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2040 REGIONAL TRANSIT ELEMENT UPDATE CDOT Statewide Transit Public Open House May 7, 2014

Statewide Transit Plan Open House at NFR on May 7, 2014

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Colorado Statewide Transit Plan Open House presentation given by NFR on May 7, 2014.

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Page 1: Statewide Transit Plan Open House at NFR on May 7, 2014

2040 REGIONAL TRANSIT ELEMENT UPDATECDOT Statewide Transit Public Open HouseMay 7, 2014

Page 2: Statewide Transit Plan Open House at NFR on May 7, 2014

The 2040 Regional Transit Element• Guides development of the transit

mode in the North Front Range• Provides transit alternatives• Identifies questions about funding

and governance• Provides strategies and tools for

developing regional transit services• Updates the 2035 Regional Transit

Element, approved in 2011• Will be incorporated into the 2040

Long Range Transportation Plan

Page 3: Statewide Transit Plan Open House at NFR on May 7, 2014

Regional Demographics - Population

The population in the North Front Range is expected to increase by 85 percent from 2010 to 2040, with the most growth along the I-25 sub-region

Source: 2040 Economic and Demographic Forecast North Front Range Metropolitan Planning Organization (NFRMPO) 2012-2013

Sub-Region 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 % Change

Surrounding Area 50,762 53,518 63,796 68,312 75,874 82,312 89,518 76%

Greeley/Evans 111,301 122,195 137,435 160,366 178,119 199,694 217,182 95%

Fort Collins 164,594 178,509 192,277 200,389 222,570 230,290 250,450 52%

Loveland 77,962 88,605 99,654 112,695 125,172 136,966 148,958 91%

I-25 42,305 51,213 61,049 83,128 92,328 110,262 119,918 183%

Total 446,924 494,040 554,211 624,890 694,063 759,524 826,026 85%

Page 4: Statewide Transit Plan Open House at NFR on May 7, 2014

Regional Demographics - Age

Households headed by persons aged 65 and older will have the most growth from 2010 to 2040

18-24 25-44 45-64 65+0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

Source: 2040 Economic and Demographic Forecast North Front Range Metropolitan Planning Organization (NFRMPO) 2012-2013

Average Annual Growth Rate by Age Group

Page 5: Statewide Transit Plan Open House at NFR on May 7, 2014

Regional Demographics - Jobs• The total number of jobs in the entire north front range will increase

from 230,046 in 2010 to 415,166 by 2040 – 80% growth.• The I-25 sub-region will see the most rapid increase in the number of

jobs from 2010 to 2040.

Surrounding Area Greeley/Evans Ft.Collins Loveland I-250.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

4.0%

Source: 2040 Economic and Demographic Forecast North Front Range Metropolitan Planning Organization (NFRMPO) 2012-2013

Average Annual Employment Growth by Sub-Region

Page 6: Statewide Transit Plan Open House at NFR on May 7, 2014

Regional Demographics - CommutesThere is a trend showing more people traveling to other jurisdictions for employment

20112010200920082007200620052004200320020%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Living and Employed in Fort Collins Living and Employed in Greeley

Living and Employed in Loveland

Census’s OnTheMap tool, which uses 2002-2011 Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD) Origin Destination Employment Statistics

Percentage Living and Employed in Same Jurisdiction

Page 7: Statewide Transit Plan Open House at NFR on May 7, 2014

Local Fixed Route Ridership Has Increased

2007 2008 2009  2010   2011   20120

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

2,000,000

2,200,000

2,400,000

Ridership, 2007 - 2012

COLT GET Transfort

The number of rides has increased on all the public fixed route providers, with the highest increase in Fort Collins followed by Loveland and then Greeley.

38%

7%

22%

Page 8: Statewide Transit Plan Open House at NFR on May 7, 2014

Regional Ridership Has Increased

FLEX, the regional route providing fixed-route service from Fort Collins to Longmont, has increased ridership by over 100% from 2007 to 2012

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

FLEX Ridership, 2007 to 2012

Page 9: Statewide Transit Plan Open House at NFR on May 7, 2014

VanGo Vanpool Origins and Destinations

• Vanpool routes provide a blueprint of where regional transit routes would work well.

• Many commuters along I-25, US 287 and US 85.

Page 10: Statewide Transit Plan Open House at NFR on May 7, 2014

Please stop by the RTE table and…

• Tell us about your regional transit needs• Complete the survey• Draw your preferred regional transit route on our map• Ozone season begins June 1• Learn more about the OzoneAware campaign – learn how

to take care of our summer air.

Thank you! ContactNate Vander Broek, Transportation Planner

North Front Range MPO

(970) 416-2309

[email protected]

Page 11: Statewide Transit Plan Open House at NFR on May 7, 2014

Congestion Management Process

2014 Update

May 7, 2014

Page 12: Statewide Transit Plan Open House at NFR on May 7, 2014

Why are we doing this?

What is your role?

Page 13: Statewide Transit Plan Open House at NFR on May 7, 2014

Thank you

Arvilla Kirchhoff

Transportation Planner

North Front Range MPO

970 224-6147

[email protected]