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Conférence MCDA IAE de Rouen Avril 2013
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11.04.201311.04.2013
11
Dr. BOTTI Laurent Dr. BOTTI Laurent Dr. PEYPOCH NicolasDr. PEYPOCH Nicolas
Perpignan University / CAEPEMPerpignan University / CAEPEM
77th meeting of the European Group on MCDA 77th meeting of the European Group on MCDA
11th April 2013, University of Rouen 11th April 2013, University of Rouen
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1.1. IntroductionIntroduction
2.2. MCDA methods and destination competitivenessMCDA methods and destination competitiveness
3.3. ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian islandsELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian islands
4.4. Interests, limitations and perspectivesInterests, limitations and perspectives
Multi-Criteria ELECTRE Multi-Criteria ELECTRE
Method and Destination Method and Destination
Competitiveness Competitiveness
1.1. IntroductionIntroduction
2.2. MCDA methods and TDCMCDA methods and TDC
3.3. ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian islandsislands
4.4. Interests, limitations and perspectivesInterests, limitations and perspectives
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The global tourism industry is The global tourism industry is dynamicdynamic
CompetitivenessCompetitiveness is a growing interest area is a growing interest area
1.1. IntroductionIntroduction
2.2. MCDA methods and TDCMCDA methods and TDC
3.3. ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian islandsislands
4.4. Interests, limitations and perspectivesInterests, limitations and perspectives
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Due to their centrality in the tourism system, Due to their centrality in the tourism system, tourism tourism
destinationsdestinations (TD) benefit from this interest (Cracolici & (TD) benefit from this interest (Cracolici &
Nijkam, 2008) Nijkam, 2008)
To understand TD competitiveness, we dispose of the To understand TD competitiveness, we dispose of the
Ritchie & Crouch (2003) modelRitchie & Crouch (2003) model, the most cited one, the most cited one
This model integrates all the relevant This model integrates all the relevant factorsfactors that might that might
typify the competitiveness of a destinationtypify the competitiveness of a destination
This paper aims to show the interest of MCDA methods This paper aims to show the interest of MCDA methods
regarding the regarding the operationalizationoperationalization of this model of this modelLet’s move to section 2
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1.1. IntroductionIntroduction
2.2. MCDA methods and TDCMCDA methods and TDC
3.3. ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian islandsislands
4.4. Interests, limitations and perspectivesInterests, limitations and perspectives
Why are MCDA methods relevant to deal with competitiveness of Why are MCDA methods relevant to deal with competitiveness of
tourism destination ? tourism destination ?
MCDA for methods providing quantitative approach to support MCDA for methods providing quantitative approach to support
decision making in problems involving decision making in problems involving several criteria and several criteria and
choiceschoices (alternatives or actions) (Figueira, Mousseau & Roy, (alternatives or actions) (Figueira, Mousseau & Roy,
2005) 2005)
TD are an integrated TD are an integrated set of tourist facilitiesset of tourist facilities which have to face which have to face
the challenge of operating their resources effectively and the challenge of operating their resources effectively and
efficiently in order to supply an efficiently in order to supply an experienceexperience that outperforms that outperforms
alternativealternative experiences on the market (Ritchie & Crouch, 2000) experiences on the market (Ritchie & Crouch, 2000)
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1.1. IntroductionIntroduction
2.2. MCDA methods and TDCMCDA methods and TDC
3.3. ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian islandsislands
4.4. Interests, limitations and perspectivesInterests, limitations and perspectives
Tourists who whish to enjoy a satisfying experience try to Tourists who whish to enjoy a satisfying experience try to
selectselect one destination from a set of one destination from a set of nn possible alternatives possible alternatives
and on the basis of and on the basis of mm criteria criteria
The main framework to understand The main framework to understand TDCTDC is that of Ritchie is that of Ritchie
& Crouch (2003) & Crouch (2003)
– based on five competitiveness components (based on five competitiveness components (criteriacriteria))
Attractors (Climate, History…) Attractors (Climate, History…)
Supporting factors (Accessibility, Hospitality…) Supporting factors (Accessibility, Hospitality…)
Destination management (Marketing, HRM…) Destination management (Marketing, HRM…)
Destination planning (Positioning, Branding…) Destination planning (Positioning, Branding…)
Amplifying determinants (Safety…) Amplifying determinants (Safety…)
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1.1. IntroductionIntroduction
2.2. MCDA methods and TDCMCDA methods and TDC
3.3. ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian islandsislands
4.4. Interests, limitations and perspectivesInterests, limitations and perspectives
