Scarborough Subway Extension Stakeholder Advisory Group

February 8, 2016

Transportation Planning Section | City Planning Division

Outline1. Transit Network Planning2. Scarborough Subway Extension - progress since

June 20153. Refined objectives4. Recommended solution for further study5. Next Steps6. Discussion

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Our Coordinated Approach• The City, Metrolinx and the TTC are working together on integrated transit

planning within Toronto

Scarborough Optimized Transit

• Rapid transit projects design/ construction underway:− Toronto-York Spadina Subway Extension

(TYSSE)− Eglinton Crosstown LRT− Finch West LRT− Sheppard East RT• Rapid transit joint planning underway:− GO RER and SmartTrack

• Rapid transit planning underway and being prioritized through the Feeling Congested? evaluation framework:− GO RER and SmartTrack− Scarborough Subway− Relief Line− Waterfront Transit Reset

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Our Rapid Transit Network Recommended To Be Built Within the Next 15 Years

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Our Rapid Transit Network Being Built Within the Next 6 Years

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Our Rapid Transit Network Recommended To Be Built Between 6 and 15 Years in the Future

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Our Rapid Transit Network15 Years in the Future

Scarborough Subway ExtensionProgress since June 2015 • McCowan corridor emerging

as preferred based on– Proximity to SmartTrack– Lawrence East Station

location• Further work on station

concepts– Sheppard East– Scarborough Centre– Lawrence East– Brimley/Eglinton (Provisional

station)• Modelling

– Accessibility– Travel demand 8

At the same time…• New rapid transit projects are being planned based on

direction from Council and Provincial funding commitments1. Scarborough Subway Extension2. SmartTrack3. Regional Express Rail (RER)4. Sheppard East LRT

• The context of the subway extension has changed significantly based on the introduction of SmartTrack, RER and the change in timing of the Sheppard East LRT

• These projects have been developed at different times and must be reviewed together to determine if together they represent the best transit network

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Scarborough• Largely low density suburban form surrounding

Scarborough Centre• Public transit is predominantly local buses

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37.2k weekday riders

Population 625,000

Density 33.3 people/ha

Scarborough Centre 17km from downtown

Photo source: Talhamujahid at the English language Wikipedia

Existing Rapid Transit and 10 Minute Frequent Surface Transit

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• Predominantly bus based transit

• Infrequent north-south routes

• Employment areas lack frequent transit service

Daily Ridership on Busiest TTC Surface Routes

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504 King and 508 La

ke Sh

ore

510 Spad

ina and 509 Harb

ourfront

32 Eglin

ton West

35 Jane

39, 139 an

d 199 Finch Ea

st

36 Finch W

est

501 Quee

n

29 Dufferin

506 Carlton

25 Don Mills

54 Lawren

ce Ea

st

512 St Clai

r

505 Dundas

60 Stee

les W

est

34 Eglin

ton East

53 Stee

les Ea

st

85 Shep

pard Ea

st

96 Wilso

n

95 York

Mills

41 Keele

7 Bathurst

24 and 224 Victo

ria Park

52 Lawren

ce W

est

102 Mark

ham Rd

116 Morn

ingside

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

Busiest Routes Outside of Scarborough

Busiest Routes in Scarborough

Routes

Ride

rs p

er w

eekd

ay

• 8 surface routes in Scarborough have more than 20 000 daily riders

Source: 2012 TTC: Ridership Statistics

Transit and Urban Form• Use of land around the transit line should be

planned to make use of the transit capacity offered– Higher capacity & frequent transit can support greater

densities by moving more people – Stations should be planned and designed to be

integrated with development– Areas around stations should be intensified to

accommodate more jobs and people within a 5 minute walk of a station

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Golden MileFocus AreaDufferin

Focus Area

Yonge-EglintonMidtown in Focus

KennedyMobility HubWest Side Mall

Focus AreaBayviewFocus Area

Don MillsFocus Area

Mount DennisMobility Hub

Laird Focus Area

GOLDEN MILEBAYVIEW

LAIRD

DON MILLS

KENNEDY

WEST SIDE MALL

DUFFERIN

MOUNT DENNIS

Eglinton Avenue Intensification Areas & Focus Areas

Existing Travel Patterns for All Trip Types• 14% of all trips that both begin and end in

Scarborough are made using transit– Need to increase access

• 6% of all trips that begin in Scarborough end in the downtown. Of those, 66% are made using transit – Fast and frequent connection important

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Existing Transit Travel Patterns Destinations of all transit trips originating in Scarborough

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48%Scarborough

23%Downtown

24%Rest of Toronto

5%Outside Toronto

Key Destinations (all trip types)

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Key destinations for trips originating in Scarborough Daily Trips

