Upload
joseph-james
View
174
Download
1
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
SchoolOfTrade.com Nightly-Newsletter 05/06/14 ============================================== “You cannot change your destination overnight, but with the right plan of action, you can change your direction right NOW.”
Today’s Newsletter:
Markets Today: Gold asleep, Crude Oil goes sideways, Mini-Russell drops
News Today: Strong news from Europe Manufacturing, US Trade Balance
News for Tomorrow: Janet Yellen & Crude Oil Inventories
Trading Opportunities: Selling opportunities on Gold, Crude Oil and Mini-
Russell
=========================================================
The Markets Today:
Crude Oil:
Crude Oil opened this morning directly where we closed on Monday evening,
right in the middle of the range from Monday. This was a big clue for us that this
market-personality would most likely trade ‘sideways’ today and that is exactly
what happened.
We traded higher towards the end of the morning, only to run into resistance at
the $100/barrel big-round-number and tumbled right back to where we started
the session.
The big clue on this chart is the closing-print down at the lows of the
day and below $100/barrel.
Our plan for selling opportunities will continue into Wednesday with this closing-
print.
Trade Called Last Night:
Last night we called the trade short at 100.11-100.27 and that entry short
occurred just after lunchtime today. As of writing this, the trade is up over 50-
ticks of profit per contract and we are holding for tomorrow’s push back lower.
=========================================================
Gold:
Gold is trading in a very narrow range this evening after a pathetic session in the
US gave us only 99-ticks of trading opportunities.
This Gold market is clearly waiting on something, and we can assume the ECB’s
Meeting on Thursday is holding us back from getting better price-action.
Look for selling opportunities tomorrow below the 1304.4 with a profit-target
below at the 1300.4 prior week close.
=========================================================
Mini-Russell:
The Mini-Russell opened the session in the middle of the range from Monday,
chopped around in the middle for the morning and then collapsed in the
afternoon session.
We got 200-ticks of range today, which is very good, with most of the range
happening in the afternoon session and giving us easy selling opportunities on the
way lower.
Keep a close eye on the previous week’s low down at 1097.4. We will use that
level as a profit-target for the selling opportunities below the PLOD at 1103.6.
Trade Called Last Night:
Last night we called the trade LONG on the Mini-Russell at 1113.1 and that trade
earned over 70-ticks per contract, depending on your profit-target.
Remember, we call trades LIVE in our trade room, so come join us tomorrow!
=========================================================
News Today:
Overall, economic news was very strong in Europe and the US on
Tuesday, with continued news from Ukraine and a surprise from
Twitter.
Global News:
In Europe we got strong manufacturing from most countries in the EU, and in the
US we had another strong Trade Balance report, suggesting that the global
market is still very strong amid a slowdown in China.
UKRAINE:
The pressure continues to build in Ukraine as fighting gets worse and there are
more talks about civil war and military confrontation. Although this should be
affecting Crude Oil we have not seen much buying pressure as a result of these
developments today.
EQUITIES:
IN equity markets, Twitter tumbled to record-lows after the 3-month ban on
insider-selling expired. By the end of the session ‘TWTR’ had lost 18% of its value,
and sunk the other e-mini futures markets in the process.
This issue with Twitter re-opened the debate over the value of Social Media
Companies while inside-sellers got RICH in the process.
CRUDE OIL:
Later in the day (4:30pm EST) we heard from the API Crude Oil Inventory report,
which will correlate to the EIA Inventory Report tomorrow at 10:30am EST.
The API Inventory report shows the first build in inventories in the last 5 weeks of
reports, suggesting that supply and demand are slowly coming back into balance
after the harsh winter weather interrupted the demand of gasoline.
=========================================================
This Day in History:
May 6, 1937: Hindenburg Explodes in New Jersey
On this day in 1937, the German airship Hindenburg, the largest dirigible ever
built, explodes as it arrives in Lakehurst, New Jersey. Thirty-six people died in the
fiery accident that has since become iconic, in part because of the live radio
broadcast of the disaster.
