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Impact of Climate Change on Rice Production Project work & seminar Level-4 Semester-I B.Sc. in Agriculture & Bio-resources Engineering Faculty of AFE Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science & Technology Univ ersity, Dinajpur Environmental Impact on Rice Yield Pattern Thes is on

Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

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Page 1: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

Impact of Climate Change on Rice ProductionProject work & seminar

Level-4 Semester-I

B.Sc. in Agriculture & Bio-resources Engineering

Faculty of AFE

Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science & Technology

University, Dinajpur

Environmental Impact on Rice Yield Pattern

Thesis on

Page 2: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

“Presentation on our project work”

Greetings,This is a

Shared for your kind consideration

Page 3: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

Presented to,Honorable,

Dr. Md. Mosharraf HossainProfessor

Dept. Farm Power MachineryBangladesh Agricultural University, Mymenshingh

Dr. Md. Shiddiqur RahmanProfessor

Dept. of Agricultural & Industrial EngineeringDean

Faculty of Agro-Industrial & Food Process EngineeringHajee Mohammad Danesh Science & Technology University, Dinajpur

Dr. Md. Kamal Uddin Sarkar Professor

Dept. of Agricultural & Industrial EngineeringHajee Mohammad Danesh Science & Technology University, Dinajpur

Page 4: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

Shakilur RahmanB.Sc. Agricutural & Bio-resources EngineeringLevel-4 Semester-II(2012)Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science & Technology University, Dinajpur

Group Credential

Selina BanuB.Sc. Agricutural & Bio-resources Engineering

Level-4 Semester-II(2012)Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science &

Technology University, Dinajpur

Rokonuzzaman RokonB.Sc. Agricutural & Bio-resources Engineering

Level-4 Semester-II(2012)Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science &

Technology University, Dinajpur

Page 5: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

Supervisor

Fahmida IshaqueLecturer

Dept. of AIEHSTU

Co-Supervisor

Dr. Md. Shiddiqur RahmanProfessor

Dept. of AIEHSTU

Guide Credential

Page 6: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

Background of the study

They used to look at the sky and asses the weather condition!

From the very beginning, farmers used to depend on weather for crop production!

Page 7: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

Why study environmental Impact on rice yield pattern?

At first, nature itself and its change over time, includes the physical impact on the Earth's land, water, atmosphere and biosphere all are related with rice yield.

1990 2007

Page 8: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

At next, how humans use nature, includes the environmental consequences of increasing population, more effective technology and remotely or indirectly changing patterns of rice as well as crop yield.

Finally, environmental engineers need to know what do the farmers think about nature - the way attitudes, beliefs and values influence interaction with nature, especially in the form of myths, religion and science.

Page 9: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

Climate variability and change present threats and opportunities to the environment and sustainability of food systems, and hence will further affect links between agriculture, nutrition and health.

Page 10: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

An Analysis of the Environmental Impacts of Energy Crops in Nigeria towards

Environmental towards Environmental Sustainability

J.O. OlaoyeDepartment of Agricultural and Biosystems Engineering,

University of Ilorin, Nigeria

2004

Previous Works done on Similar topic

Page 11: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

Impact of relative humidity of November month of each year on the yield of Boro riceImpact of air velocity, and sunshine hour of November month of each year on the yield of Boro rice Relationship among the minimum & maximum temperature, sunshine hour, relative humidity, air velocity in Boro season at November

IMPACT OF WEATHER PARAMETERS ON THE YIELD OF RICE IN MYMENSINGH DISTRICT (2001-2009)

BYEngr. MD. SUMON MIAH

B.Sc. In Engg.(Agril)M.S. in Farm Structure(BAU)

2006

Impact of minimum & maximum temperature of November month of each year on the yield of Boro rice

RESEARCHFINDING

Previous Works done on Similar topic

Page 12: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

Future Aspect

Better understanding on environmental impact will enable us ; Yield Prediction of rice; To understand response of various rice varieties

to the basic environmental parameters To develop better adaptive varieties

Help Agricultural Scientists with obtained results in developing new high yield varieties.

Page 13: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

Objectives of the study

To observe the climatic variability for the last 10 years in Dinajpur district.

To find relationship between environment-parameters and rice grain yield.

To find inter-relationship among the environment-parameters.

Page 14: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

Assumptions; are to be taken in developing the model

The values of weather parameters were uniform throughout the Dinajpur district.

Fertilizers were uniformly distributed in every year for the same crop. Irrigation water was uniformly supplied in every year for the same

crop. Management of insecticides, pesticides, etc. were uniform in all years. Viability of seeds was similar in every year. Soil fertility was similar in every year.

Page 15: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

MethodologyClimate to crop interactions

How can projections of climate-induced changes be linked to rice production?

Max. Temperature

Relative Humidity

Rainfall

crop Air Velocity

Sunshine hrs

Min Temperature

climate

6 major weather parameters are to be considered

Page 16: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

Study Location DinajpurArea 3437.98 sq. km

Population 2290000

Average Rainfall (per year) 2167mm

Average temperature in winter 10ᵒC

Average temperature in summer 34ᵒC

Secondary Data to be collected from Various Agricultural & related Institutions

Page 17: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

2,10,810 ha.1,53,400 ha.

44,250 ha.10,530 ha.25,275 ha.53,957 ha.

42%

31%

9%

2%5%

11%

Ropa AmonBoroWheatAushPotatoOthers

Major Crops in Dinajpur District

Page 18: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

Crop data selection

Name of cropCropping season in month

Total month

From To

AausFIZER April mid July 3.5

BITLOP April mid July 3.5

AmonBR-11 mid July mid November 4

PAJAM mid July mid November 4

BoroBR-28 November April 6

BR-29 November April 6

Page 19: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

2007-2008

2008-2009

2009-2010

2010-2011

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

7 year Yield Record of Aus Rice(m ton) in Dinajpur District

31267

23570

3055

23021

30131

10313

24879

Collected data will be analyzed by using Excel

Page 20: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

10 year Total Rainfall Record(mm) in Dinajpur District

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Collected data will be analyzed by using Excel

Page 21: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

Average Min temperatureAverage Max Temperature

10 year Average Max. & Min Temperature (ᵒc) Record in Dinajpur District

Collected data will be analyzed by using Excel

Page 22: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

Relation between each of the 6 parameters to rice will needed to be derived

Inter-relation among each of the 6 parameters will needed to be derived

To conduct multiple regressions these relations will further be analyzed and statistical model will be obtained in SPSS

Where,Y is the dependent variable ,i represents the year, a is the constant and b, c, d, e, f are the regression coefficient. Tmax is the maximum temperature (oC), Tmin = Minimum Temperature (oC)

Page 23: Environmental Impact on Rice Yield

Thank You

[email protected]

If you have a comment,email me,