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Economic & Environmental Benefits Of Low-GWP Alternatives to HCFCs: Translating Technical Feasibility to Action Dr. Stephen O. Andersen Institute for Governance & Sustainable Development (IGSD) & Co-Chair TEAP

Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities

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Page 1: Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities

Economic & Environmental Benefits Of Low-GWP Alternatives to HCFCs: Translating Technical Feasibility to Action

Dr. Stephen O. AndersenInstitute for Governance & Sustainable Development (IGSD)

&Co-Chair TEAP

Page 2: Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities
Page 3: Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities

Many Substitutes Available and More on the Way

• “The ultimate choice of technology to phase-out HCFCs will be based on ozone depletion and also climate impact, health, safety, affordability and availability, as Decision XIX/6 requires”

May 2010 TEAP XXI/9 Task Force ReportAssessment Of HCFCs and Environmentally Sound Alternatives

• 2010 TEAP Progress Report– Substitutes for many sectors and sub-sectors available– Additional substitutes under development– Global acceptance for alternatives strengthening– Potential to skip higher-GWP HFC alternatives, go directly to

lower GWP alternatives

Page 4: Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities

Guiding HFC Phase-Down• Environmental Ministries (e.g. US EPA)

– www.epa.gov/ozone/intpol/mpagreement• Industry NGOs (e.g. Alliance for Responsible

Atmospheric Policy; European Fluorocarbons Technical Committee)– www.ARAP.org; www.Fluorocarbons.org

• Consumer Protection Agencies (e.g. US FTC) – www.ftc.gov/opa/2010/10/greenguide

• Environmental NGOs (see rosters: OEWGs/ MOPs)• TEAP & TOCs• UNEP DTIE & OzonAction

Page 5: Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities

Superior Alternatives

• HFCs are obsolete & targeted for phaseout– EC & California mobile AC GWP must be <150– NGOs petitioned USEPA to ban HFC-134a in MACs– US Federal Trade Commission (FTC) will halt false

claims that HFCs are “eco-friendly”– Cap & Trade will punish HFC with high prices– Environmental authorities will tax and prohibit HFCs– Consumers will boycott & stigmatize HFCs

• Environmental Leadership Companies will motivate and welcome low-GWP options and then join the bandwagon to prohibit HFCs

Page 6: Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities

New Thinking on Sustainable Refrigerant Choice

• Select the Refrigerant With Superior LCCP• Manage Refrigerant Emissions to the Lowest

Practical Life-Cycle Level • Offset ODP of HCFC Refrigerant to be

“Chlorine Neutral” via ODS Destruction• Offset GWP of All Refrigerants to be “Carbon

Neutral” via Carbon Markets • Design and Operate to Maximize LCCP• Allow Continued Use of ODSs & HFCs if

Near Zero Emissions and Superior LCCP

Page 7: Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities

New Thinking on Sustainable Insulation Choice

• First Choice: Natural Insulation– Fiberglass, Mineral Wool, & Fibers

• Second Choice: Low-GWP Foams– Natural Blowing Agents: CO2-, HC, etc.– Emerging Low-GWP HFO Insulating Foam

• Imaginative Choices:– Redesign Products to Allow Thicker Insulation– Update Traditional Architecture– Integrate Building Design, Passive Solar, &

Renewable Energy

Page 8: Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities

Updated Thinking On HCFC Phaseout

• Act First Where Technical Choice is Sustainable• Continue ODSs and High-GWP HFCs in Important

Applications with Near-zero Emissions and Significant Climate Benefit

• Reconsider Low-GWP ODS With Superior LCCP (e.g. HCFC-123 in Building Chillers)

• Anticipate New Technology– Be First with New Technology from Reliable Sources– Be Fast in Transition to Sustainable Technology– Buy Foam Equipment Adaptable to New Chemistry– Seek Stewardship Agreements by Chemical Suppliers to

Destroy at End-of-Useful-Product-Life

Page 9: Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities

Thank You!

Stephen O. [email protected]

Institute for Governance & Sustainable Development (IGSD)

&Co-Chair TEAP

Page 10: Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities

Backup Slides

Page 11: Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities
Page 12: Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities
Page 13: Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities

Abrupt Climate ChangeFrom Committed Warming

• Arctic Summer Sea Ice- Melting at 2+ times global average

• Greenland Ice Sheet Collapse - 2+ x faster than global average

• West Antarctic Ice Sheet• Himalaya-Tibetan glaciers

- 3 times faster than global average• Global Typhoons and Hurricanes

- Bringing floods and landslides NEXT

Page 14: Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities

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Page 15: Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities

Antarctic Ice Bridge Collapse

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Page 16: Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities

Greenland Ice Sheet

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Page 17: Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities

Rivers Originating in Hindu-Kush-Himalaya-Tibetan Glaciers

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Page 18: Industry Roundtable (Side event: 22nd MoP)- Session1: emerging opportunities

Glaciers RetreatSnowpack Reservoir Diminished

• Floods followed by drought• Billions affected• National security threat from water

conflicts among 3 nuclear powers and a half dozen adjacent developing countries

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