34
1, YP Chawla 2, Dr RSP Singh 1,Advisor Joint Electricity Regulatory Commission & National Joint Secy. IIPE, & Research Scholar [email protected]; +91 98107 08707 2,Associate Prof. School of Vocational Education & Training – IGNOU and Research Guide [email protected]; +91 11 29571645; +91 98181 56941 1

Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

1, YP Chawla 2, Dr RSP Singh 1,Advisor Joint Electricity Regulatory Commission & National Joint Secy. IIPE, & Research Scholar [email protected]; +91 98107 08707 2,Associate Prof. School of Vocational Education & Training – IGNOU and Research Guide [email protected]; +91 11 29571645; +91 98181 56941

1

Page 2: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

30.91

-2.27

17.35

14.99

6.92

-7.48

3.77

-3.34

5.65

-1.41 8.29

-1.68

7.17

-5.08

5.61

-6.64

5.56

-4.16

5.82

0.4

5.73

-10.72

5.08

-5.77

6.935

-16.66

3.44

0.4

2.12

-3.27

xx.Xx Yr 2006-07 & 2011-12

-x.xx (-) is Shaded Lower Box : Yr 2012-13

-2.98

2.11

12.3

-4.69

4.67

-5.22

Wo

rkfo

rce

R

edu

ctio

n

2

Page 3: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

Sectoral Changes in Work force

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

Annual Rate of Employement in Labour Intensive Industries

Annual Change for 2008-09 and 2011-12 Change in 2012-13

3

Page 4: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

Ch

ina

Thai

lan

d

S. K

ore

a In

do

ne

sia

Mal

aysi

a

Sin

gap

ore

Ph

ilip

pin

es

Bra

zil

Mex

ico

Ind

ia

S. A

fric

a

CY

19

91

32.5 28.2 27.4 21.4 25.6 26.1 25.3 25.3 20.6 15.2 22.9

CY

20

10

32.5 35.6 30.3 24.8 24.6 21.6 21.4 16.2 17.3 14.9 14.7

India Ranks 52nd Globally in terms of Manufacturing Value Added ( MVA) as a % of GDP. “High-Tech” products, value-added manufacturing needs to be an integral part “ Make in India”. The Dollar Business ( Jan 2015 Edition) identifies five industries that bear the potential to uplift India’s manufacturing sector, with right catalysts put in place by the policymakers

4

Page 5: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

Video Clip -Make in India

5

Page 6: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

Low Technology Skills High

Technology Skills

Skills with Least Human Intervention

Indian labor market becoming increasingly polarized, with rapid growth in wages, high-skill professional jobs Highly Educated taking low-wage, low skill jobs .

This raises concern about : Availability of Low Skill jobs with Low Skill wages. 6

Page 7: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

7

Page 8: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

Dairy Farmers, Enterprenuers,

19350

Jewellery Retails Sales Associate,

22455 Customer Care Executive ( Call

centers), 34493

Instore Promoter,

46931 Sales Associate,

51018

Business Correspondent

s / Business Facilitators

(BC/BF), 68088

Domestic Data Entry

Operators, 79850

Unarmed Security

Gaurds, 88426

Trainee Associates,

126217

Skilled,Trained & Certified as on 31.12.2014

8

Page 9: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

Almost 93 % of India’s 475 Mn. Labour Market Work force work in un-organized sector & contribute to about 50% of India’s GDP. Census planned. 9

Page 10: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

This is due to Advanced Technologies and Automation 10

Page 11: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

11

Page 12: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

Land scape earlier developed • Organized Retail : 17.3 mn. Real Estate : 17 mn. • Health Care : 12.7 mn. Food Processing : 9.3 mn. • Education & Skill Development Services : 5.8 mn

Impact of “ Make in India” Campaign on previous Skill Land Scape

12

Page 13: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

Conclusions

• Quality Vs. Quantity of Skilled Manpower is to be chosen correctly. Some of the Industry (high technology)do not find any value addition in Skilling.

• As envisaged today, the Skill Scape for 2025 will be around the key industries in India poised to drive growth during this period that include:

• Infrastructure and construction: India targeted to be world’s third-largest construction market by 2025.

