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© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B© 2013 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
March 2013
Foresight Engine Game Analysis:
25 Zones of Future Innovation
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
A project by Institute for the Future and The Rockefeller Foundationwww.iftf.org/our-work/global-landscape/catalysts-for-change/catalysts-zones-of-innovation
Contact: Tessa Finlev, [email protected]
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
3 | Adaptive Shelters
2
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
Climate change, coupled with extreme
weather events, economic constraints, and
increased nomadism, requires us to think
of new ways to build, distribute, and
regulate homes and shelters. The changing
urban landscape can be seen as an
opportunity to redesign human settlements for
both resilience and inclusion.
3
3 | Adaptive Shelters | Future Innovation
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
When we look at player ideas as a whole we see a new trend: openness to,
and interest in, completely rethinking how we relate to and design our
settlements.
Ideas ranged from the adaptive, such as turning vehicles and cargo containers into
homes and creating biodomes to climate-mitigate public spaces, to the pragmatic,
such as acknowledging the permanence and uniqueness of slums by supporting
the innovative and entrepreneurial activities in these communities through property
rights and low-tech shelter upgrades.
4
3 | Adaptive Shelters | From the Players
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 5
Cities develop capacity to sustain, integrate, nomadic populations living in cars vehicles, with safe parking rules, zones, public spaces.*
Earth**
3 | Adaptive Shelters | Micro-forecasts from the Game
*Cards have been lightly edited for readability**Player location was self selected
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 6
Create modular homes out of shipping containers, retrofit in bulk with low cost, simple, well designed waste/water/electricity system & hub. Canada
3 | Adaptive Shelters | Micro-forecasts from the Game
Cities develop capacity to sustain, integrate, nomadic populations living in cars vehicles, with safe parking rules, zones, public spaces.
Earth
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 7
Empower the use of the Hexa-Yurt shelter design (Public Domain) hexayurt.com
USA
3 | Adaptive Shelters | Micro-forecasts from the Game
Create modular homes out of shipping containers, retrofit in bulk with low cost, simple, well designed waste/water/electricity system & hub.
Canada
Cities develop capacity to sustain, integrate, nomadic populations living in cars vehicles, with safe parking rules, zones, public spaces.
Earth
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 8
A lack of understanding about how poor settlements are structured (physically and figuratively) and how that affects their daily lives.
India
3 | Adaptive Shelters | Micro-forecasts from the Game
Create modular homes out of shipping containers, retrofit in bulk with low cost, simple, well designed waste/water/electricity system & hub.
Canada
Cities develop capacity to sustain, integrate, nomadic populations living in cars vehicles, with safe parking rules, zones, public spaces.
Earth
Empower the use of the Hexa-Yurt shelter design (Public Domain) hexayurt.com
USA
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 9
3 | Adaptive Shelters | Micro-forecasts from the Game
Create modular homes out of shipping containers, retrofit in bulk with low cost, simple, well designed waste/water/electricity system & hub.
Canada
Cities develop capacity to sustain, integrate, nomadic populations living in cars vehicles, with safe parking rules, zones, public spaces.
Earth
Empower the use of the Hexa-Yurt shelter design (Public Domain) hexayurt.com
USA
A lack of understanding about how poor settlements are structured (physically and figuratively) and how that affects their daily lives.
India
i.e. property rights, a level playing field, encourage investments in new technology & skills.
South Africa
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 10
Cargo condos: repurpose shipping containers to provide secure modular housing units for urban homeless
USA
3 | Adaptive Shelters | Micro-forecasts from the Game
Create modular homes out of shipping containers, retrofit in bulk with low cost, simple, well designed waste/water/electricity system & hub.
Canada
Cities develop capacity to sustain, integrate, nomadic populations living in cars vehicles, with safe parking rules, zones, public spaces.
Earth
Empower the use of the Hexa-Yurt shelter design (Public Domain) hexayurt.com
USA
A lack of understanding about how poor settlements are structured (physically and figuratively) and how that affects their daily lives.
India
i.e. property rights, a level playing field, encourage investments in new technology & skills.
South Africa
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 11
And valuing low-tech solutions. Like the bottles of water set into roofs in the slums to bring a sort of indoor lighting.