=> => Destination selectionDestination selection can be seen as a MCDA problem can be seen as a MCDA problem
Let’s move to an
application
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1.1. IntroductionIntroduction
2.2. MCDA methods and TDCMCDA methods and TDC
3.3. ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian islandsislands
4.4. Interests, limitations and perspectivesInterests, limitations and perspectives
Although MCDA methods can be applied to different Although MCDA methods can be applied to different
areas, the litterature is quite areas, the litterature is quite narrownarrow when when
considering the tourism field considering the tourism field
– TOPSISTOPSIS was used by Zhang et al. (2011) to rank 16 was used by Zhang et al. (2011) to rank 16
cities in Chinacities in China
– TOPSIS, TOPSIS, PROMETHEEPROMETHEE and the and the WSMWSM was used by was used by
Ishizaka, Nemery and Lidouh (2013) to select the Ishizaka, Nemery and Lidouh (2013) to select the
location of a casino in Londonlocation of a casino in London
– ELECTRE IIELECTRE II was used by Andrades-Caldito et al. (2013) was used by Andrades-Caldito et al. (2013)
to rank provinces of Andalusia (Spain)to rank provinces of Andalusia (Spain)
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1.1. IntroductionIntroduction
2.2. MCDA methods and TDCMCDA methods and TDC
3.3. ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian islandsislands
4.4. Interests, limitations and perspectivesInterests, limitations and perspectives
Here, Here, ELECTRE IELECTRE I (Roy, 1991) is applied to (Roy, 1991) is applied to choosechoose the the
best destination from a given set of alternativesbest destination from a given set of alternatives
Widely used, the MCDA Widely used, the MCDA outrankingoutranking method ELECTRE I method ELECTRE I
should be applied when should be applied when all criteriaall criteria are coded in are coded in
numerical scalesnumerical scales with with identical ranges identical ranges (Figueira, (Figueira,
Mousseau, Roy, 2005)Mousseau, Roy, 2005)
– Data are derived from the 2011 Hawaiian VSA Data are derived from the 2011 Hawaiian VSA ReportReport
which presents results of a which presents results of a surveysurvey conducted by the HTA conducted by the HTA
– The HTA report attempts to portray visitor’s evaluation The HTA report attempts to portray visitor’s evaluation
of their of their experienceexperience by covering by covering various aspectsvarious aspects of their of their
trip for the island that they stayed the longesttrip for the island that they stayed the longest
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1.1. IntroductionIntroduction
2.2. MCDA methods and TDCMCDA methods and TDC
3.3. ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian islandsislands
4.4. Interests, limitations and perspectivesInterests, limitations and perspectives
Visitors were asked to Visitors were asked to rate few attributes of islandsrate few attributes of islands : :
accomodations, restaurant, shopping, golf, attractions, accomodations, restaurant, shopping, golf, attractions,
transportation, airports, parks & beaches transportation, airports, parks & beaches
– We use the We use the proportion of very satisfiedproportion of very satisfied visitors as visitors as
measurement of performancemeasurement of performance
– Our application focuses Our application focuses
only on visitors from only on visitors from
EuropeEurope in 2011 in 2011
– 6 major islands but due 6 major islands but due
to data availability, we to data availability, we
focus on focus on 4 islands4 islands (A = (A =
aaii ; i = 1,…,4) ; i = 1,…,4)
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1.1. IntroductionIntroduction
2.2. MCDA methods and TDCMCDA methods and TDC
3.3. ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian islandsislands
4.4. Interests, limitations and perspectivesInterests, limitations and perspectives
44 criteria, their weights (w criteria, their weights (w jj, from , from Crouch, 2011Crouch, 2011) and ) and attributes attributes : :
Considering FConsidering Fjj = {f = {ftjtj ; t=1,…,p}, the set of ; t=1,…,p}, the set of p p attributes of attributes of
criterion criterion jj, performances are obtained by : , performances are obtained by :
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1.1. IntroductionIntroduction
2.2. MCDA methods and TDCMCDA methods and TDC
3.3. ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian islandsislands
4.4. Interests, limitations and perspectivesInterests, limitations and perspectives
PerformancePerformance of alternatives on each criterion : of alternatives on each criterion :
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1.1. IntroductionIntroduction
2.2. MCDA methods and TDCMCDA methods and TDC
3.3. ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian islandsislands
4.4. Interests, limitations and perspectivesInterests, limitations and perspectives
Concordance and discordance matrixes were Concordance and discordance matrixes were
performed with performed with LINAM softwareLINAM software (Logiciel Interactif (Logiciel Interactif
d’Analyse Multicritère by P. Wieser from Lausanne) d’Analyse Multicritère by P. Wieser from Lausanne)
Second step of ELECTRE I is the derivation of a Second step of ELECTRE I is the derivation of a
recommendation based on the outranking relations i.e. recommendation based on the outranking relations i.e.
