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OECD Headquarters, Paris 26 - 28 October 2016 EU Loss Data Challenge How ready are EU countries for Sendai?

JRC Results of EU Loss Data Challenge - Chiara Proietti

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Page 1: JRC Results of EU Loss Data Challenge - Chiara Proietti

OECD Headquarters, Paris

26 - 28 October 2016

EU Loss Data Challenge

How ready are EU countries for Sendai?

Page 2: JRC Results of EU Loss Data Challenge - Chiara Proietti

EU Disaster Loss and Damage Data Challenge March 2016

To share data:

in a predefined format

for all hazards covered by Sendai Framework from 2005 to 2015

covering 4 Sendai targets:

A - deaths and missing;

B - affected;

C - direct economic loss;

D - critical infrastructure.

2 8 November 2016

Objectives

1. Support the EU position on Indicators for the Sendai Framework based on evidence

2. Identify gaps in Disaster Loss data and possible solutions

Page 3: JRC Results of EU Loss Data Challenge - Chiara Proietti

National Contributors:

• Sweden

• Norway

• Finland

• Czech Republic

• France

• Italy

• Spain

• Austria

• Portugal

4 8 November 2016

EU Disaster Loss Database

Page 4: JRC Results of EU Loss Data Challenge - Chiara Proietti

Approach

> 50%

< 50% of the Countries

none of the Countries

Methodology

% of the contributing Countries who identified Public Authorities or Private Organizations collecting the specific loss data

4 phases:

(1) Identification relevant ministries and organisations (October 2016)

(2) Listing available data

(3) Collecting available data

(4) Assessing available data

Public Authority

Private Sector

Page 5: JRC Results of EU Loss Data Challenge - Chiara Proietti

Global Target A – Deaths & Missing

9 8 November 2016

Phase 1 - Identification relevant ministries and organisations (October 2016)

> 50% < 50% of the Countries none of the Countries

UNISDR

Feasibility Ex. (JPN)

EU Loss Data Challenge

Target A Public

Authority Private Sector

A-1 Number of deaths and missing persons / presumed dead due to hazardous events per 100,000.

Country Specific

A-2 Number of deaths due to hazardous events. G.I. 1

A-3 Number of missing persons / presumed dead due to hazardous events. G.I. 2

Target B

B-1 Number of affected people by hazardous events 100,000. G.I. 3

B-2 Number of injured or ill people due to hazardous events G.I. 4

B-3a Number of evacuated people due to hazardous events Country Specific

B-3b Number of relocated people due to hazardous events. Country Specific

B-4 Number of people whose houses were damaged due to hazardous events. G.I. 5

B-5 Number of people whose houses were destroyed due to hazardous events. G.I. 6

B-6 Number of people who received aid including food and non-food aid due to hazardous events. Country Specific

B-7 Number of people whose livelihoods were disrupted, destroyed or lost due to hazardous events. Country Specific

n.a. n.a.

Global Target B – Affected

Page 6: JRC Results of EU Loss Data Challenge - Chiara Proietti

Global Target C – Economic Losses

10 8 November 2016

Phase 1 - Identification relevant ministries and organisations (October 2016)

> 50% < 50% of the Countries none of the Countries

C-1 Direct economic loss due to hazardous events in relation to global gross domestic product.

C-2 Direct agricultural loss due to hazardous events. G.I. 7

C-3 Direct economic loss due to industrial facilities damaged or destroyed by hazardous events Country Specific

C-4 Direct economic loss due to commercial facilities damaged or destroyed by hazardous events. Country Specific

C-5 Direct economic loss due to houses damaged by hazardous events G.I. 8

C-6 Direct economic loss due to houses destroyed by hazardous events G.I. 9

C-7 Direct economic loss due to damage to critical infrastructure caused by hazardous events. G.I. 10

C-8 Direct economic loss due to cultural heritage damaged or destroyed by hazardous events. Country Specific

C-9 Direct economic loss due to environment degraded by hazardous events. Country Specific

C-10 Total insured direct losses due to hazardous events Country Specific

UNISDR Feasibility Ex. EU Loss Data

Challenge

Target C Public Authority

Private Sector

Page 7: JRC Results of EU Loss Data Challenge - Chiara Proietti

Global Target D – Critical Infrastructures

11 8 November 2016

Phase 1 - Identification relevant ministries and organisations (October 2016)

> 50% < 50% of the Countries none of the Countries

D-1 Damage to critical infrastructure due to hazardous events. Country Specific

D-2 D-2 Number of health facilities destroyed or damaged by hazardous events. G.I. 11

D-3 D-3 Number of educational facilities destroyed or damaged by hazardous events. G.I. 12

D-4 D-4 Number of transportation units and infrastructures destroyed or damaged by hazardous events. G.I. 13

D-4b D-4b Kilometres of road destroyed or damaged per hazardous event. G.I. 13

D-4c D-4c Number of bridges destroyed/damaged by hazardous event. G.I. 13

D-4d D-4d Kilometres of railway destroyed / damaged by hazardous event. G.I. 13

D-4k D-4k Number of airports destroyed / damaged by hazardous event G.I. 13

D-4l D-4l Number of ports destroyed / damaged by hazardous event G.I. 13

D-5 Number of times basic services have been disrupted due to hazardous events. n.a. n.a.