Denmark
3 | Adaptive Shelters | Micro-forecasts from the Game
Create modular homes out of shipping containers, retrofit in bulk with low cost, simple, well designed waste/water/electricity system & hub.
Canada
Cities develop capacity to sustain, integrate, nomadic populations living in cars vehicles, with safe parking rules, zones, public spaces.
Earth
Empower the use of the Hexa-Yurt shelter design (Public Domain) hexayurt.com
USA
A lack of understanding about how poor settlements are structured (physically and figuratively) and how that affects their daily lives.
India
i.e. property rights, a level playing field, encourage investments in new technology & skills.
South Africa
Cargo condos: repurpose shipping containers to provide secure modular housing units for urban homeless
USA
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 12
Create lightweight, large-scale Shelter Domes to climate-mitigate more traditional public space.
USA
3 | Adaptive Shelters | Micro-forecasts from the Game
Create modular homes out of shipping containers, retrofit in bulk with low cost, simple, well designed waste/water/electricity system & hub.
Canada
Cities develop capacity to sustain, integrate, nomadic populations living in cars vehicles, with safe parking rules, zones, public spaces.
Earth
Empower the use of the Hexa-Yurt shelter design (Public Domain) hexayurt.com
USA
A lack of understanding about how poor settlements are structured (physically and figuratively) and how that affects their daily lives.
India
i.e. property rights, a level playing field, encourage investments in new technology & skills.
South Africa
Cargo condos: repurpose shipping containers to provide secure modular housing units for urban homeless
USA
And valuing low-tech solutions. Like the bottles of water set into roofs in the slums to bring a sort of indoor lighting.
Denmark
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 13
3 | Adaptive Shelters | Micro-forecasts from the Game
Create modular homes out of shipping containers, retrofit in bulk with low cost, simple, well designed waste/water/electricity system & hub.
Canada
Cities develop capacity to sustain, integrate, nomadic populations living in cars vehicles, with safe parking rules, zones, public spaces.
Earth
Empower the use of the Hexa-Yurt shelter design (Public Domain) hexayurt.com
USA
A lack of understanding about how poor settlements are structured (physically and figuratively) and how that affects their daily lives.
India
i.e. property rights, a level playing field, encourage investments in new technology & skills.
South Africa
Cargo condos: repurpose shipping containers to provide secure modular housing units for urban homeless
USA
And valuing low-tech solutions. Like the bottles of water set into roofs in the slums to bring a sort of indoor lighting.
Denmark
Create lightweight, large-scale Shelter Domes to climate-mitigate more traditional public space.
USA
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
Signals from the Present
14
3 | Adaptive Shelters
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 15
The Hexayurt Project has designed a way to turn standard building materials such as plywood into zero-waste modular homes called hexayurts. These homes present a low-cost and sustainable way to provide shelter for refugees or weather migrants who may not have access to homes for extended periods of time.
Citihub Mandaluyong
Citihub Mandaluyong is a low-income dormitory in the Philippines, built from shipping containers.
3 | Adaptive Shelters | Signals from the Present
Hexayurt
Image Source: http://www.springwise.com/homes_housing/philippines-shipping-containers-create-low-income-housing/
Image Source: http://files.howtolivewiki.com/hexayurt.com/grass_roots_united__haiti_1.jpg
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 16
Open Source House México is a global contest to create affordable eco-housing for impoverished communities within México.
Living Houses
Terreform ONE (Open Network Ecology) has designed a concept for a single-family living house called the Fab Tree Hab.
3 | Adaptive Shelters | Signals from the Present
Open Source House México
Image Source:www.architizer.com/en_us/projects/view/fab-tree-hab/542/#.UOcZzYnjncE
Image Source: www.os-housemexico.org
A project by Institute for the Future and The Rockefeller Foundationwww.iftf.org/our-work/global-landscape/catalysts-for-change/catalysts-zones-of-innovation
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B© 2013 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
March 2013
Foresight Engine Game Analysis:
25 Zones of Future Innovation
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
A project by Institute for the Future and The Rockefeller Foundationwww.iftf.org/our-work/global-landscape/catalysts-for-change/catalysts-zones-of-innovation
Contact: Tessa Finlev, [email protected]