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VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
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Know First • Be First • Profit First
Craig RispinBusiness Futurist & Innovation Expert
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Karl Fisch - TheFischBowl.blogspot.com
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Discuss with a Partner:
What Did You Find Most Surprising in the Video
“Did You Know”?
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Cloud Computing a Passing Fad?
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Discuss with Partner:
What is Cloud Computing?
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“Cloud Computing isn’t
really about technology - it’s
really about thinking of IT in a whole new way.”
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You’re Already Livin’ in the Cloud
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You’re Already Livin’ in the Cloud
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You’re Already Livin’ in the Cloud
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You’re Already Livin’ in the Cloud
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Cisco: 50% of all Computing in Cloud by 2014
© 2012 IBM Corporation17
13%
41%21%
28%38%
21%
Today 3 yrs
Nearly half (48%) of CIOs surveyed evaluate cloud options first, over traditional IT approaches, before making any new IT investments
Cloud is recognized as an increasingly important technology; adoption is expected to accelerate rapidly in the coming years
Source: (1) 2011 joint IBV/EIU Cloud-enabled Business Model Survey of 572 business & IT leaders; Q4. Which of the following most accurately describes your organisation’s level of cloud technology adoption today and which do you expect will best describe it in three years? Sizing the cloud , Forrester Research, April 21, 2011; http://www.cio.com/article/684338/Survey_CIOs_Are_Putting_the_Cloud_First
Piloting
Adopting
SubstantiallyImplemented
+215%
+33%
72%
91%
What is Your Organization’s Level of Cloud Adoption?
% of Respondents
The Global Cloud Computing Market is Forecast to Grow 22% per year through 2020
$0B
$50B
$100B
$150B
$200B
$250B
2011 2015 2020
$241B
$41B
$150B
Source: Sizing the cloud, Forrester Research, Inc., April 21, 2011
© 2012 IBM Corporation17
13%
41%21%
28%38%
21%
Today 3 yrs
Nearly half (48%) of CIOs surveyed evaluate cloud options first, over traditional IT approaches, before making any new IT investments
Cloud is recognized as an increasingly important technology; adoption is expected to accelerate rapidly in the coming years
Source: (1) 2011 joint IBV/EIU Cloud-enabled Business Model Survey of 572 business & IT leaders; Q4. Which of the following most accurately describes your organisation’s level of cloud technology adoption today and which do you expect will best describe it in three years? Sizing the cloud , Forrester Research, April 21, 2011; http://www.cio.com/article/684338/Survey_CIOs_Are_Putting_the_Cloud_First
Piloting
Adopting
SubstantiallyImplemented
+215%
+33%
72%
91%
What is Your Organization’s Level of Cloud Adoption?
% of Respondents
The Global Cloud Computing Market is Forecast to Grow 22% per year through 2020
$0B
$50B
$100B
$150B
$200B
$250B
2011 2015 2020
$241B
$41B
$150B
Source: Sizing the cloud, Forrester Research, Inc., April 21, 2011
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Onlive.com/desktop
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The Flipped Classroom
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What is the biggest driver of innovation and change in education worldwide?
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You!
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Who are the thought leaders in education driving change and
innovation?
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Beautiful, Elegant and Simple Technology
That Helps You Keep Up
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iPad
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Twitter Lists
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Flipboard.com
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Flipboard.com
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Evernote
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Use Any Device
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David Allen’s Getting Things Done
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HD Webcam
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Online Mastermind Group
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Google+ Hangouts
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Download Craig’s eBook:
QR Scan or ! is.gd/think
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People
Business Technology
Life
SciencesWork/LifeShift
Glo
ba
lised
Ac
ce
lera
tion
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People
Business Technology
Life
SciencesWork/LifeShift
Glo
ba
lised
Ac
ce
lera
tion
Age Gap
Education Re-Engineering
Global Mobility
End of Retirement
Un-Bell Curve
OutrageousOutsourcing
MarketingMegatrend
Virtual Business
InnovationImperative
Speed & Size
Cloud Computing
CoITRobots Rise
Coworking
UnbreakableTech
Mobile Madness
Free Agency
Up
People
Business Technology
Life
SciencesWork/LifeShift
Glo
ba
lised
Ac
ce
lera
tion
Age Gap
Education Re-Engineering
Global Mobility
Free Agency
End of Retirement
Un-Bell Curve
OutrageousOutsourcing
MarketingMegatrend
Virtual Business
InnovationImperative
Speed & Size
Cloud Computing
CoITRobots Rise
Coworking
UnbreakableTech
Mobile Madness
http://www.flickr.com/photos/43533334@N07/5153726732
Your mobile phone has
all of NASA in 1969. more computing power than
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How Big is Mobile Today?
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How Big is Mobile Today?
7B People in the World
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How Big is Mobile Today?
7B People in the World
6B Mobile Subscribers
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How Big is Mobile Today?
