CCAFS Strategy for Climate Services

Jim Hansen, CCAFS Theme 2 Leader

March 2013

CCAFS objectives

1.Identify and develop pro-poor adaptation and mitigation practices, technologies and policies for agriculture and food systems.

2.Support the inclusion of agricultural issues in climate change policies, and of climate issues in agricultural policies, at all levels.

Framework and Themes

Adapting Agriculture to aVariable and Changing Climate

Technologies, practices, partnerships and policies for:

1.Adaptation to Progressive Climate Change2.Adaptation through Managing Climate Risk3.Pro-poor Climate Change Mitigation

Improved Environmental

HealthImproved

Rural Livelihoods Improved

Food Security

Enhanced adaptive capacity in agricultural, natural

resource management, and food systems

Trade-offs and Synergies4. Integration for Decision Making

•Linking Knowledge with Action•Assembling Data and Tools for Analysis and Planning•Refining Frameworks for Policy Analysis

Where we work

Objective 2: Food System Risk

Management•Goal: Enhanced food security

Target: food system (trade, crisis response, etc.)

Theme 2 Strategy

Objective 1: Local Risk

ManagementGoal: Resilient rural livelihoods•Target: rural communities & markets; supporting institutions & policies

Objective 3: Climate Information and

ServicesGoal: Enhance products and services to support food security and rural livelihoods

•Target: climate community, communication intermediaries,

Fill key gaps:

•Knowledge

•Tools & Methods•Evidence

•Capacity

•Coordination

GENDER & EQITY LENS

Improved, climate-informed responses

Resilient food systems,

Improved food security

Enhanced support for managing risk

Resilient rural livelihoods

STATION BLENDED SATELLITE

Value-added climate information

• Daily historic weather data reconstruction methodology, data sets, capacity-building

• Seasonal rainfall risk and prediction analysis and maprooms for S. Asia

• Crop and rangeland forecasting methods, tools, capacity

• Dynamic climate-food security risk atlases

INTERFACE:•Spatial•Analytical

Remote sensing:

•vegetation•soil moisture

CROP /RANGELAND / P / D MODEL

DATA ASSIMILATION

Weather:

• historic

• monitored

Static data: •soil•cultivar•management

DOWNSCALING,

FORECAST INTEGRATION

Seasonal

predictors

Station met data

Satellite met data

BLENDING

Remote sensing update

s

outputs

Improving delivery and communication

• Evaluation of agrometeorological advisory services in India & Mali

• Review of knowledge on gender and social equity challenges in climate services for farmers

• Synthesis report on status, gaps, priorities for climate services for agriculture in Africa & S. Asia

• Workshop on Scaling Up Climate Services for Farmers in Africa and South Asia (Dakar, 10-12 Dec)

Fostering effective use

• Piloting & evaluating downscaled seasonal forecasts, farmer training, forecast-based advisories, Makuene, Kenya & Kaffrine, Senegal

• Video on farmers’ experience with climate risk and information services

• Enhancing the use of climate information for government decisions in Ethiopia

CCAFS “niche”

• Research for development (R4D). Address gaps:– Knowledge

– Methods and tools

– Evidence

• Strengths:– Impact evaluation

– Value-added climate information

– Understand decisions

• Boundary organization:– Give agricultural decision-makers a voice, ownership

– Bridge climate service providers and users

• Need, flexibility to partner with development organizations