17
Emerging Cityscapes A Foresight Framework of Emerging Trends and Issues in Design, Technology, and Social Evolution Impacting the Future of the City Kedge www.kedgelabs.com

Emerging cityscapes framework forecast

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Emerging cityscapes framework forecast

Emerging Cityscapes

A Foresight Framework of Emerging Trends and Issues in Design, Technology, and Social Evolution Impacting the Future of the City

Kedgewww.kedgelabs.com

Page 2: Emerging cityscapes framework forecast

• Emerging Driver and Trend Identification, Clustering, and Implications

• Backcasting

• Futures Wheels

• Impact/Probability Matrix

• Natural Growth Curve Mapping

• Scenario Development (Narrative Building and Alternative Storytelling for Robust Strategy)

Foresight Tools

Page 3: Emerging cityscapes framework forecast

Eight (Connected) Emerging Trends That Will Shape the Future of the City

1. Social Architecture & Social Innovation

2. Local Economies

3. City, Citizen, and Place 2.0

4. Sustainable Transportation

7. Holistic Infrastructures:Human and Bio-Centric Architecture

6. Reframing the Concept ofEducation & Work

5. Disruptive Technology

8. Cities as the Savior of Humanity

Page 4: Emerging cityscapes framework forecast

What Makes a Creative City?

Its Social Architecture!

http://architectureboston.wordpress.com/

2009/08/19/comparecontrast/

Brand Identity: Authenticity and Clarity?Civic & Corporate Institutions?Resilience & Adaptive Change?

Integration & Inclusion?Transdisciplinarity?

Page 5: Emerging cityscapes framework forecast

To Do This, We Must Understand Large-Scale Adaptive Systems

ChaosComplexity/Change

GrowthConsolidation

Page 6: Emerging cityscapes framework forecast

Intentional Evolution & Intentional Cities

Intentional (biomimicry & biodiversity) design for

better communities -

while also converting our “consumptive landscapes” to

“productive landscapes.”

Page 7: Emerging cityscapes framework forecast

Integral Evolution and Integral Cities

Page 8: Emerging cityscapes framework forecast
Page 9: Emerging cityscapes framework forecast
Page 10: Emerging cityscapes framework forecast
Page 11: Emerging cityscapes framework forecast
Page 12: Emerging cityscapes framework forecast
Page 13: Emerging cityscapes framework forecast
Page 14: Emerging cityscapes framework forecast

Place 2.0: The Convergent and Networked City

Page 15: Emerging cityscapes framework forecast

FoodPrintNYCBK FarmYards

EcoCitiesInformatics...

“Cities As Answer to

Grand Challenges”

Page 16: Emerging cityscapes framework forecast
Page 17: Emerging cityscapes framework forecast

The Importance of “Place”: http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do?command=printArticleBasic&taxonomyName=Government&articleId=9133040&taxonomyId=13

Local Economics: http://www.fastcompany.com/blog/jamais-cascio/open-future/resilience; http://www.openthefuture.com/2009/03/one_model_for_a_new_world_econ.html; http://evangineer.agoraworx.com/blog/2009-02-17-local-community-economics-for-security-in-an-unstable-world.html

Social Capital and Collaborative Networks: http://orgnet.com/IHJour_XII_No5_p38_42.pdf; http://socialentrepreneurship.change.org/blog/view/web_30_and_the_emergence_of_creative_community_hubs

Adaptive Change Over Resilience: http://vinay.howtolivewiki.com/blog/global/beyond-resilience-visionary-adaptation-137

Building “Place” Through Public Dialogue and Conversation: http://www.cooltownstudios.com/site/how-facebook-can-help-build-better-places/; http://creativesdc.ning.com

Geography of Buzz: http://www.nytimes.com/glogin?URI=http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/07/arts/design/07buzz.html&OQ=_rQ3D3Q26hp&OP=581ea877Q2F,Q60Q51E,4Q7EGNQ5BQ7EQ7EQ20i,iQ5DQ5DQ2A,Q5D-,Q5DD,Q26Q5BQ20N,4Q51NQ5EYw,Q5DDEl33qPQ20xH

Local and Resilient Futures: http://www.chelseagreen.com/bookstore/item/the_transition_timeline:paperback#

Open Source Education: http://www.futureofed.org

Disruptive Technologies: http://www.marketwire.com/press-release/City-Of-San-Jose-California-1024732.htm; http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9133040/City_2.0_Using_tech_building_blocks_in_tomorrow_s_urban_centers

Data Shadows: http://radar.oreilly.com/2009/04/the-future-of-our-cities-open.html

Transportation 2.0: http://www.economist.com/science/tq/displaystory.cfm?story_id=13725743

Is Your City Good For Your Physical and Emotional Health? http://www.worldchanging.com/archives/009949.html; http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/04/090414153538.htm

Informatics - Meshing Software: http://www.worldchanging.com/archives/009707.html; http://www.situatedtechnologies.net

Redundancy and Ecocities: http://thewhereblog.blogspot.com/2009/04/black-swans-and-redundant-cities.html; http://www.pembaservesblog.com/2009/05/ecocities-cities-can-save-earth.html

Reframing: http://creativelythriving.com/?p=432; http://blog.wirearchy.com/2009/04/23/revisiting-on-the-ongoing-emergence-of-new-organizational-structure-and-dynamics/; http://www.wired.com/culture/design/magazine/17-04/pl_design#