Impact of non-state and subnational action

Impact of non-state and sub-national action07 December 2015Niklas Höhne, [email protected]

The project underlying this presentation is supported with funding from the Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation, Building and Nuclear Safety of Germany under project number 3715 41 109 0.

mailto:[email protected]

01/05/2023 2

Content

Non-state and sub-national action is increasingImpact of the action is probably significant, but effect and overlap with national actions needs attention

01/05/2023 3

Non-state and subnational action is increasing

Source: http://climateaction.unfccc.int

01/05/2023 4

Initiatives are numerous

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Multilateral organisations

Fluorinated gases

Methane emissions from oil and gas…

Renewable electricity

Funding/ fiscal reform

Energy efficiency in buildings

Industry

Cities

Transport

Other

Agriculture/Forestry

174 initiatives reviewed, in cooperation with climateinitiativesplatform.org

Project: Analysis of impact of initiatives

01/05/2023 5

Initiatives have various primary functions


Increasing non-state actor participationTechnology transfer

Technical operational implementationLobbying

Measurement Reporting and Verification (MRV)Policy planning / Institutional policy and economic framework

Training and educationInstitutional capacity building

Norm and standard settingCampaigning and awareness raising

Fundraising / FinancingKnowledge production and innovation including research and development

Knowledge dissemination and exchange / Information and NetworkingPartnership and voluntary agreements

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40


01/05/2023 6

Good practice for initiatives

Set clear goals: Targets, whether for emissions reduction, policy impact, technology innovation or other co-benefits, should be upfront and include indicators for success. Monitor action: Maintain and publically report, where appropriate, good quality data to monitor and support action. Increase ambition: Establish a process which fosters dynamic and continuous ambition raising and improvement. Increase membership: A focus on increasing membership requires an explicit strategy to manage the tension between raised ambition and larger membership. Collaborate across sectors: Collaboration with other initiatives, sharing best practice and achieving shared aims provides mutual bene ts. Communicate: Good communications to support the adoption of best practice.

Source: Better partnerships, Ecofys and CISL

01/05/2023 7

Targets/commitments25%, have a clear commitment (also includes qualitative or for parts of the initiative)Agriculture and forestry: 19%Energy efficiency in buildings: 38%Renewable electricity 44%

Monitoring and reporting 31%: framework for regular reporting16%: could but do not have a system54%: no information was found

Responsibilities22% established a permanent secretariatOften driven from developed countries


Characteristics of initiatives


01/05/2023 8

Content

Non-state and sub-national action is increasingImpact of the action is probably significant, but effect and overlap with national actions needs attention

INDCs move emissions and temperature but not enough

9Source: Climate Action Tracker, 1 October 2015, http://climateactiontracker.org/assets/publications/CAT_global_temperature_update_October_2015.pdf

http://climateactiontracker.org/assets/publications/CAT_global_temperature_update_October_2015.pdf

01/05/2023 10

Quantitative impact of initiatives in 2020

Overlapping with national action

Additional to national action

Hsu, Angel, Andrew S. Moffat, Amy J. Weinfurter, and Jason D. Schwartz. 2015. “Towards a New Climate Diplomacy.” Nature Climate Change 5(6): 501–3. http://www.nature.com/doifinder/10.1038/nclimate2594.

Roelfsema, Mark, Mathijs Harmsen, Jos Olivier, and Andries Hof. 2015. Climate Action Outside the UNFCCC - Assessment of the Impact of International Cooperative Initiatives on Greenhouse Gas Emissions. The Hague. http://www.pbl.nl/sites/default/files/cms/pbl-2015-climate-action-outside-the-unfccc_01188.pdf.

UNEP. 2014. The Emissions Gap Report 2014: A UNEP Synthesis Report. United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), Nairobi. http://www.unep.org/publications/ebooks/emissionsgapreport2014/portals/50268/pdf/EGR2014_LOWRES.pdf.

See also Yale analysis of NAZCA http://campuspress.yale.edu/datadriven/2015/11/26/analyzing-non-state-and-sub-national-climate-pledges-in-nazca-and-the-lpaa/


http://www.unep.org/publications/ebooks/emissionsgapreport2014/portals/50268/pdf/EGR2014_LOWRES.pdf

http://campuspress.yale.edu/datadriven/2015/11/26/analyzing-non-state-and-sub-national-climate-pledges-in-nazca-and-the-lpaa/

http://campuspress.yale.edu/datadriven/2015/11/26/analyzing-non-state-and-sub-national-climate-pledges-in-nazca-and-the-lpaa/

11

Non-state action is additional to Germany’s 40% target

13 to 31 MtCO2e/year

8 to 18 MtCO2e/year

Source: How much more could Germany achieve through non-state action? http://newclimate.org/2015/11/25/how-much-more-could-germany-achieve-through-non-state-action/

http://newclimate.org/2015/11/25/how-much-more-could-germany-achieve-through-non-state-action/



01/05/2023 12

Results

-14

-12

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0Bavaria NRW Climate Alliance

European WindInitiative Renovate Europe

Net

redu

ctio

ns in

cl. o

verla

ps

(MtC

O2e

/yea

r)

Net reductions until 2020 of selected initiatives

compared to CPS 2020 compared to ETS 2020

Source: How much more could Germany achieve through non-state action? http://newclimate.org/2015/11/25/how-much-more-could-germany-achieve-through-non-state-action/




01/05/2023 13

Quantitative impact of initiatives – plans for early 2016

Identify good practice criteria for initiativeQualitative analysis of the initiativesQuantify the impact on emissions of China, USA, EU, India, Brazil, Russia, Japan, Canada


01/05/2023 14

Conclusions

Non-state and sub-national action is increasingGood practice for initiatives is emerging Impact of the action is probably significant, but effect and overlap with national actions needs attention