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Michigan State University's 64th round of the State of the State Survey finds that state citizens are evenly split over the state's new status as a right to work state. The Michigan Legislature passed historic new laws as 2012 ended. The survey inquiried of about 1,000 people during the first quarter of 2013.
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State of the State Survey: yMichigan Residents Sharply
Divided Over Right-to-Work LawDivided Over Right to Work Law
Charles L BallardCharles L. BallardProfessor, Department of Economics
Di t St t f th St t SDirector, State of the State Survey
Institute for Public Policy and Social ResearchInstitute for Public Policy and Social [email protected]
517 353 2961517.353.2961
Background: Labor Unions Have Been Losing Strength For DecadesLosing Strength For Decades,
In Michigan and Across the United States.
Union Members as a Percent of the Labor Force,
45
501964‐2011
35
40
Michigan
20
25
30Michigan
Louisiana
10
15
20
United States
0
5
Year
In December 2012, the Michigan Legislature PassedMichigan Legislature Passed a Law to Make Michigan the 24th “Right-to-Work” State.
Many Expect This Will FurtherMany Expect This Will Further Reduce Union Membership.
State of the State SurveyRound 64Round 64
Winter 2013Winter 20131,013 Interviews Completed, p
January 14, 2013 – March 4, 2013
• 42.7% of Michigan Residents Said They Believe the Right-to-Work Law Will HelpBelieve the Right-to-Work Law Will Help the Economy.
• 41% Said It Will Hurt.
• That’s a Statistical Tie.That s a Statistical Tie.
h d ' f h h h h k llMichigan Residents' Views of Whether the Right‐to‐Work Law Will Help or Hurt the Economy
25
3025.5
22.5
20
25
17.2 16.318.5
22.5
nt
10
15
Percen
0
5
0Help A Lot Help A Little No Effect Hurt A Little Hurt A Lot
Union Members WereUnion Members Were Considerably Less Optimistic than Those Who Are Not a Union Member.Union Member.
Michigan Residents' Views of Whether the
80 73.7
gRight‐to‐Work Law Will Help or Hurt the Economy, By Union Membership
60
70
40
50
60
42.746.4
41.037.1
Percen
t
Help
30
40P Hurt
10
20 12.3
0Statewide Not Union Member Union Member
Attitudes by R d G dRace and Gender
Views of Michigan Residentsby Race and Sexby Race and Sex
State of Michigan Men Women Whites Blacks
Right‐to‐Work Law Will Help the Economy 42.7% 49.6% 36.1% 45.4% 24.9%
Attitudes by Political Party
Views of MichiganResidents
b P li i l Pby Political PartyState of Michigan Republican Independent Democrat
Right-to-Work Law Will Help the Economy 42.7% 74.2% 42.3% 24.8%
Attit d bAttitudes by h h h dWhether the Respondent
S t G S dSupports Governor Snyder
Views of Michigan Residentsby Support for Governor Snyderby Support for Governor Snyder
State of Michigan
Snyder“Excellent”
Snyder “Good”
Snyder“Fair”
Snyder “Poor”
Right‐to‐WorkLaw Will Help the Economy
42.7% 74.0% 64.2% 41.7% 18.2%
Attitudes byAttitudes by Political IdeologyPolitical Ideology
Views of Michigan Residentsby Ideologyby Ideology
State of Michigan
VeryLiberal Liberal Moderate Conservative Very
Conservative
Right‐to‐WorkLaw Will Help The Economy
42.7% 10.9% 20.9% 42.3% 57.8% 62.6%
Regional Attitudes Show a Large East‐West Divide
Vi f R id t fViews of Residents from Different Regions in Michigan
State of i hi
City of i
Wayne, Oakland, SEMCOG
iGrand Rapids
bMichigan Detroit Oakland, Macomb Regiona Areab
Right-to-Work Law Will Help Th E
42.7% 32.4% 37.5% 38.2% 52.6%The Economy
a Livingston, Macomb, Monroe, Oakland, St. Clair, Washtenaw, and Wayne Counties
b Allegan, Barry, Ionia, Kent, Montcalm, Muskegon, Newaygo, and Ottawa Counties
c Clinton, Eaton, and Ingham Counties
Attit d bAttitudes by Household IncomeHousehold Income
Vi f R id t bViews of Residents by Household Income
State of i hi
Income Below
Income$50,000 to
Income Above Income Above
$Michigan Below $20,000
$50,000 to $100,000
Above $100,000 $150,000
Right-to-Work Law Will Help Th E
42.7% 33.2% 42.5% 45.9% 48.3%The Economy
a Livingston, Macomb, Monroe, Oakland, St. Clair, Washtenaw, and Wayne Counties
b Allegan, Barry, Ionia, Kent, Montcalm, Muskegon, Newaygo, and Ottawa Counties
c Clinton, Eaton, and Ingham Counties
How to Learn More about SOSS:
http://ippsr.msu.edu/SOSS/
Charles Ballard: [email protected]
Cynthia Kyle: [email protected]
Graham Pierce: [email protected] p @517.884.0364
THANK YOU!