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In this slideshow, Dr Tim Ferris, Vice President for Population Health Management, Partners HealthCare, and Medical Director of the Massachusetts General Physicians Organisation; explores a new approach to meeting the health care cost challenge.
Citation preview
Division of Population Health Management
Partners Approach to Meeting the
Healthcare Cost Challenge
Timothy Ferris, MD, MPH SVP, Population Health Management, MGH, MGPO and Partners
HealthCare
Nuffield Trust Health Policy Summit 2014 March 6, 2014
Division of Population Health Management
What we’re facing…
Constraining the growth of healthcare costs is a national priority
Involvement of physicians through changed incentives is unavoidable
PPACA - the imperative will persist even if the specifics change
The market is using a similar play book – closed networks,
budget-based risk, cost sharing, restriction of choice – and this
may generate the same backlash as 1990s managed care era
But...
The economy is much worse
Government is proactive (3.6%)
Rate of change is slower (caps on increases, not cuts)
And we have…
Better health IT and data for population management
Strategies and tactics that we know will improve care and reduce costs
2
Division of Population Health Management
Implications for providers
Our focus should be on reducing medical expense trend to as
close to the rate of general inflation as we can
We want to be part of the solution
This means taking financial risk for costs of care
Shared savings (Pioneer ACO), bundled payments, global payments
Partners increased ability to care for populations of patients
Successful CMS Demo, increasing evidence for other tactics
Universally adopted EHR
Challenges
1. We need tactics that will be successful under any new payment model
2. How to make external incentives meaningful to our physicians
3. Moving at the right pace
Too fast: we will lose the docs in the rush to implement – MDs attitude
often creates the patient's attitude (managed care backlash)
Too slow: will mean not succeeding under the contracts and worsening
the regulatory environment
3
Division of Population Health Management
What is an ACO?
An organization that agrees to share the financial risk for the care of a
defined population
Shared financial risk =
rewarding providers for
reducing medical spending
by giving them a share of the
net cost savings; may also
include financial penalties for
cost increasing above
benchmark
Defined population = every
primary care patient whose
insurer has signed a risk
contract with that provider,
regardless of where they
receive care Source: Leavitt Partners Center for Accountable Care Intelligence at
http://healthaffairs.org/blog/2014/01/29/accountable-care-growth-in-2014-a-look-ahead/
Total Accountable Care Organizations by
Sponsoring Entity
Total = 606
4
Division of Population Health Management
Evolution of ACOs
Estimated Accountable Care Lives in Public
and Private ACOs*
Accountable Care Organizations by State*
18.2m covered lives compared
to 13.6m at end of 2012
•More than half of the US population (52%)
live in primary care service areas served
by ACOs, approximately 28% live in areas
served by 2 or more ACOs.**
•Los Angeles, Boston, and Orlando, have
the most ACOs in the nation.* In Boston,
ACOs care for more than 60% of
patients.***
*Leavitt Partners Center for Accountable Care Intelligence at
http://healthaffairs.org/blog/2014/01/29/accountable-care-growth-in-2014-a-look-ahead/
**http://www.oliverwyman.com/media/ACO_press_release(2).pdf
***http://www.acpinternist.org/archives/2013/07/acos.htm
5
Division of Population Health Management
Background on Partners HealthCare
Partners HealthCare (Partners)
Integrated delivery system in Boston MA, includes two
AMCs
Massachusetts Hospital (MGH)
Brigham Women’s Hospital (BWH)
Partners became a Pioneer ACO, January 2012
Includes community and specialty hospitals, a physician
network, home health and long-term care services, and
other health-related entities
615 PCPs
76,000 patients
6
Division of Population Health Management
Enhanced access to specialty
services
The path we’re traveling at Partners
7
Pressure to reduce
cost trend
New contracts with
risk for trend
Internal Performance
Framework
Investment in Population
Management Infrastructure
Changes to Partners
org structure
Partners in Care (PCMH & care
coordination for high risk patients)
Sustained cost trends near GDP
Implement new local
incentives/compensation
Network Affiliations
1
2
3 New relationships with
community hospitals and
doctors
4
Division of Population Health Management
Our new contracts…almost 2 years in Lives under the Accountable Care Model
Medicare Commercial
Pioneer Accountable
Care Organization
Elderly population,
care management
central to trend
management
Alternative Quality
Contract (AQC)
Younger population,
specialists critical to
management
2 1
Medicaid
NHP
Population with
significant disability,
mental health, and
substance abuse
challenges
3
Self Insured
Partners Plus
Commercial
population, but
savings accrue
directly to Partners,
and improves our
own lives
4
Covered lives: ~80k Covered lives: ~25K Covered lives: ~350K Covered lives: ~75k
Partners currently manages roughly 500,000 lives in various accountable care relationships
8
Division of Population Health Management
Priority programs
9
Priority Population Health Management Programs Primary Care •Patient Centered Medical Home (PCMH), including especially
access •High risk care management •Mental health
Specialty Care •Referral management •Virtual visits •PrOE/PROMs •Bundles
Care Continuum •SNF networks •Mobile observation units •Urgent care
Patient Engagement •Shared decision making •Virtual patient communities •Customized risk and educational materials
Infrastructure •IS, analytics •Program management
Division of Population Health Management
Virtual visits and technology tools
10
Video
Conferencing
Telephone
Text
Messaging
Electronic
Curbside
Technology Pediatric Virtual Video Pilots •Follow up visits in the home for children and adolescents with Autism, ADHD, Substance Abuse, etc,
•Post-acute burn consults for patients at Boston-Spaulding Rehabilitation Hospital
•Parents of patients in the PICU virtually attend rounds with care team and their child
35 48
313
Pediatrics Burns Center Child and AdolescentPsychiatry
17
2
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Cardiology
Resulted in Visit
Curbside ConsultPerformed
Cardiology Curbside Consults*
*Start of pilot Jan 2014
•Referring physicians can quickly contact a cardiologist in the outpatient setting and receive recommendations in the electronic medical record •Offers referring providers and patients an alternative to waiting for in-person cardiology appointments
Division of Population Health Management
Chen, A. H., Kushel, M. B., Grumbach, K., & Yee, H.F. (2010). Practice profile:.A safety-net
system gains efficiencies through ‘eReferrals’ to specialists. Health Affairs (Millwood), 29(5),
969-71.
