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IDEA – Presentation of the project and objectives of the workshop
Scira Menoni on behalf of the POLIMI Team: Francesco Ballio, Ouejdane Mejri, Marina Mendoza, Guido Minucci, Daniela Molinari, Giulia Pesaro
WorkshopLearning form disasters and mitigating risks for the future:
the role of the industrial and lifelines sectors
Oxford Brooks University - Oxford, 5-6 April 2016
The project: www.ideaproject.polimi.it
Improving damage assessments to enhance cost-benefit analysis: challenging the call of the EU considering the quality of data on which most CB are actually carried out. A new entry for us: the VU Institute of the Netherlands
Post-disaster damage assessment: why?
We will discuss more in depth the issue of multi-purpose damage data collection and analysis in another part of the workshop
EVENT
Physical eventscenario: the features of the triggeringphenomena
DAMAGE DATA COLLECTION
Sectors Time scale Spatial scale
Physical damage Costs
DAMAGE ASSESSMENTPhysical damage Costs
AccountingNeeds(compensation)
Forensic Risk assessment
Immediate resourcesfor recovery
Identifying risk mitigation measures for a resilient reconstructionand in similar areas (not affected now)
Effective at the national level
Effective at the regional/local level
On what factors to intervene
CB Analyses Multicriteria assessment
Post-disaster damage assessment: How?
We have case four case studies but also a mixed partnership of research institions and civil protection organisations. Data ownership is still an issue. Not less than data coordination
IDEA project’s mian goals
To show how data can be used for multiple purposes, including Cost-Benefit analysis of mitigation measures
Develop a model of damage data collection and analysis adaptable to different countries and organisations (the crucial role of procedures)
Develop and Information System that will provide data structure and facilitate the task of data input and will shift the effort of organisations on data analysis
Needs assessment(compensation)
Recovery
Local officials/insurers
Fair resources allocation
Regional/nationalofficers, insurancecompanies
EU Solidarity Fund in case of activation
Loss Accounting
Recording the impact
Local policy (city)
Measuring trends
International policy (UN, donors, EU Policy-DG ECHO)
Disaster forensic
Identify the cause
Local expert teams
Learning from the past
National expert teams
International experttemas (PDNA)
Risk modelling
Modelling future losses
Local research/policy
DRR and mitigation
National research/policy (Regional, GEM)
International initiatives(GEM, GAR), EU policy
National policy (National Adminsitrations)
Glo
bal
user
sN
atio
nal
user
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ocal
us
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Obj
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ives
M
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DatabaseDatabase
Database
Standardized procedure to collect data for multiple purposes Collecting data regarding
damages reported to the Emergency Control Room by municipalities and lifelines companies
Triggering the Copernicusservice and other offices to draw the map of inundatedareas
Direct damage surveys for residential buildings usig forms used in training
Multi-sectoral damageanalysis and secondreport to support the declaration of state of emergency
Third report of damageand losses to multiple sectors to support bothrecovery and forensicanalysis
Use of the Advanced Damage Report to:- Monitor reconstruction and use of funds;- Decisions and plans for reconstruction based on
forensic investigation of damage
Direct damage surveys for industrial and commercial buildings integrated to selfdeclarations
First event report describing the hazardfeatures and preliminaryoverview of damage
Objectives of this workshop
Work on two sectors in particular: Businesses, including insurance, and Infrastructures regarding which we have in general less structured and «scientific» knowledge
Businesses: looking for answers for the following questions:
What is the impact on economy of damage to economic activities? There are models to assess the impact on economy of businesses interruption (indirect damage) however there are less knwoledge regarding the chain:
Physical damage to firms
Direct repair costs
Business interruption
Other businesses interruption (lifelines but not only)
Effects on the individual firm
Effects on economic sectors and economy
Lost revenue and other indirect costs
Litigation costs
tduration
Businesses
A very large variability in vulnerability factors (what is the most crucial weak points physically and also systemically) in a firm, but also how those are related to the different types of stresses (earthquakes, floods)
At the level of policies and interventions: fast recovery is crucial, so for example Treating firms as residential households WrongTreating a flood like an earthquake in terms of recovery provisions Wrong
Utilities and infrastructuresDespite of the Council Directive 2008/114/EC“On the identification and designation of European critical infrastructures and the assessment of theneed to improve their protection”, and other relevant initiatives (World Bank, Sendai) including the OCSE Decision No. 6/13 on the Protection of energy networks from natural and man made disasters
We still have very little empirical data and poor only anedoctical information on what actually happens in case of natural disasters
Role of Public-Private Partnership
The reason why we know so little regarding damage to lifelines and critical infrastructures is certainly the lack of data, because of their fragmentation but also because of the lack of sharing culture
Here is where PPP can really make a difference: the crucial role of the insurance sector, combining data from insurance with data collected by civil protection organisations and with the firms themselves.
Role of Public-Private Partnership
It is also a matter of a more transparent and accountable way to use at the end public money
Transparency regarding data that can be shared, of course not sensitive or private, however the definition of both is a matter of debate
Role of Public-Private PartnershipSo thank you very much for being here, this is really we hope a starting point for the discussion and also knowing each other for other opportunities for funding yes but primarily to be better prepared for the kind of extreme events we will discuss in this day and a half.
I would like very much to thank the Oxford Brooks team, Ray Ogden, Nicholas Walliman, Shahrzad Amouzad and Martin Dolan.