Financial District (bounded by University-Queen-Yonge-Lake Shore) 12,500

University of Toronto - St George Campus (Traffic Zone 69) 6,000

York University area (Traffic Zone 391) 5,500

Ryerson University area (Traffic Zone 38) 5,000

Yonge-Eglinton Centre 4,000

Pearson International Airport area (Traffic Zone 3709) 2,000

Scarborough (Internal Trip) 692,000

Source: 2011 Transportation Tomorrow SurveyFigures Rounded

Ridership• Ridership thresholds are not the primary consideration in

choosing technology when extending existing lines– High ridership at the end of a line would mean crowding further

along• Don’t plan for maximum ridership at the end of the line

– Incremental stations should encourage development and ridership in new areas rather than only respond to existing demand

Peak hour (AM) Boardings at Terminal Stations

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2,250 Downsview

Source: 2011 TTC Subway Platform Usage CountsFigures Rounded

7,350 Kipling / Islington

5,850 Kennedy

3,350 Don Mills

12,700 Finch

Note: Islington considered secondary terminal station due to Mississauga Transit connection

Local & Regional Transit Priorities• Two overarching priorities for transit planning in

Scarborough:

– Priority 1 (Regional): Connecting Scarborough Centre to higher order rapid transit to encourage residential and employment growth and intensification.

– Priority 2 (Local): Better serve existing transit riders, improve access to transit and improve quality of life across Scarborough.

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Assumptions1. GO RER constructed2. ECLRT constructed3. SRT removed

Existing and Possible Scarborough Rapid Transit Projects

Priority 1: Connect Scarborough Centre• Connect Scarborough Centre to higher-order transit

network to– Encourage residential and employment growth in the

Centre– Improve connections between Scarborough and key

destinations across Toronto and beyond• OP: Improving Scarborough Centre’s connectivity is

crucial to its success, particularly improving its Regional Gateway function

• Building transit is an ambitious investment whose long-term return is private development and economic prosperity

• Supports OP, PPS, Growth Plan and other local and Provincial planning policies

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• Excellent internal and external public transit links are crucial to improving the accessibility and livability of Scarborough Centre.

• Scarborough Centre covers a massive area with the potential to become a vibrant urban node.

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Scarborough Centre compared to Downtown streets

Vision for Scarborough Centre Continued

Priority 1: Connecting Scarborough Centre

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Principle Scarborough Subway

RT Replacement

Scarborough LRT

Sheppard Subway

Sheppard E LRT

Scarborough Malvern LRT

Ellesmere BRT

McCowan Rd BRT

Does it connect Scarborough Centre?

YES YES YES YES NO NO YES YES

Good connectivity to network

Fast, frequent service where people want to go

Encouraging development and jobs

Conclusion Note 1 Note 1 Note 2

Notes1. Our conclusion that Scarborough Subway performs better than Sheppard Subway due to:

• Lower capital costs• Sheppard adds more riders to the overcrowded Yonge Subway line south of Sheppard • A potentially shorter travel time from Scarborough Centre to the downtown• Direct connection to Eglinton Crosstown

2. Ellesmere BRT could be developed by Durham Region Transit in the future• Low-cost link between Scarborough Centre, UTSC, Downtown Pickering and Downtown Oshawa

Good

Fair

Poor

Scarborough Subway Extension• Currently under study

– TPAP anticipated in 2016• Committed funding• Stops at Lawrence E,

Scarborough Centre, Sheppard E

• Cost: $3.56B** Escalated costs to the midpoint of construction

• Opportunity for fourth station at Eglinton & Brimley for additional cost

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Optimization of SSE• Introduction of

SmartTrack • Reduce length of

subway extension by terminating at Scarborough Centre

• Remove stations outside of Scarborough Centre, because redevelopment of the Centre is the key objective

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Priority 2: Improve local transit• Improve transit connections between local

destinations, services and amenities to:– Better serve existing transit riders– Attract new transit riders– Improve quality of life for Scarborough residents

• OP: improve transit accessibility for neighbourhoods by investing in transit service along the Avenues and major streets – objective to reduce auto dependency and provide choice

• Building transit serves local needs and helps people move around their neighbourhoods everyday

• Increase connectivity in disadvantaged neighbourhoods

• Support for local businesses 26

Priority 2: Improving Local Transit

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Principle

Scarborough Subway

RT Replacement

Scarborough LRT

Sheppard Subway

Sheppard E LRT

Scarborough Malvern LRT

Ellesmere BRT

McCowan Rd BRT

SmartTrack

Good connectivity to local destinations and the broader network

Faster, frequent service to mixed-use growth areas

Service to Neighbourhood Improvement Areas (NIA)

Supports local jobs and existing urban form

Local environment

Conclusion Note 1

Notes1. Scarborough-Malvern LRT performs particularly well due to:

• Service to mixed-use Avenues, local destinations and NIAs • Network connections

Good

Fair

Poor

Crosstown East• 12km along Eglinton E, Kingston, Morningside to Sheppard E• EA completed in 2009 (Scarborough-Malvern LRT)

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• 19 stops:• Avenues - Eglinton E and

Kingston• 5 Neighbourhood

Improvement Areas• UTSC• 2 GO stations - Eglinton and

Guildwood• ECLRT Connection

• Could plan future branches to Malvern, Port Union, Highland Creek Village

Optimization of Crosstown East• It may be possible to optimize this project to

reduce costs and/or increase benefits– Create connection to Crosstown at Kennedy Station– May not need to extend to Sheppard if MSF could be

accommodated elsewhere– Collaborate with University of Toronto master planning

process– Stop spacing and service concept should be reviewed

• Detailed analysis of opportunities is required– Benefit/cost– Connectivity– Travel demand (ridership)

