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10/13/2011 1 Revitalizing Cheshire County From the Inside Out A Serious Jobs Strategy

CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

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CONNECT 2011 featured Michael Shuman, one of the nation's leading experts on community economics.

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Page 1: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

10/13/2011 1

Revitalizing Cheshire County

From the Inside Out

A Serious Jobs

Strategy

Page 2: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

10/13/2011 2

The Struggle Over Capitalisms

TINA

vs.

LOIS

Page 3: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

TINA–There Is No Alternative

• Attract Toyotas

• Prioritize Exports

• Reassure Locals

Page 4: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Economic Development Today

Top 46 ED Programs in 15 States

Sorted by % Funds Going to Local Business

Page 5: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

LOIS–The Alternative

• LO:

Local Ownership

• IS:

Import-Substituting

Development

Page 6: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

'Dead-end' Austrian town blossoms

with green energy

Page 7: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Hardwick, Vermont

Page 8: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

The Zingerman’s Story

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Local Living Economies

• Local Owned

• BOTH Self-Reliant &

Exporting

• Socially Responsible

Page 17: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Overview

I. Why Embrace LOIS?

II. How to Nurture LOIS?

Page 18: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

I. Why Embrace LOIS?

Business Subsidies in Lane County (OR)

(mid-2003)

$0$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000$60,000$70,000$80,000

Cost Per Job

LOIS

TINA-Gross

TINA-Net

30x

10x

Page 19: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Recent U.S. Stimulus

$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

Cost Per Job

Local

Global-Gross

Global-Net

Stimulus (High)

Stimulus (Low)

Page 20: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

The Importance of Multipliers

Impact of $100

Spending (Austin)

$0

$20

$40

$60

Borders BookPeople

Page 21: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

The Jobs Verdict

Study $ Circulated Locally:

Local vs. Nonlocal Ownership

Austin (2002) 3.5

Maine (2003) 5.0

Chicago (2004) 1.6

Toledo (2004) 4.0

Iowa (2006) 1.6 (Jobs)

San Francisco (2007) 1.4-1.7

Phoenix (2007) 2.9

Grand Rapids (2008) 1.6

New Orleans (2009) 2.0

AVERAGE 2.6

Page 22: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Harvard Business Review July-August 2010

Page 23: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Other Reasons

Ownership Matters • Smart Growth

• Tourism

• Entrepreneurship

• Civil Society

• Political Participation

Page 24: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Typical Skepticism

Page 25: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Recent Competitiveness of Local (By Jobs)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1990 1994 1998 2002 2006

Small

Big

Page 26: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Profitability of Local in 2006 (Net Income/Net Revenue)

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Sole Proprietors

Partnerships

C-Corporations

Page 27: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Future Competitiveness of Local

Page 28: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Our Current

Private Investment Strategy

Page 29: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Household Finance

$2

$7

$4

$12

$1

$ 26 Trillion in 2009

Bonds

Stock

Mutual Funds

Pension Funds

Life Insurance

Page 30: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Household Savings Here

Page 31: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

The Impact of $4+ Billion Shift

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II. How To Nurture LOIS?

Planning Plug the leaks.

People Support LOIS entrepreneurs.

Partners Compete through collaboration.

Purse Harness pensions locally.

Purchasing Spearhead “Local First” campaigns.

Policymaking Remove anti-LOIS biases.

Page 33: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman
Page 34: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Hannah Grimes Work

Planning Industry Clusters

People Business Incubators

Entrepreneurship Classes & Hub

Partners Leadership Circle

BALLE Network

Purse Angel Investors Network

Giving Monadnock

Purchasing Marketplace

Buy Local Guides

Policymaking

Page 35: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Wealth from Leak Plugging

The 25% Shift:

The Benefits of

Localizing Food

In NE Ohio

Page 36: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

25% Shift Re-employs 27,000

9,998

5,091

4,081

8,493

Jobs

Farmers

Retailers

Processors

Other

Page 37: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Direct $$$ Benefits

Each year…

…$868 million in wages

…$4.2 billion output

…$126 million of state and local tax

Page 38: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Indirect $$$ Benefits

• Tourism

• Business Magnet

• Entrepreneurship

• Unemployment Benefits

($127 million)

• Fiscal Health

• Improved Infrastructure

• Rural Development

• Economic Security

Page 39: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Other Benefits

• Environmental

• Public Health

• Global Image

Page 40: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Other Benefits

• Environmental

• Public Health

• Global Image

Page 41: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Other Benefits

• Environmental

• Public Health

• Global Image

Page 42: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Leak-Plugging Potential Here

Indicator Data for

Cheshire County

Employees (August 2011) 39,903

Self-Employed (2009) 5,818

Unemployed (July 2011) 2,425

Page 43: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Leak-Plugging Potential Here

Indicator Data for

Cheshire County

Employees (August 2011) 39,903

Self-Employed (2009) 5,818

Unemployed (July 2011) 2,425

Potential New Jobs (Direct) 17,640

Potential New Wages

(Direct)

$840 million

Page 44: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Examples of Leaks Indicator Potential Jobs for

Cheshire County

Offices of Physicians 480

Limited-Service Restaurants 360

Commercial Banking 360

Temporary Help Services 297

Engineering Services 187

Hotels and Motels 175

Wired Telecommunications Carriers 158

General Warehousing and Storage 146 Custom Computer Programming Services 144

Department Stores 141

Page 45: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Opportunities for Local Food

Page 46: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Low-Cost “Meta-Business”

• Supports All

Local Businesses

• Revenue Generating

• Modest One-Time

Investments

Page 47: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Purchasing Metabusiness B2B Marketplace

Page 48: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Partners Metabusiness Purchasing Coop

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Purse Metabusiness Small-Stock Issues

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People Metabusiness Self-Financing Incubator

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Zero-Cost

Economic Development

• Selective Procurement

Lifetime Cost Accounting:

Actual Bid Price = Nominal Bid - Taxes

Page 52: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Zero-Cost

Economic Development

• Selective Procurement

• Bid-Out ED $$$

Page 53: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Zero-Cost

Economic Development

• Selective Procurement

• Bid-Out ED $$$

• Securities Reform

Examples:

- Loosen DPOs

- Coop Investment

- Petition SEC

Page 54: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman
Page 56: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

Patrick Henry: (with minor edits)

“Why stand we here idle?

Is life so dear or peace so

sweet as to be purchased

at the price of chains…?

Forbid it, Almighty God. I

know not what course

others may take, but as

for me, give me

community or give me

death!"

Page 57: CONNECT 2011 - Michael Shuman

For More Information:

Michael Shuman

202-669-1220

[email protected]

www.cuttingedgecapital.com

www.livingeconomies.org