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Presentation on Systematic Reviews
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Systematic ReviewsWhat are they, and how do you
conduct one?
Julia MuellerSchool of Nursing, Midwifery and Social Work
School of Computer Science
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Structure1) Definition 2) The Cochrane Collaboration3) Review protocol 4) Conducting the systematic review5) Conclusions
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Definition
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
What are systematic reviews?
Cook et al., 1997
Systematic Review
• A literature reviewing technique typically used in evidence-based medicine, but applicable to other fields of study
• Gathering, critically appraising and summarising all relevant studies that address a certain research question
Basis for decision making
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Why do we need systematic reviews?
• The problem:
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- Too many papers, too little time
- Conflicting information and recommendations from different papers
Summaries of all literature on a given topic are needed so that the evidence is easily and quickly accessible
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Why is it important to be systematic?
– Concise and rigorous literature search– Explicit search strategy– Explicit inclusion and exclusion criteria– Explicit methods for extracting and
summarising data from primary studies
– Overall: COMPREHENSIVE, EXPLICIT, REPRODUCIBLE, RATIONAL
Ensures reproducibility,
reduces bias
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Systematic vs. traditional reviews
Traditional Systematic
Research question
Broad Specific
Search strategy, data collection and interpretation
Informal, subjective, not explicit
Explicit, clear, with rationale
Critical appraisal of included studies
May or may not take place, not using specific tools
Systematic using standardised tools
Cipriani and Geddes, 2003
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Different forms of literature reviews
Literature reviews
Systematic reviews
Traditional reviewsMeta-
analyses
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
What is a meta-analysis?= “the use of statistical techniques to integrate and
summarise the results of included studies”
• Combining information from several studies larger sample size higher precision higher statistical power (= the probability that the statistical test will detect an effect that is really there)
Liberati et al., 2009
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
What is a meta-analysis?• Whether you can conduct a meta-analysis depends
on:– No. of available studies– Variability of methods and outcome measures
• If a meta-analysis is not possible, a narrative/qualitative systematic review can be conducted
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Who can conduct a systematic review? • The review team should have skills in
– Systematic review methods– Information retrieval– The relevant topic area– Statistics– Qualitative research methods
• It is good practice to have at least 2 researchers involved minimise bias and error
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
= an international network
• named after Archie Cochrane (1909-1988), a British epidemiologist, who advocated evidence-based medicine
• Aim: Provide resources to enable well-informed decisions about health care
• http://www.cochrane.org/
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Cochrane reviews
= Systematic reviews and meta-analyses published by the Cochrane Collaboration in the Cochrane Library
• Specific methods, structure and format: Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions
• “internationally recognised as the highest standard in evidence-based health care”
• Existing Cochrane Reviews are updated regularly as new information becomes available
Can result in changed conclusions
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Cochrane Reviews
over 5,000 Cochrane Reviews currently available in The Cochrane Library (November 2013)
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Cochrane reviews in Manchester• Cochrane groups with editorial base in Manchester
• Cochrane Oral Health Group, School of Dentistry, The University of Manchester
• The Cochrane Bone, Joint and Muscle Trauma Group (BJMTG)
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The Review Protocol
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Review Protocol• Describes the methods to be used in the review
– Background– Review question– Inclusion/Exclusion criteria– Search strategy– Study selection– Quality assessment– Data extraction– Data synthesis– Plans for dissemination
• Specifying the methods in advance reduces the risk of bias• If modifications are required, they should be documented
and justified
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Background
• Key contextual factors relevant to the review question• Explain why the review is required
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Background: CS-related exampleExample Kitchenham et al. (2007): “A Systematic Review
of Cross- vs. Within-Company Cost Estimation Studies.”