7B People in the World
6B Mobile Subscribers
1B 3G/LTE Subscribers
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Despite Tremendous Ramp So Far, Smartphone User Adoption Has Huge Upside
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Smartphone Mobile Phone
Glo
bal S
ubsc
ript
ions
(MM
)
Global Smartphone vs. Mobile Phone Subscriptions, Q4:11
Source: Mobile phone subscriptions per Informa (as of Q4:11), Smartphone subscriptions estimate based on Morgan Stanley Research’s estimated smartphone user as % of total mobile user at the end of 2011 (16%).
Note: While there are 1B global 3G subscribers as of Q4:11, not all of them were smartphone users. One user may have multiple mobile subscriptions, therefore actual user #s may be lower than subscriber #s.
953MM Smartphone
Subscriptions
6.1B Mobile Phone Subscriptions
11
20
40
60
80
100
120
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
Su
bsc
rib
ers
(MM
)
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
8
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape UsersFirst 20 Quarters Since Launch
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~65MM+ netbooks have shipped in first 11 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.
Data as of CQ3:10.
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch + iPad
Launched 6/07
~120MM+
~32MM
~9MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~27MM
Apple iPhone + iTouch + iPad Ramp – The Likes of Which We Haven’t Seen Before
Up
20
40
60
80
100
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
Sub
scri
bers
(MM
)
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
7
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape UsersFirst 20 Quarters Since Launch
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch
Launched 6/07
~85MM
~31MM
~8MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~18MM
Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did – Apple Leading Charge
380M
Up
20
40
60
80
100
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
Sub
scri
bers
(MM
)
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
7
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape UsersFirst 20 Quarters Since Launch
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch
Launched 6/07
~85MM
~31MM
~8MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~18MM
Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did – Apple Leading Charge
468M
Up
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Glo
bal U
nit S
hipm
ents
(000
)
Quarters After Launch
iPad iPhone iPod
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Glo
bal U
nit S
hipm
ents
(000
)
Quarters After Launch
iPad iPhone iPod
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Glo
bal U
nit S
hipm
ents
(000
)
Quarters After Launch
iPad iPhone iPod
First 8 Quarters Cumulative Unit Shipments, iPod vs. iPhone vs. iPad
Source: Apple, as of CQ1:12 (8 quarters post iPad launch).
iPods Changed Media Industry iPhones Ramped Even Faster iPad Growth (3x iPhone) Leaves “Siblings” in Dust
9
Money
Access
Body
Engines
Metering
Control
Security
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People
Business Technology
Life
SciencesWork/LifeShift
Glo
ba
lised
Ac
ce
lera
tion
Age Gap
Education Re-Engineering
Global Mobility
Free Agency
End of Retirement
Un-Bell Curve
OutrageousOutsourcing
MarketingMegatrend
Virtual Business
InnovationImperative
Speed & Size
Cloud Computing
CoITRobots Rise
Coworking
UnbreakableTech
Mobile Madness
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South Korean Kids Get Robot Teachers
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By Brett Davis | October 11th, 2010 20 18 Comments
Google robot car does 225,000km by itself
Mulit-billion-dollar international technology company, Google, has been secretly working away ondeveloping robotic cars capable of driving themselves.
Up until now it’s all been a bit of a secret, but Google has begun releasing information to the publicabout what the company has been up to in the last year or so and where it’s currently at.
In a recent blog on its blog site, Google has revealed it has not only begun to forge the way inrobotic car development, it’s already driven a small fleet of automated Toyota Prius’ around parts of
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Healthcare Robots
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Robotic Surgery Has Doubled in 5 Yrs
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5 Drivers of Change:
1. Social Networks
2. Home/Work Blur
3. Mobile Device Boom
4. Tech Savvy Employees
5. C-Suite & Employee’s Expectations of IT
Source: Paul D'Arcy1 March 2011 CIO.com
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People
Business Technology
Life
SciencesWork/LifeShift
Glo
ba
lised
Ac
ce
lera
tion
Up
People
Business Technology
Life
SciencesWork/LifeShift
Glo
ba
lised
Ac
ce
lera
tion
Age Gap
Education Re-Engineering
Global Mobility
End of Retirement
Un-Bell Curve
OutrageousOutsourcing
MarketingMegatrend
Virtual Business
InnovationImperative
Speed & Size
Cloud Computing
CoITRobots Rise
Coworking
UnbreakableTech
Mobile Madness
Free Agency
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Juan Enriquez
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Juan Enriquez
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3D Printed Organs
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The Case for Foresight:
things might be moving faster than you think...
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Craig Venter Invents the Future...Again
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Craig Venter Invents the Future...Again
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Data Storage of the Future: Bacteria?
One gram of the bacteria could store 90 Gigabytes of Data
Chinese researchers have developed a way to use E.coli to store data
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Will we be able to regrow body parts, organs in the near future? Scientists are making major breakthroughs right now.
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Will we be able to regrow body parts, organs in the near future? Scientists are making major breakthroughs right now.
�����#�������!�������� ��� ��!������� �������� ������ ��������� ���"��#����������������������� ���� ���!�����!���� ���� ��!����� ��� ����"���"�������������� ����
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Know First • Be First • Profit First
Craig RispinBusiness Futurist & Innovation Expert
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