identify identify a small as possible subset of actionsa small as possible subset of actions, from , from
which the best compromise action(s) could be which the best compromise action(s) could be selectedselected
Construction of a graph considering the concordance Construction of a graph considering the concordance
level level C*C* and the discordance level and the discordance level D*D*
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1.1. IntroductionIntroduction
2.2. MCDA methods and TDCMCDA methods and TDC
3.3. ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian islandsislands
4.4. Interests, limitations and perspectivesInterests, limitations and perspectives
Let’s move to the last section
For C* = 0.56 and D*= For C* = 0.56 and D*=
0.42 0.42
For C* = 0.56 and D*= For C* = 0.56 and D*=
0.26 0.26
=>=> O’ahu must be choosen by tourists
This island is the most competitive
By considering that the satisfaction achieved by tourists can be used to indirectly evaluate the competitive ability of TD to outperform others
destinations
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1.1. IntroductionIntroduction
2.2. MCDA methods and TDCMCDA methods and TDC
3.3. ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian islandsislands
4.4. Interests, limitations and perspectivesInterests, limitations and perspectives
Interests : Interests :
– We show how MCDA outranking approach ELECTRE I can We show how MCDA outranking approach ELECTRE I can
be used to analyse TDC be used to analyse TDC =>=>FirstFirst application of ELECTRE application of ELECTRE
I to this field I to this field
– QuantitativeQuantitative operationalization of the C&R model operationalization of the C&R model
Limitations : Limitations :
– Performances are obtained via an Performances are obtained via an arithmeticarithmetic mean mean
– Data can be considered as Data can be considered as reductivereductive as we focus on as we focus on
European visitorsEuropean visitors
– What about What about indifferenceindifference ? What about preference ( ? What about preference (strongstrong
and and weakweak) ? ) ?
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1.1. IntroductionIntroduction
2.2. MCDA methods and TDCMCDA methods and TDC
3.3. ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian islandsislands
4.4. Interests, limitations and perspectivesInterests, limitations and perspectives
Perspectives : Perspectives :
– RankRank all the destination belonging to a given set of all the destination belonging to a given set of
alternatives from the best to the worst (ski resorts, alternatives from the best to the worst (ski resorts,
seaside resorts, cities…) with ELECTRE II or ELECTRE III seaside resorts, cities…) with ELECTRE II or ELECTRE III
– CompareCompare ELECTRE ELECTRE rankingsrankings with other rankings – for with other rankings – for
example efficiency ranking (obtained with DEA method example efficiency ranking (obtained with DEA method
or others) or others)
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1.1. IntroductionIntroduction
2.2. MCDA methods and TDCMCDA methods and TDC
3.3. ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian ELECTRE I and TDC : the case of Hawaiian islandsislands
4.4. Interests, limitations and perspectivesInterests, limitations and perspectives
Thank you for attention!Thank you for attention!
[email protected]@univ-perp.fr
[email protected]@univ-perp.fr