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Optimized Network Map

Optimized Network• Potential network includes:

– Scarborough Subway Extension (express to Scarborough Centre)– Crosstown East – SmartTrack

• Detailed analysis of these opportunities is required– Benefit/cost– Connectivity– Travel demand (ridership)

• If optimized to reduce costs and increase benefits, these projects may fit within the existing committed funding envelope

• Additional funding may be required to provide rapid transit to the Sheppard East corridor, to have a more complete network and serve northern Scarborough better

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Comparison of OptionsCurrent Proposals for Scarborough Optimized Network

Key Destinations

• Scarborough Centre• The Scarborough Hospital

• Scarborough Centre• University of Toronto – Scarborough and Toronto

Pan-Am Aquatic CentreLand Use • Serves employment area at Sheppard

East and McCowan• Lawrence/McCowan station outside of

designated growth area and extremely constrained

• 8km of LRT along Avenues largely designated for mixed-use growth

Possible Extensions

Subway• Extend north of Sheppard

Express Subway • Extend to Sheppard at McCowan and north of

Sheppard• Add future stations at Eglinton/Brimley and

Lawrence/McCowanLRT• Opportunities for future branches in eastern

ScarboroughSmartTrack Stations

• Opportunity to move Lawrence Station to subway if better development potential or negative impact to SmartTrack operation

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Comparison of Options – Planning ConsiderationsMeasure Current Proposals

for ScarboroughOptimized Network

Connectivity People within 500m of stations 13,943 63,961

How many more people can each Scarborough resident connect to in 45 minutes via transit compared to the base case?*

32,234 (+6.6%) 46,371 (+9.5%)

Economic Development

Jobs within 500m of stations 22,875 27,737

How many more jobs can each Scarborough resident connect to in 45 minutes via transit compared to the base case?* 11,667 (+6.3%) 19,333 (+10.4%)

Hectares of potential redevelopment sites 160 ha 200 ha

How many more people can reach Scarborough Centre in 45 minutes via transit compared to the base case?* 155,640 (+20.3%) 172,280 (+22.5%)

How many more people can reach the Financial District in 45 minutes via transit compared to the base case?* 26,210 (+2.4%) 35,472 (+3.3%)

Educational Opportunities

How many more people can reach UTSC in 45 minutes via transit compared to the base case?* 635 (+0.2%) 55,823 (+15.8%)

How many more people can reach Centennial College in 45 minutes via transit compared to the base case?* 21,113 (+5.0%) 32,934 (+7.9%)

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* Base case seeks to convey today’s network. Hence it excludes Eglinton Crosstown, Toronto-York Spadina Subway Extension, Finch West LRT, Hurontario LRT, introduction of new streetcars and incremental improvements to surface transit routes. The SRT is assumed to be replaced by SSE.

Comparison of Options – Neighbourhood Improvement Areas

Measure Current Proposals for Scarborough

Optimized Network

Transit Access in Neighbourhood Improvement Areas

NIAs served directly with stations Woburn Eglinton EastKennedy ParkMorningside

Scarborough VillageWest Hill

Connectivity How many more people can each Scarborough NIA resident connect to in 45 minutes via transit compared to the base case?*

50,555(+9.9%)

88,886(+17.4%)

Economic development How many more jobs can each Scarborough NIA resident connect to in 45 minutes via transit compared to the base case?*

20,242(+10.1%)

34,848(+17.5%)

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* Base case seeks to convey today’s network. Hence it excludes Eglinton Crosstown, Toronto-York Spadina Subway Extension, Finch West LRT, Hurontario LRT, introduction of new streetcars and incremental improvements to surface transit routes. The SRT is assumed to be replaced by SSE.

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Immediate Solution

Council Direction

• Recommended solution was reported to Executive Committee for endorsement

• On January 28, 2016, direction was given to proceed with more detailed analysis

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Next StepsScarborough Subway Extension• Confirm final alignment• Scarborough Centre Station & Bus Terminal designCrosstown East• Full integration with Eglinton Crosstown

– Connection at Kennedy Station– Maintenance & Storage Facility

• Integration with UTSC• Review of existing approved project including traffic impacts and

road cross-sectionsSmartTrack• Evaluation and phasing of Scarborough stationsSheppard East Corridor• Evaluation of short-term rapid transit options

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A detailed assessment of costing, ridership and accessibility will be completed for all projects

Decision Points

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March, 2016 • Update to City’s Executive Committee and City Council

April, 2016 • Stakeholder and public consultation on findings of further work

June, 2016 • Final recommendations made to City Council

Summer, 2016 • Commence TPAP for Scarborough Subway Extension• Commence TPAP Amendment for Crosstown East

By the end of 2016 • Complete TPAP for Scarborough Subway Extension• Complete TPAP Amendment for Crosstown East