12
Why EXCO Resources, Peabody Energy, and W&T Offshore Made Huge Moves This Week

Why EXCO Resources, Peabody Energy, and W&T Offshore Made Huge Moves This Week

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Why EXCO Resources, Peabody Energy, and W&T Offshore Made Huge Moves This Week

Why EXCO Resources, Peabody Energy, and W&T Offshore Made Huge Moves This

Week

Page 2: Why EXCO Resources, Peabody Energy, and W&T Offshore Made Huge Moves This Week

Despite a lot of movement, the market pretty much ended the week where it left off. Oddly enough, the price of oil did the same. After

bounding higher mid-week after oil inventories, crude settled right around $45 a barrel, which is pretty much where it started the week.

This led to some really strange moves among energy stocks with dozens up double-digits, while others fizzled out. In fact, there was little, if any, news driving these huge moves other than market movements. As such,

the biggest percentage moves made this week had no news of substance. Still, the three largest movers this week, according to S&P Capital IQ data, present an interesting case study. That's why we'll still venture closer to see why EXCO Resources (NYSE: XCO), Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU), and

W&T Offshore (NYSE: WTI) went on such a wild ride this week.

Page 3: Why EXCO Resources, Peabody Energy, and W&T Offshore Made Huge Moves This Week

What:Coal producer Peabody Energy’s (NYSE: BTU) stock slumped more than 17% this

week.

Page 4: Why EXCO Resources, Peabody Energy, and W&T Offshore Made Huge Moves This Week

So What: Key driver: Peabody

Energy announced a 1-for-15 reverse stock split

The split will push Peabody Energy’s stock price out of the single digits and likely mute some of its recent double digit volatility

Page 5: Why EXCO Resources, Peabody Energy, and W&T Offshore Made Huge Moves This Week

Now What: Recent news that actually

mattered: Peabody Energy has reportedly hired a bank to advise it on how to restructure its debt outside of bankruptcy

Key takeaway: Stock splits are meaningless, it’s Peabody Energy’s balance sheet moves that matter right now

Page 6: Why EXCO Resources, Peabody Energy, and W&T Offshore Made Huge Moves This Week

What:Oil producer W&T Offshore (NYSE: WTI) leapt more than 18% this week.

Page 7: Why EXCO Resources, Peabody Energy, and W&T Offshore Made Huge Moves This Week

So What: Key driver: Oil prices and

possible short covering W&T Offshore has more

than 33% of its shares sold short, so it will be quite volatile when oil prices rally as short sellers need to buy to cover their short position

Page 8: Why EXCO Resources, Peabody Energy, and W&T Offshore Made Huge Moves This Week

Now What: Recent news that actually

mattered: W&T recently improved its financial position having announced the sale of its Yellow Rose field for $376 million

Key takeaway: While higher oil prices will help, fixing its balance sheet is the key to W&T Offshore’s long-term success

Page 9: Why EXCO Resources, Peabody Energy, and W&T Offshore Made Huge Moves This Week

What:Natural gas producer EXCO Resources (NYSE: XCO) surged more than 36% this

week.

Page 10: Why EXCO Resources, Peabody Energy, and W&T Offshore Made Huge Moves This Week

So What: Key driver: Similar to

W&T Offshore, as oil and short covering likely fueled this week’s gains

While higher oil prices will help, that’s not what will save EXCO Resources in the long-term

Page 11: Why EXCO Resources, Peabody Energy, and W&T Offshore Made Huge Moves This Week

Now What: Recent news that actually

mattered: EXCO Resources recently closed a services and investment agreement with Bluescape Resources

Agreement provides executive leadership, a strategic plan, and a small equity infusion

Key takeaway: EXCO needed a turnaround plan and cash, this deal provides both