Why is this important?
Assessing the appropriateness of referrals prior to scheduling may have
a positive impact on our efforts to
Reduce avoidable office visits
Increase access for our sickest patients
Increase experience coordination and efficiency of specialist visits
through pre-visit planning
Approaches for managing referrals
11
Division of Population Health Management
Idealized patient journey through an episode of
care that includes a procedure
Patient
Problem
Assess
Appropriateness
Criteria Assess
Risk
Schedule
OR Procedure Recovery
Physician
encounter
Possible
Need for
Procedure
Shared
Decision
Making
Pre-
Procedure
Testing
Tier 1, 2
Outcome
Measures
Tier 3
Outcome
Measures
Personalized
Consent
Form
Informed
Consent
Tier Category Examples
1 Health status achieved Survival and degree of health recovery
2 Process of recovery Time to recovery and return to normal
activities
3 Sustainability of health Sustained recovery and recurrences,
including long term consequences of
therapy
Outcome measures hierarchy:
12
Division of Population Health Management
Appropriateness
Data Repository
Procedure
Scheduling
PrOE Appropriateness tool
Public
Reporting
PCI, CABG,
Vascular,
Harris Joint
Internal
Performance
Dashboards
Billing and
Prior
Authorization
RPM,
RPDR,
CDR,
EMPI
Pre-
populated
data fields
(NLP
search)
INPUTS OUTPUTS
Personalized
consent
form Existing
registries
LMR, OnCall
Data
storage
EMR
Appropriateness
Indications & Decision
support
Measurement & analysis of
appropriateness and
outcomes inform guidelines
and indications in real-time
Data passback to
registries (Web
service)
Copy of
appropriateness
results placed in
LMR and CDR
EHR note
created
PrOE: Inputs and outputs
13
Division of Population Health Management
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
CAS CEA CABG DiagnosticCatheterization
Not in PrOE
In PrOE
Percent of Procedures with a PrOE Assessment
Appropriateness Scores for Diagnostic
Catheterization by Month
2014 Procedures •Incisional Hernia •Prostate Biopsy •Gastric Bypass •Valve Repair •Lumbar Fusion •Peripheral Vascular Disease Therapies
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
Rarely Appropriate
Maybe Appropriate
Appropriate
Median hospital-level inappropriateness rate is 28.5%**
**Hannan, EL, et al. Appropriateness of Diagnostic Catheterization for Suspected Coronary Artery Disease in
New York State. CIRC INTERVENTIONS. January 28, 2014. 113.000741 n=745
n=8986
Median hospital-level inappropriateness rate is 28.5%**
Appropriateness Scores for Diagnostic
Catheterization at MGH vs. NY Cardiac Database **
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
MGH NY CardiacDatabase
RarelyAppropriate
MaybeAppropriate
Appropriate
Results to date
14
Division of Population Health Management
Patient Reported Outcome Measures (PROMs)
15
Outcomes that matter to patients: direct collection of information from
patients regarding symptoms, functional status, and mental health.
Why PROMs?
Improves care of individual patients through better
monitoring and improved responsiveness
Improves system-wide care by measuring/improving the right
outcomes – those that matter most to patients
How are PROMs collected? Patients enter information into an electronic platform using
iPads, patient portal, or the web
PROMs will be implemented for all sites and
diagnoses
Current Conditions include: Coronary Artery Disease: CABG, Cardiac Catheterization
Osteoarthritis
Valvular Disease
Diabetes
Depression
Additional conditions planned for 2014
Division of Population Health Management
What does PHM cost?
Total Cost PHM Programs
(Annual Operating & 1x
expense)
PHM Cost as a Percentage of External Risk TME (At 2017 Steady State Run Rate)
PHM Program Costs as a Percentage of External Risk TME only
Total Costs as Percentage of External Risk TME only
4.96%
4.96%
16
Division of Population Health Management
What is the ROI?
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
2015 2016 2017
Total PHM Acceleration Cost
Savings from External Risk
Savings from full IPF
Savings from full panel (Loyalty Cohort)
PHM Program Savings Relative to Total Operating Program Costs (Assumes Steady State in 2017)
•Two-thirds of PHM acceleration costs fund programs that generate TME savings
•Remaining funds support infrastructure, innovative pilots (i.e. SNFist), community specialist engagement that accrue minimal or difficult-to-measure savings
17
Division of Population Health Management
Key Challenges
Overlapping programs and contracts (e.g. Chronic Disease Demo)
Timely data and useful performance measures (CMS delays with delivery of prospective patient information)
Transition costs—establishing the EHR infrastructure Funding the infrastructure (no grant funds)
Intersection between the multiple Boston area ACOs
Notification management
ED notification
Discharge notification
Sharing of best practices between colleagues
Learning what works and providing timely feedback for policy changes/enforcements to CMS
Limited leverage when patients seek covered services that provide little or no benefit
Time to ROI not consistent with duration of contracts
18