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Emerging Opportunities with the Low Carbon Fuel Standard Peter Weisberg American Biogas Council/Bioenergy Association of California Webinar April 17, 2014

Emerging Opportunities with the Low Carbon Fuel Standard

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Emerging Opportunities with the Low Carbon Fuel Standard: biogas climate benefits, environmental markets for biogas, ownership of attributes, key barriers and emerging solutions.

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Page 1: Emerging Opportunities with the Low Carbon Fuel Standard

Emerging Opportunities with the Low Carbon Fuel Standard

Peter Weisberg

American Biogas Council/Bioenergy Association of California

Webinar

April 17, 2014

Page 2: Emerging Opportunities with the Low Carbon Fuel Standard

Renewable electricity

21%

Avoided methane

emissions79%

Biogas Climate BenefitsExample project: 2,000 cow dairy, 750 kw digester

Page 3: Emerging Opportunities with the Low Carbon Fuel Standard

Environmental Markets for Biogas

Market Credit Biogas Use GeographicLimitation

California Cap-and-Trade

Carbon Offset Any Anywhere in the US

State Renewable Portfolio Standard

REC (Renewable Energy Certificate)

Electricity generation

Depends on state renewable portfolio standard

CaliforniaLow Carbon Fuel Standard

LCFS Credit Transportation fuel

Fuel consumed in California

US Renewable Fuel Standard

RIN (Renewable Identification Number)

Transportation fuel

Anywhere in the US

Page 4: Emerging Opportunities with the Low Carbon Fuel Standard

Ownership of climate attributes

Renewable energy (displacing fossil fuel)

Avoided methane emissions

Carbon Offset x

REC x

LCFS Credit x x

Page 5: Emerging Opportunities with the Low Carbon Fuel Standard

99.18

68

13.45

-15.29

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Gasoline Compressed Natural Gas Dairy Biogas Food Waste Biogas

Car

bo

n In

ten

sity

(gC

O2

e/M

J)

Page 6: Emerging Opportunities with the Low Carbon Fuel Standard

0

20

40

60

80

100

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Carb

on

In

ten

sit

y (

gC

O2e/M

J)

California’s Low Carbon Fuel Standard

Carbon Intensity of Compressed Biomethane from Dairy Farms - 13.45 gCO2e/MJ

Carbon Intensity of Crude Oil - 99.18 gCO2e/MJ

LCFS Carbon Intensity Targets

Credits

Deficits

Page 7: Emerging Opportunities with the Low Carbon Fuel Standard

$-

$10.00

$20.00

$30.00

$40.00

$50.00

$60.00

$70.00

$80.00

$90.00

Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14

California LCFS Price ($/mtCO2e)

Page 8: Emerging Opportunities with the Low Carbon Fuel Standard

$/mtCO2e $/MMBTU1 $/DGE1

(diesel gallon equivalent)

Current $19.50 $2.33 $0.30

Average $53.32 $6.38 $0.83

High $85.00 $10.16 $1.32

LCFS Value to BiogasFood Waste (HSAD) Carbon Intensity: -15.29

1 $/MMBTU and $/DGE prices for 2014; credits generated per MMBTU or DGE vary annually as the CA LCFS carbon intensity target is adjusted down.

Page 9: Emerging Opportunities with the Low Carbon Fuel Standard

$/mtCO2e $/MMBTU1 $/DGE1

(diesel gallon equivalent)

Current $19.50 $1.74 $0.23

Average $53.32 $4.76 $0.62

High $85.00 $7.58 $0.98

LCFS Value to BiogasDairy Digestion Carbon Intensity: 13.45

1 $/MMBTU and $/DGE prices for 2014; credits generated per MMBTU or DGE vary annually as the CA LCFS carbon intensity target is adjusted down.

Page 10: Emerging Opportunities with the Low Carbon Fuel Standard

Key Barrier: Financing projects

• LCFS market is

– Nascent

– Volatile

– Complex

– Under legal challenge

– Policy dependent (demand = policy, supply = policy)

• credits are not “bankable”

Page 11: Emerging Opportunities with the Low Carbon Fuel Standard

Emerging Solutions!

• Price Floor/Price Ceiling:

– April 4th “Cost Containment Provision” workshop

– “Determine” price ceiling

– “Explore” price floor

• Contracts

– Regulated entities hesitant to enter long-term contracts

– Green Credit Reserve

Page 12: Emerging Opportunities with the Low Carbon Fuel Standard

Green Credit Reserve (AB 2390)• State contracts to buy LCFS credits

during project development.

– Fixed price

– Long terms

– Payment on delivery

• AB 2390 legislative status

– Assembly

• Passed Natural Resource Committee

• Must pass Appropriations Committee

Page 13: Emerging Opportunities with the Low Carbon Fuel Standard

• Pacific Coast Collaborative– October 2013: Oregon, Washington, British Columbia

and California “committed to adopting and maintaining low carbon fuel standards in each jurisdiction.”

• Oregon: – Current LCFS (Clean Fuels Program) expires in 2015.

– Requires legislative extension.

• Washington:– May have authority under state Clean Air Act to adopt

a LCFS

Expansion to New States

Page 14: Emerging Opportunities with the Low Carbon Fuel Standard

Peter Weisberg

Program Manager

The Climate Trust

[email protected]

503-238-1915 x207

Thank you!