• Two different types of cost estimation models• Within-company models developed using one company’s
data• Cross-company models developed using datasets from
several companies
• Several studies have compared prediction accuracies with contradictory results
• Important for small companies who do not have their own project data
Systematic review to determine factors that influence the outcome of studies comparing within and cross-company models
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Inclusion criteria• Language: The ideal is to include all available relevant
evidence, but this often not feasible Language bias
• Publication type/status– Full papers in peer-reviewed journals
“Publication bias”: When studies with significantresults are more likely to get published
– Contact authors– Ongoing studies partially published as conference abstracts– Reports and discussion papers– Book chapters– Theses– …
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Inclusion criteria• Use the “PICOS” elements:
Population: Patients or Users (disease, age, gender, disability), software, type of technology, websites …
Interventions: Type, main features …, e.g. assistive technology for disabled users…
Comparison: No treatment, treatment as usual; between or within organisations …
Outcomes: e.g. survival, disease remission, interactions with the keyboard, commands executed, …
Study design: Randomised controlled trials, cohort studies, case-control studies…
Use this to define your question
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Review question• Clear, as specific as possible
• Example 1: Are psychological interventions effective in reducing chronic headache in children and adolescents?
• Example 2: Are cross-company models significantly worse than within-company estimation models for predicting effort for software/web projects?
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Building the search strategy1. Describe all relevant PICOS elements (you might not
want to include all!)2. Organise them into concepts3. Find all related words and synonyms4. Search all synonyms for one concept with “OR”5. Combine all concepts with “AND”
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Search: Health-related exampleExample: Are psychological interventions effective inreducing chronic headache in children and adolescents?
Population1. Concept: “Children and adolescents” Child* OR adolescen* OR juvenile OR paediatric2. Concept: “Headache”Headache OR migraine OR tension headacheInterventions3. Concept: “Psychological interventions”psycholog* OR psychotherapy OR biofeedbackOR relaxation OR cognitive OR behavio#ral1. AND 2. AND 3.
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Search: CS-related example• Kitchenham et al. (2007). A Systematic Review of Cross- vs. Within-
Company Cost Estimation Studies.
1. Population: software OR application OR product OR Web OR WWW OR Internet OR World-Wide Web OR project OR development
2. Intervention: cross company OR cross organisation OR cross organization OR multiple-organizational OR multiple-organisational model OR modeling OR modelling effort OR cost OR resource estimation OR prediction OR assessment
3. Comparison: within-organisation OR within-organization OR within-organizational OR within-organisational OR single company OR single organisation
4. Outcome: Accuracy OR Mean Magnitude Relative Error
• 1. AND 2. AND 3. AND 4.
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Conducting a systematic review
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Conducting a literature search
Search electronic databases, e.g. ACM Digital Library, CiteSeer, INSPEC, …
Visually scan reference lists from identified studies
Handsearch key journals and conference proceedings
Contact study authors, experts, manufacturers, other organisations …
…
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Conducting a literature search# records identified through
database screening# of records identified through other sources
# of records after duplicates removed
# of records screened (title, abstracts)
# of full-text articles assessed for eligibility
# of studies included in data synthesis
# of full-text articles excluded, with reasons
# of records excluded
iden
tifica
tion
scre
enin
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igib
ility
incl
uded
Liberati et al., 2009: The PRISMA statement for reporting systematic reviews
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Quality assessment• A review should be based on the best quality evidence
available• The quality of the included studies will impact on the
reliability of the results of the review
• Useful tools for quality assessment– CASP tools (Critical Appraisal Skills Programme), e.g.
CASP checklist for randomised controlled trials– JADAD scale– …
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Quality assessment: CSKitchenham et al. (2007)
• 6 questions to assess the quality of included studies, developed by the researchers themselves
• Examples:
– Is the analysis process description complete?– Is it clear how accuracy was measured?– Were all model construction methods fully defined
(tools and methods used)?
