rumbling diastolic murmur)

D0004 (MITRAL STENOSIS)

total P: 103

present total P: 176

Small Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 3G0004 LABORATORY TESTS

C0229 (suppressed TSH)

D0011 (HYPERTHYROIDISM, GRAVES' DISEASE)

total P: 671

present total P: 1000

D0011 (HYPERTHYROIDISM, GRAVES' DISEASE)

total P: 671

absent total P: 0

C0228 (increased free, uncombined thyroxin, T four or T three)

D0011 (HYPERTHYROIDISM, GRAVES' DISEASE)

total P: 671

absent total P: 0

G0007 ECHOCARDIOGRAM

C0102 (mitral stenosis on echocardiogram)

D0004 (MITRAL STENOSIS)

total P: 103

present total P: 1000

D0004 (MITRAL STENOSIS)

total P: 103

absent total P: 0

Intermediate Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 2G0008 IMAGING: CT AND/OR MRI

C0798 (mitral stenosis on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging)

D0004 (MITRAL STENOSIS)

total P: 103

present total P: 1000

D0004 (MITRAL STENOSIS)

total P: 103

absent total P: 0

G0009 SCANNING

C0233 (thyroid radionuclide scan)

D0011 (HYPERTHYROIDISM, GRAVES' DISEASE)

total P: 671

present total P: 1000

D0011 (HYPERTHYROIDISM, GRAVES' DISEASE)

total P: 671

absent total P: 0

Great Cost best cost-benefit clinical data: 1G0013 ANGIOGRAPHY

C0103 (mitral stenosis on catheterization)

D0004 (MITRAL STENOSIS)

total P: 103

present total P: 1000

D0004 (MITRAL STENOSIS)

total P: 103

absent total P: 0

Total: 8

Page 62: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

WHAT HAPPENED SO FAR ?

The theory behind our diagnostic system, its terminology, principles, and operation were

first published in 2006

Page 63: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

COMPUTERIZED MEDICAL DIAGNOSIS:

A NOVEL SOLUTION TO AN OLD PROBLEM

Carlos Feder 2006

INITIAL

CLINICAL DATA COLLECTION

AND SYNONYM HANDLING

CLINICAL DATA MATCHING

CREATION OF

CLINICAL DATUM LISTS

CREATION OF

DIFFERENTIAL DIAGNOSIS LIST

CALCULATION OF PROBABILITY OF

DIAGNOSES. MINI-MAX PROCEDURE

Step 1. Process

clinical data present

Step 2. Process clinical data absent

Step 3. Create clinical data pairs

Step 4. Create clinical data pair

tables

Step 5. Calculate partial P that

each clinical data pair

confers to each diagnosis

Step 6. Create mini-max tables

Step 7. Determine total P

of the diagnosis

Step 8. Update

differential diagnosis list

CONCLUSION OF DIAGNOSTIC QUEST?

BEST COST-BENEFIT CLINICAL DATUM

NEXT TO INVESTIGATE

Step 1. Select clinical data not yet

investigated in the patient

Step 2. Organize clinical data not yet

investigated according to cost

category, diagnosis, PP value,

and S Step 3. Recommend a new clinical

datum as best clinical datum

assuming it present Step 4. Recommend a new clinical

datum as best clinical datum

assuming it absent

SIMULTANEOUS RECOMMENDATION OF

SEVERAL BEST COST-BENEFIT

CLINICAL DATA

SAFETY CHECK FOR RISK FLAGGED

DIAGNOSES AND CLINICAL DATA

SAFETY CHECK FOR RELATED

CLINICAL ENTITIES

CLINICAL PRESENTATION

MASKING

CONCURRENT DIAGNOSES

Page 64: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

WHAT HAPPENED SO FAR ?

The theory behind our diagnostic system, its terminology, principles, and operation were

first published in 2006

A patent is pending

The computer program that runs our algorithm was written by Tomás Feder in 2007

This computer program provided a prototype, instrumental in confirming essentially all

our novel ideas, enabling to challenge real clinical cases of individual patients and the

theories behind, with excellent diagnostic results; it broadened our understanding of the

medical diagnostic process, dissipating earlier uncertainties, enabling the discovery of

new functions and eliciting ideas that opened an entire new realm in this field. So many

are the simplifications, additions, and codes that execute new functions, that they

justified writing a new book that we published in 2008

Page 65: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

A PRACTICAL

COMPUTER

PROGRAM

THAT DIAGNOSES DISEASES

IN ACTUAL PATIENTS

Carlos Feder &

Tomás Feder

Page 66: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

WHAT HAPPENED SO FAR ?

The theory behind our diagnostic system, its terminology, principles, and operation were

first published in 2006

A patent is pending

The computer program that runs our algorithm was written by Tomás Feder in 2007

This computer program provided a prototype, instrumental in confirming essentially all

our novel ideas, enabling to challenge real clinical cases of individual patients and the

theories behind, with excellent diagnostic results; it broadened our understanding of the

medical diagnostic process, dissipating earlier uncertainties, enabling the discovery of

new functions and eliciting ideas that opened an entire new realm in this field. So many

are the simplifications, additions, and codes that execute new functions, that they

justified writing a new book that we published in 2008

Our prototype includes so far 60 diseases in its database, and diagnoses beautifully real

patients afflicted by any of such diseases

Page 67: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

WHAT NEXT?

Our diagnostic system, in order to accomplish all the envisioned benefits, must have its

database integrated with all currently known diseases, all their clinical data and

corresponding sensitivities. All complex clinical presentation models, which lists

related diagnoses must be created and also included in the database. This task requires

the cooperation of a team of medical specialists.

Our computer program is not a fancy program that opens colorful windows clicking on

menus or icons, but it satisfies all requisite functions of the algorithm and works

efficiently and accurately. This program would benefit from some cosmetic

improvement by an experienced professional programmer, able to make it more

glamorous and attractive.

We hope that Google or somebody else may help and support us with this project.

Page 68: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

WHAT NEXT?

Our diagnostic system, in order to accomplish all the envisioned benefits, must have its

database integrated with all currently known diseases, all their clinical data and

corresponding sensitivities. All complex clinical presentation models, which lists

related diagnoses must be created and also included in the database. This task requires

the cooperation of a team of medical specialists.

Our computer program is not a fancy program that opens colorful windows clicking on

menus or icons, but it satisfies all requisite functions of the algorithm and works

efficiently and accurately. This program would benefit from some cosmetic

improvement by an experienced professional programmer, able to make it more

glamorous and attractive.

We hope that Google or somebody else may help and support us with this project.

Page 69: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

WHAT NEXT?

Our diagnostic system, once implemented with all

known diseases and clinical data, is expected to

provide invaluable diagnostic benefits to patients,

physicians, nurses, health insurance companies,

malpractice lawyers, and the entire medical

establishment

Page 70: A Practical Computer Program That Diagnoses Diseases In Actual Patients

Thank you for your attention