Dr. Kathryn Sullivan Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Environmental Observation & Prediction and Acting Chief Scientist | NOAA June 7, 2012

Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities 2

SHORT-FUSE EVENTS

EXTREME EVENT PROGRESS

FORECAST CLIMATE & ANALYZE ENVIRONMENTAL

TRENDS

Local and immediate – i.e. Hampton tornado Friday

To Regional and Decadal and further

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Weekly Monthly Seasonal – Annual Decadal

Local

Regional

National & Global

Temperature & Precipitation

Outlooks –

Agriculture

Heating & Cooling Degree Days

– Energy Sector

Climate Normals

– Construction, Infrastructure,

Agriculture

Drought Outlook

– Agriculture

Extreme Detection & Attribution

– Insurance

Heat Wave Prediction

– Public Health

Officials

Hurricane Tracks –

Emergency Planners

Monthly State of the Climate

Reports –

Decision Makers

Annual State of the Climate

Reports –

Decision Makers

National Climate

Assessment –

Decision Makers

Drought Monitor –

Agriculture

Tornado Warnings –

General Public, Most sectors

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16.3M Tons of Cargo = $36.1B

Updated Norfolk Harbor Nautical Chart

Composite image of backscatter and partially transparent bathymetry data collected by the NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office with historic oyster boundaries and recent monitoring sites in the Great Wicomico River, Virginia

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The mean sea level trend is 4.44 millimeters/year with a 95% confidence interval of +/- 0.27 mm/yr based on monthly mean sea level data from 1927 to 2006 which is equivalent to a change of 1.46 feet in 100 years.

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Flooding In Norfolk

Continuously Operating Reference Station (CORS)

NOAA's National Water Level Observation Network (NWLON)

1. Grow Number Of Users

2. Scale our data assimilation systems to meet rising demand

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10

CRITICAL ENVIRONMENTAL

INTELLIGENCE

OBSERVATIONS

COMPUTATION & MODELING

PEOPLE

RESEARCH

Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities

Dr. Kathryn Sullivan Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Environmental Observation & Prediction and Acting Chief Scientist | NOAA January 23, 2012