• Automobile manufacturing: Rising cost of automobile ownership , high fuel prices and interest rates, A younger demographic, low labor costs, and a plentiful supply of engineers are capable of turning India into a global hub for auto manufacturing as Global customers becoming more cost-conscious.

• Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI) :boost because of expansion and funding requirements for these sectors covering Rural India, along with the urban lower-middle class.

• Textile & Clothing meeting the growing need for huge population and exports based on low cost labour

• Transport & Logistics: expanding to meet Infrastructural & Industrial needs. 13

Page 14: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

• Wholesale and retail: Rising incomes, growing middle class, young brand conscious consumers, technological advancements, and the proliferation of nuclear families will strengthen this sector, playing a prominent role in future growth. Organized retail (licensed retailers such as corporate-backed supermarkets and retail chains), has redefined the retail experience in India. The segregated market, including wholesale, multiband, single brand, and online retail, along with neighborhood “mom-and-pop” stores, will put pressure on retailers to innovate to compete.

• Real Estate: meeting growing needs of the housing for big population base.

• Health Care & Pharmaceuticals: Low investment and poor health Indian infrastructure has limited the growth of this sector. Indian pharmaceutical industry is projected to surpass other leading emerging economies in the 21st century as a global center for end-to-end drug discovery and innovation. Changing profile of health problems, rise in early detection of acute diseases, and increasing availability of treatment facilities, have boosted the demand for drugs, as well as the need for health care diagnostic facilities in the metropolitan areas due to a rising middle class. Large rural market still remains to be un tapped. Growth Pharmaceuticals

Conclusions… Contd.

14

Page 15: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

•Agriculture and Food Processing: Agriculture produce Aggregation and processing for feeding millions.

•Information and communication technology (ICT): World’s second-largest mobile subscriber base (900 million) India, and the third-highest Internet subscriber base. IT spending by businesses and consumers to increase. Aiding wider ICT sector, with greater penetration of computing technology, smartphones, and the Internet in both urban and rural areas.

•Solar Energy – More Important Now after visit of POTUS •Education and Skilling: The Skilling itself has become a big job market.

Stable government crucial in improving investment sentiments attracting global various manufacturers to establish factories and R&D centers in India. These factors with key drivers of growth in manufacturing “Make in India”.

Conclusions.. Contd.

15

Page 16: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

Recommendations

• National Institute of Transforming India (NITI) Aayog is requested to have a holistic relook into Investment, Job creation and related Skill needs. Action: PMO

• India needs Vishwamitras (Trainers) for Transforming our Work force through Transition like Rama & Lakshman were trained. These Vishwamitras can being in excellence in TVET Skilling. Action: Industry & Skilling Institutions.

• Scale and Speed (with in a time frame) are a must for Skilling India- a must for India’s growth; otherwise we will miss the bus to reach the growth levels we are aspiring for and ACT - Action Collaboration & Transformation to make an IMPACT on Economics & the Polity . Action: Industry & Skilling Institutions.

• Skill Standards are to be developed faster, made known to the stakeholders and everyone to work for meeting the requirements. Till Sector Skill Councils finalize Skill Standards, Industry can come up these standards of their own and can make a contribution in developing these voluntarily Action: Industry & Skilling Institutions.

16

Page 17: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

0

1

2

3

4

5

SK

ill L

evel

Skill Gaps in Automation - Entrants vs. Industry Requirements Entrant

Indl. Reqmt

17

Page 18: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

Site Assesment Work

Average

Sample Score

Skill

Sta

nd

ard

s fo

r So

lar

Ren

ewab

le E

ner

gy

Skill Gaps Solar Power Got Thrust

18

Page 19: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

These insights provide a glimpse of the corporate world ( Industry Profile) to the skill supply side, can be used as guidelines for matchmaking the talent supply and demand sides.

19

Page 20: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

Indian Hiring Report 2015 CII, Wheebox

WHEEBOX EMPLOYABILITY SKILL TEST (WEST) assessed the test takers on five areas. Test taken by about 3,00,000 students across states and domain areas.