May 6, 1954: First “Four-Minute Mile”
In Oxford, England, 25-year-old medical student Roger Bannister cracks track and
field's most notorious barrier: the four-minute mile. Bannister, who was running
for the Amateur Athletic Association against his alma mater, Oxford University,
won the mile race with a time of 3 minutes and 59.4 seconds.
Fun Fact: This new world record lasted only 46 days, and Roger almost
NEVER trained for the event!
May 6, 1994: The ‘Chunnel’ Opens
In a ceremony presided over by England's Queen Elizabeth II and French President
Francois Mitterand, a rail tunnel under the English Channel was officially opened,
connecting Britain and the European mainland for the first time since the Ice Age.
The channel tunnel, or "Chunnel," connects Folkstone, England, with Sangatte,
France, 31 miles away. The Chunnel cut travel time between England and France
to a swift 35 minutes and eventually between London and Paris to two-and-a-half
hours.
=========================================================
News Tomorrow:
We have a lot of important news to watch for tomorrow, but the
party gets started later this evening in China and then heads into the
US.
Remember, all eyes have been on China’s disappointing manufacturing news over
the last 2 months, and this evening we have more news from them to watch.
Also, tomorrow in the US we have Crude Oil Inventories, so beware trying to force
trades on Crude Oil before the news is released at 10:30am EST.
And finally, we have Janet Yellen on the microphone, testifying in front of the
Joint Economic Committee in Washington DC so we KNOW people will be
listening to each word and trying to find ways to trade from the reaction.
We have a day FILLED with news and most likely also filled with trading
opportunities tomorrow!
7:50pm EST: (JP) BOJ Meeting Minutes
9:30pm EST: (AU) Retail Sales
9:45pm EST: (CH) PMI Manufacturing (Very important!)
8:30am EST: (US) Productivity & Costs
10:00am EST: (US) Janet Yellen Testimony in Washington DC
10:30am EST: (US) Crude Oil Inventories
=========================================================
Day Trading Opportunities for Tomorrow:
Crude Oil:
Crude Oil traded sideways for the majority of the session today in the US. We had
a spike higher shortly after lunchtime, which gave us the entry short we talked
about in last night’s newsletter.
As of this evening we are consolidating as the sellers try to push this price-action
lower.
Our day trading plan on Crude Oil is to look for selling opportunities at
the highs of this bear price channel around 100.11, 100.27, 100.47 and
100.88 to capitalize on this long-term-trend that is moving lower.
We will use the support levels below us as profit-targets starting with the trend-
line at the lows of the range, 99.10, 98.74, the price channel lows, 97.70 and
96.99 for a runner profit-target.
Short-Term Trading & Scalping: Please join us tomorrow in our Live Trade Room
for short-term trades called with exact entry and exit information.
=========================================================
Gold:
Gold has pulled-back off the highs from Monday, right into our buy-zones but we
don’t have any market-personality right now so we are staying patient.
We are waiting for buying opportunities with the correct entry pattern, so all we
need is to see these buyers show up and we can jump into the next buying
opportunity on our entry chart.
Short-Term Trading & Scalping: Please join us tomorrow in our Live Trade Room
for short-term trades called with exact entry and exit information.
Mini-Russell :
Mini-Russell is pushing lower this evening on the anchor chart so we are looking
for selling opportunities as price-action pushes lower into Wednesday morning.
We have major support at 1105.7, and we are at the lows of this recent range,
which means selling here will be very dangerous, we would rather wait for price
to move higher off these lows so we can see this market at a premium price
rather than at a discounted price.
Our day trading plan for Mini-Russell is to sell short using a new
lower-low or wait patiently for price to move into the sell-zones listed
above us at 1112.9 and 1117.9.
We have profit-targets below us at the lows of the bear price channel along with
1101.8, 1097.4 and 1090.8
Short-Term Trading & Scalping: Please join us tomorrow in our Live Trade Room
for short-term trades called with exact entry and exit information.
========================================================
Want to trade with us in the Live Trade Room?
Join the Professional Trading Community at SchoolOfTrade.com!
Click here to register for the Free Trial!