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Impacts of Climate Change on Animal
AgricultureDavid Schmidt, PE
University of Minnesota
Economic Losses from Heat Stress by US Livestock
Industries =$2.4 Billion per year
-St. Pierre et al 2003
Numbers are Wrong!Old Animal Numbers (2000)Old temperature data (1871-1932)Old Genetics (2000)Only included illness/death, feed efficiency, and reproduction
Prices have all changed
Changing PrecipitationAmount, Intensity, TimingRegional, Seasonal
Changing TemperaturesAverages, Maximums, Overnight LowsRegional and Seasonal
ExtremesFlooding, DroughtRegional and Seasonal
Risk and Probability
From: Livestock Energetics and Thermal Environment
Return Frequency
Risk and Probability
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020
Day
s/ye
ar
Year
Pipestone MN,Low temp 72 F or above
(cliMATE)
Assessing Impacts (Assessing Vulnerabilities or Risk Assessment)
Four Impact Categories
Farm Inputs
Animal Production
Farm Logistics
Farm Exports
Farm Inputs
Impacts: Pests, Weeds, and Disease, Growing Season
Feed and Forage: Availability and Cost
Farm InputsFeed and Forage: Availability Quality
Pasture: Quality, Availability, Timing
Farm InputsFeed and Forage
Carbon Dioxide
Farm InputsEnergy: Availability and Cost
Electricity BlackoutsStorm DamageFuel Supply DisruptionFuel Price Variability
Farm InputsWater: Availability, Quality, Price
DrinkingFeed production
Animal Production(Assessing Vulnerabilities or Risk Assessment)
Economic Losses from Heat Stress by US Livestock
Industries =$2.4 Billion per year
-St. Pierre et al 2003
Animal ProductionHeat Stress: Efficiencies Intake and Conversion
Courtesy: Mike Brumm (Swine Impacts, AACC)
Vulnerabilities:
-Species
-Stage of production
-Genetics
Higher producing dairy cows
Faster growing animals (swine, cattle, poultry)
-Health status of animals
-Acclimation period
Animal ProductionHeat Stress: Feed Intake and Conversion
TemperatureHumidityAir speedEvent DurationNight time cooling period
Animal ProductionHeat Stress: Reproduction and Other
http://www.lallemandanimalnutrition.com/blog/heat-stress-an-underestimated-issue-for-dairy-cows
Animal ProductionPests and Diseases
Animal ProductionCatastrophic Death Loss
Logistical Impacts(Assessing Vulnerabilities or Risk Assessment)
LogisticsManure Management: Capacity, Nutrient Loss, Application Windows
LogisticsGeographic Location
LogisticsTransportation and Animal Handling
Flooding and StormsRoads and BridgesHeatHandling and feeding Time of day to haul or handle animalsDensity on truckTime on the truck
LogisticsLabor
Travel to workHeat stress at workHeat stress at homeFlooded basements
Export Impacts(Assessing Vulnerabilities or Risk Assessment)
Farm Exports
Daily Livestock Report Vol. 12, No. 145 / July 28, 2014
USDA: Weekly livestock poultry and grain market highlightsAug 11, 2014
Prices
Supply and DemandGlobal ConnectionsMore Variability
Impact Audit
Climate Changes
Farm Inputs Animal Production
Logistics Exports
Precipitation
Temperature
Extremes
Identify Vulnerabilities
More DetailsCourse Reading and Project Website www.animalagclimatechange.org
Livestock and PoultryEnvironmental Learning Center
Project Support
This project was supported by Agricultural and Food Research Initiative Competitive Grant No. 2011-67003-30206 from the USDA National Institute of Food and Agriculture.
www.animalagclimatechange.org
National Lead: University of Nebraska
Regional Partners: University of Georgia; Cornell University; University of Minnesota; Texas A&M AgriLife Extension, and Washington State University.
Project Partners
Our Mission Animal agriculture in a changing climate fosters animal productionpractices that are: environmentally sound and economically viable,and that create resiliency for animal producers and their partners.