20

Page 21: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

Skilled under NDSC Programs ( numbers as on 30.9.2014)

Agriculture/Rural Farm 1,46,965

2 Automobile / auto components 2,03,450

3 Aviation 1,422

4 Banking/Insurance and finance 2,28,423

5 Building & Construction 1,05,524

6 Capital Goods 4,733

7 Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals 3,515

8 Education/ skill development 97,480

9 Electrical Hardware 4,013

10 Electronics & IT Hardware 61,936

11 Engineering 11,321

12 Entrepreneurial Skills 6,210

13 FMCG 407

14 Food Processing/Cold Chain/ Refrigeration 2,808

15 Gems & Jewelry 54,221 21

Page 22: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

15 General 804 16 Government 919 17 Handloom and Handicrafts 3,947 18 Health Care 1,01,249 19 Infra 1,512 20 IT or software 1,82,199 21 ITES-BPO 1,04,462 22 IT-ITES 4,44,611 23 Leather and leather goods 20,151 24 Manufacturing 11,552

25 Media, entertainment, broadcasting, content creation, animation 13,641

26 Organized Retail 4,46,071 27 Others 83,583 28 Plumbing 10,259 29 Rural non farm 8,668 30 Security 1,35,830 22

Page 23: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

31 Select Informal Sectors (domestic help, beauticians, facility management) 27,926

32 Service Sector 75,292 33 Soft-skills and English Communication 14,504 34 Telecom 5,73,880 35 Textiles and Garments 29,922 36 Tourism, hospitality and travel 42,091 37 Rubber 4,325 38 Mining 0 39 Transport and logistics 7,439

Total 32,77,265

A Long Leap Required To Catch Up 23

Page 24: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

• Enhancing Industrial growth base with zero defect and zero effect (environment) is behind the philosophy of “Make in India”, through Skilled workforce. Action: Industry.

• Our Skilled / TVET work force is to be highly efficient to meet global Skill standards aligned to Post 2015 requirements set by UN and today skilled workforce acts as a currency for the country. Action: Industry & Skilling Institutions.

• Achieve excellence in manufacturing, Multiskilling is answer to dynamic change in Technologies. Action: Industry and Skilling Institutions

• Indian Political empowerment achieve a rank of 15 / 142 at World’s Economic forum 2014 but ranks poorly in Education attainment 126/142, Economic Participation & Opportunity Index 134/142. The Govt. has now in turn is required to empower its people with Skills and Employment, Employment opportunities by facilitating FDI by investor friendly policies, rules, laws, procedures in terms of Labour laws, Land acquisition and approvals to help uplift India’s global rank of “ease of doing business” to help India get technologies, Finances for people’s empowerment. Action: Govt. of India.

Recommendations.. Contd.

24

Page 25: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

• Talent development to support achieving “Make in India”, the Skilling Institutions have not to work for plucking the low hanging fruits but what the Industry needs. Action: Skilling Institution

• India to quickly bring in Vocational training programs matching the aspirations of youth, to make them adaptive of the economy, collaborative and be credible (and portable) certifications. Portability to be between certificates, diplomas, degrees and also geographical across Globe. Action: Government

• MSMEs to be empowered to play an important role to create a brand image of India in labour intensive for higher employment generation. Action: Government

Recommendations.. Contd.

New Industry, Industry Expansion, Entrepreneur Organizations / MSME, New Jobs, Skilling Infrastructure ITIs , ITCs and Matching Skill scape for getting the manpower with

above Skills requiring an Holistic Approach. 25

Page 26: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

26

Page 27: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

27

Page 28: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

• Support Slides

28

Page 29: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

• For India, where the literacy rate has a huge variation from one end of the country to another; and more than 90% of the workforce is part of un-organized sector, this is the most daunting task ever, and the sub optimal quality of the workforce is something that increases the challenge associated with it by multiple levels.

29

Page 31: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

THE INDIA SKILLS REPORT 2014 CII , People Strong & Wheebox 31

Page 32: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

Electronics Auto Components Auto

Auto Components

Auto

Electricals

Auto

Electricals

Pharmaceuticals

Pharmaceuticals

32

Page 33: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

Crude is now being Replaced by Shale Oil –Man is dynamic in finding Solutions

Crude Global Price In USD

Year

33

Page 34: Tvet landscape 2025 YP Chawla & Dr RSP Singh

India loading the Coal buckets manually

Automated Australian Coal Mining from 575 Ms. Mining Pits that has become a Joy ride /museum now

34