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Data extraction
• What information will be extracted from studies?• Data extraction sheet
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Data synthesis• If a meta-analysis is possible, data can be summed up
statistically using quantitative methods
• If not, data can be synthesised narratively
• Narrative data synthesis usually ocurrs in form of table(s) and textual description
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Narrative data synthesis: Health-related example
Author, date and location
Participant demographics, attrition
Intervention length, content and groups
Measures and follow-up
Reported results
Author’s conclucions
Segatto etal., 2010.Brazil
N= 17590.3% maleAge: 21.8 (2.6)16 – 25 yearsMostly Caucasian(71%)Patients in emergency roomAttrition: 14,9% ,no differencesbtw. completersand dropoutsfound
Motivational Interview (MI): person-centredtechniques, also included EB (45 min.)Educational brochure (EB): 3 page informativegeneral guidance on risks of alcohol (5 min.)
Alcohol ConsumptionQuestionnaire (ACQ), RutgersAlcohol Problems Index(RAPI), Alcohol ConsumptionRisk Questionnaire (ACRQ),Measured at baseline and 3months
Time effect for: days of alcoholuse, days with moderate use, dayswith heavy use, negativeconsequences, being in actionstageNo sig. differences in long-termchange in risk-perceptionNo group x time effects
MI alone not able to promote sig. and lastingchangesLimitations: brief interventions usually targetrisk populations at an early stage, too shortobservation time
… … … … … …
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Narrative data synthesis: CS-related example
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Interpreting results• Was there consensus across all studies?• Where did studies differ? What might be the reason?
Did these studies differ in participant populations, methods/measures used …?
• Did it make sense to pool the results? (heterogeneity/homogeneity)
• Discuss the quality of the included studies: Can the results of the review be valid?
• Discuss possible sources of bias: Publication bias, language bias…
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Conclusions
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
Conclusions
• Systematic Reviewing is designed to ensure a comprehensive, reproducible and critical review of all the available literature on a given topic
• Not all techniques shown here will be equally applicable to CS
• Other methods may be legitimate as long as they are stated explicitly and a rationale is provided
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Thanks for listening. Any questions?
Julia Mueller
[email protected]://jnmueller.wordpress.com/
School of Computer Science,LF1 Kilburn Building,
Oxford Road, MANCHESTER,M13 9PL, UK
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
References2009. Systematic Reviews: CRD's guidance for undertaking
reviews in health care. CRD, University of York.CIPRIANI, A. & GEDDES, J. 2003. Comparison of systematic
and narrative reviews: the example of the atypical antipsychotics. Epidemiol Psichiatr Soc, 12, 146-53.
COOK, D. J., MULROW, C. D. & HAYNES, R. B. 1997. Systematic reviews: synthesis of best evidence for clinical decisions. Ann Intern Med, 126, 376-80.
LIBERATI, A., ALTMAN, D. G., TETZLAFF, J., MULROW, C., GOTZSCHE, P. C., IOANNIDIS, J. P., CLARKE, M., DEVEREAUX, P. J., KLEIJNEN, J. & MOHER, D. 2009. The PRISMA statement for reporting systematic reviews and meta-analyses of studies that evaluate healthcare interventions: explanation and elaboration. BMJ, 339, b2700.
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
References• Here’s an example of a well-conducted systematic
review and meta-analysis:
COVENTRY, P. A. & HIND, D. 2007. Comprehensive pulmonary rehabilitation for anxiety and depression in adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: Systematic review and meta-analysis. J Psychosom Res, 63, 551-65.
Cochrane Handbook for systematic reviews for interventions: http://handbook.cochrane.org/
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Definition
The Cochrane Collaboration
The Review protocol
Conducting the systematic review
Interpreting results
Conclusions
References• This is a systematic review in the area of CS:Kitchenham, B., Mendes, E., Travassos, G.H. (2007) A
Systematic Review of Cross- vs. Within-Company Cost Estimation Studies, IEEE Trans on SE, 33 (5), pp 316-329.
• Guidelines for performing Systematic Literature Reviews in Software Engineering