UNISDR Feasibility Ex. EU Loss Data

Challenge

Target D Public Authority

Private Sector

Page 8: JRC Results of EU Loss Data Challenge - Chiara Proietti

12 8 November 2016

Central Italy Earthquake 24th August 2016

Page 9: JRC Results of EU Loss Data Challenge - Chiara Proietti

14 8 November 2016

Page 10: JRC Results of EU Loss Data Challenge - Chiara Proietti

Time dependence and double counting

Target A

A-1 Number of deaths and missing persons / presumed dead due to hazardous events per 100,000.

A-2 Number of deaths due to hazardous events. 298

A-3 Number of missing persons / presumed dead due to hazardous events. 0

15 8 November 2016

Target B

B-1 Number of affected people by hazardous events 100,000.

B-2 Number of injured or ill people due to hazardous events 387

B-3a Number of evacuated people due to hazardous events 4807

B-3b Number of relocated people due to hazardous events.

B-4 Number of people whose houses were damaged due to hazardous events.

1200

B-5 Number of people whose houses were destroyed due to hazardous events.

B-6 Number of people who received aid including food and non-food aid due to hazardous events.

B-7 Number of people whose livelihoods were disrupted, destroyed or lost due to hazardous events.

http://www.protezionecivile.gov.it/

B-4+B-5 ?

42 days

B-3 ?

Page 11: JRC Results of EU Loss Data Challenge - Chiara Proietti

16 8 November 2016

Target C

C-1 Direct economic loss due to hazardous events in relation to global gross domestic product.

C-2 Direct agricultural loss due to hazardous events.

C-3 Direct economic loss due to industrial facilities damaged or destroyed by hazardous events

C-4 Direct economic loss due to commercial facilities damaged or destroyed by hazardous events.

C-5 Direct economic loss due to houses damaged by hazardous events

C-6 Direct economic loss due to houses destroyed by hazardous events

C-7 Direct economic loss due to damage to critical infrastructure caused by hazardous events.

C-8 Direct economic loss due to cultural heritage damaged or destroyed by hazardous events.

C-9 Direct economic loss due to environment degraded by hazardous events.

C-10 Total insured direct losses due to hazardous events

Highly Damaged Moderately Damaged

Row Labels Sum of AREA Row Labels Sum of AREA

Agriculture 189.8609346 Agriculture 98.119029

Educational 792.0650466 Cemetery 87.68287556

Industrial 1652.90197 Commercial 1022.553875

Medical 1998.694309 Educational 266.4163629

Religious 646.2259458 Industrial 113.9111931

Residential 37111.67043 Religious 2677.623029

Grand Total 42391.41863 Residential 45657.45131

Grand Total 49923.75767

Moderately Affected Negligible to slight damage

Row Labels Sum of AREA Row Labels Sum of AREA

Residential 220.9899162 Agriculture 1325.269122

Cemetery 15.94751558

Medical 1720.507964

Residential 31795.68445

Grand Total 34857.40906

Page 12: JRC Results of EU Loss Data Challenge - Chiara Proietti

Target C

C-1 Direct economic loss due to hazardous events in relation to global gross domestic product.

C-2 Direct agricultural loss due to hazardous events.

C-3 Direct economic loss due to industrial facilities damaged or destroyed by hazardous events

C-4 Direct economic loss due to commercial facilities damaged or destroyed by hazardous events.

C-5 Direct economic loss due to houses damaged by hazardous events

C-6 Direct economic loss due to houses destroyed by hazardous events

C-7 Direct economic loss due to damage to critical infrastructure caused by hazardous events.

C-8 Direct economic loss due to cultural heritage damaged or destroyed by hazardous events.

C-9 Direct economic loss due to environment degraded by hazardous events.

C-10 Total insured direct losses due to hazardous events

N. Private buildings damaged N. Private buildings destroyed TOT damaged

TOT assessed

5564 8076 2952 19646

Requests: >70.000

http://www.protezionecivile.gov.it/ Update 15 October 2016

C5/6 = number of houses damaged * average size of damaged facilities * construction cost per square metre * damage ratio

UNISDR Methodology

Page 13: JRC Results of EU Loss Data Challenge - Chiara Proietti

Recommendations Moving from to National Sendai Indicators

Involvement of private sector in the national process can effectively

improve the implementation of the following Sendai Indicators:

TARGET B – Affected People

B4/B5 People whose houses were damaged/destroyed

TARGET C – Economic Losses

All

TARGET D – Critical Infrastructures

D4 Transportation

19 8 November 2016

Page 14: JRC Results of EU Loss Data Challenge - Chiara Proietti

Involvement of scientific community

Asking for science and technology needs for data collection and risk modeling

20 8 November 2016

Recommendations Moving from to National Sendai Indicators

Page 15: JRC Results of EU Loss Data Challenge - Chiara Proietti

Common Issues

Changing data: data are stable and appropriately representative 42

days after end of sudden-onset disaster. Is it necessary to specify

this?

TARGET B

Double counting: summing can count individuals up to 5 times.

Solutions: (1) less indicators, (2) counting by individual, (3) accept

double counting

TARGET C

Which indicator should be collected at asset level?

21 8 November 2016