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The 4th Industrial Revolution and the Future of Work
Sylena Jobb 1897-1998
The Great DepressionWWI WWII Korea VietnamFlush toiletsElectricityTelevision, radio, vacuum cleaners, dishwashersAffordable air travel Mobile phonesLanding on the moon
2048
How old will you be?
In what year will you be 100?
Wishful thinking?
TODAY
Have your own genome sequenced for USD 1000.00
Pharmacogenomics (personalized medicine)Select the right drugs or therapies to ensure efficacy and reduce side effects.
Identifying predilection for specific diseasesCancer, cardiovascular disease, diabetes
Carrier screening for recessive disordersTheAshkenazi Jewishcommunity, through screening programs, genetic counseling and assisted reproduction programs have reducedthe incidence of Tay Sachs by 90%
TOMORROW
+ Personalized health care + High quality life extension+ Genetic enhancement : Stronger, Faster, Smarter
algorithmically-determined genetic risk profiling & discriminationBiohacking and backstreet gene-fixingGenomics
Neural network image recognition:Scientifically viable today; mainstream in 2021; financially viable in 2022.Emotion tracking: Scientifically viable today; mainstream in 2018; financially viable in 2019.Predictive group sentiment analysis:Scientifically viable in 2022; mainstream in 2023; financially viable in 2027.Predictive crime prevention:Scientifically viable in 2021; mainstream in 2026; financially viable in 2027.Extended CognitionNeural biofeedback:Scientifically viable today; mainstream in 2015; financially viable in 2017.Capacitive micromachined ultrasonic transducers:Scientifically viable in 2016; mainstream in 2019; financially viable in 2020.Next-generation neuropharmacology:Scientifically viable in 2018; mainstream in 2021; financially viable in 2023.Neuroprosthetics:Scientifically viable in 2021; mainstream in 2026; financially viable in 2027.Neural InterfacesEEG brain-to-computer interfaces:Scientifically viable and mainstream today; financially viable in 2021.High-resolution fMRI:Scientifically viable today; mainstream in 2023; financially viable in 2024.Transcranial magnetic stimulation:Scientifically viable today; mainstream in 2019; financially viable in 2022 .Next-generation brain-to-computer interfaces:Scientifically viable in 2020; mainstream in 2022; financially viable in 2027.Brain-to-brain interfaces:Scientifically viable in 2025; mainstream in 2026; financially viable in 2027.Bio Neuro Cognitive Technology
Implantable Technologies Our Digital Presence Vision as the New Interface Wearable Internet Ubiquitous ComputingA Supercomputer in Your Pocket Storage for All The Internet of and for Things The Connected Home Smart Cities Big Data for Decisions Driverless Cars Artificial Intelligence and Decision-Making AI and White-Collar Jobs Robotics and Services Bitcoin and the Blockchain The Sharing Economy Governments and the Blockchain 3D Printing and Manufacturing 3D Printing and Human Health 3D Printing and Consumer Products Designer Beings Neurotechnologies
All this and more is part of the 4th Industrial RevolutionWhat is the 4th Industrial Revolution?https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SCGV1tNBoeU
http://www.businessinsider.com/emerging-technologies-that-will-change-the-world-2014-4
The problem with the changing world of work is not so much the loss of opportunities as the period of transition.
Polarization of the labor force as low-skill jobs continue to be automated as this trend increasingly spreads to middle-skill jobs. This implies higher potential levels of inequality in the short-run, and a need for labor market flexibility to harness Fourth Industrial Revolution benefits in the long-run.
5 Things AI Can Do Better Than Humans
Search the web quickerRankBrain understands the meaning of words and phrases, can guess what should be to the top ranking pages in never-seen-before searches. Humans could guess 70% of the time, while RankBrains success rate was 80%.
Work in deadly environmentsa UC Berkley teamused deep learning to teach robots fine motor skills, such as screw caps on bottles, or use the back of a hammer to remove a nail from wood. The technique simulates eye-hand coordination in humans and the research results show that robots can now match human dexterity and speed.
Translate in many languages
Get a PhD quicklyBy combining genetic algorithms with genetic pathway simulation the researchers created a system that was able to make the first scientific theory to be discovered by an AI: of how flatworms (or the species planaria to the initiated) regenerate body parts. The AI-generated theory will have a significant impact in human regenerative medicine.
Deliver a correct medical diagnosisThe result?IBM Watsons accuracy ratefor lung cancer is 90%, compared to a mere 50% of human physicians.
Kitty couldnt fall asleep for a long time. Her nerves were strained as two tight strings, and even a glass of hot wine, that Vronsky made her drink, did not help her. Lying in bed she kept going over and over that monstrous scene at the meadow.
Not in the future but NOW
Not just new technologies
New business models
Uber AirbnbAmazonKickstarter Self-publishing Blockchain Open access education: Coursera, edx, Kahn Academy, Udemy
Entrepreneurial skills: Turning opportunities into income
Managing a non-linear of portfolio career Being a wide achiever not a high achiever
Since 2000: 2 salaried jobs (18 mo, 9 mo)Since 1973: 8 salaried jobs (1-2 yr, 5 yr)
1. What are we doing here, now, to foster these skills? Incorporating digital technologies in our teaching practice?Experimenting with new modes of teaching, e.g. jigsaw classroom, flipped classroom, participatory learning, peer-to-peer learning?
The business model of future learningSelf-LearningHorizontal StructuresFrom Presumed Authority to Collective CredibilityA De-Centered PedagogyNetworked LearningOpen Source EducationLearning as Connectivity and InteractivityLifelong LearningLearning Institutions as Mobilizing NetworksFlexible Scalability and SimulationRequire skills to learn in new ways, skills to manage learning.
Two questions to think about:
2. What are you doing to prepare yourself for the next chapter in your career, your life?
3. Whats your 100 Year Plan?
Final thought
What is the difference between a ordinary football player and an exceptional football player?An ordinary player runs to where the ball isAn exceptional player runs to where the ball will be.