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Cost Analysis at IRENA Michael Taylor [email protected] 1 July 2014

Falling Renewable Power Generation Costs support the Global 100%RE Campaign's Goal

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Falling renewable power generation costs make the goals of the Global 100% RE campaign (see their website for more details http://go100re.net/) not only technically feasible, but increasingly economically feasible for a growing number of locations. What are the true costs of solar PV, wind power, hydropower, biomass for power and geothermal? IRENA's database of over 9000 utiltiy-scale projects and over 200k small-scale solar PV systems provides insights into this question and others. To support policy makers, IRENA is also extending our analysis to costs and we will launch IRENA's PV Parity Indicators in Q3 2014. These will help policymakers track PV competitiveness and make informed decisions about the support of solar PV.

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Page 1: Falling Renewable Power Generation Costs support the Global 100%RE Campaign's Goal

Cost Analysis at IRENA

Michael [email protected]

1 July 2014

Page 2: Falling Renewable Power Generation Costs support the Global 100%RE Campaign's Goal

Secure supplies01

Reliable service02

Energy access03

Affordably04

Renewable Energy

can provide:

Page 3: Falling Renewable Power Generation Costs support the Global 100%RE Campaign's Goal

What do the costs of

9000 utility-scale and

over 200k small-scale

RE projects look like?

Renewable power

generation is

increasingly

competitive

Highlights

Page 4: Falling Renewable Power Generation Costs support the Global 100%RE Campaign's Goal

Higher capacity

factors from improved

technology

Wind turbine

cost reductions

Wind power

Page 5: Falling Renewable Power Generation Costs support the Global 100%RE Campaign's Goal

Solar PV Trends

Module price declines pause as industry attempts to improve margins

BoS costs now hold key to large-scale future cost reductions: continued declines, for how long?

Page 6: Falling Renewable Power Generation Costs support the Global 100%RE Campaign's Goal

PV Parity Indicators:

Tracking Our Future

6

• Tracks quarterly competiveness

• Indicators, not actual costs

• Target audience are policy makers and thought leaders

• Start with North America

• Can lead to more detailed analysis

• Supports other IRENA activities

Page 7: Falling Renewable Power Generation Costs support the Global 100%RE Campaign's Goal

7

• Simple metrics

• LCOE vs Effective Electricity Rate/Value

• Require detailed assumptions & analysis

PV Parity Indicators:

Methodology

Page 8: Falling Renewable Power Generation Costs support the Global 100%RE Campaign's Goal

8

Residential PV Parity:

San Francisco

Detailed analysis

yields significant

insights…

The average view

can be very

misleading…

Page 9: Falling Renewable Power Generation Costs support the Global 100%RE Campaign's Goal

IRENA now has

A world class database

Cutting edge analysis

Transparent, verifiable data

Global coverage

A dynamic new web portal

Page 10: Falling Renewable Power Generation Costs support the Global 100%RE Campaign's Goal

New dedicated

costing pages…

…with all our costing

publications for

free…

…charts, Alliance

news, events, and

more.

The True Costs:

webpages for your work

Page 11: Falling Renewable Power Generation Costs support the Global 100%RE Campaign's Goal
Page 12: Falling Renewable Power Generation Costs support the Global 100%RE Campaign's Goal

Member countries

Private sector members

Observers12

Alliance structure

Page 13: Falling Renewable Power Generation Costs support the Global 100%RE Campaign's Goal

Stationary applications

Power generation

update

Integration technologies

PV Parity Indicators

What’s next?

Page 14: Falling Renewable Power Generation Costs support the Global 100%RE Campaign's Goal

www.irena.org/costs

[email protected]