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Chad Aldeman February 15, 2017 Myths and Realities About Iowa’s Teacher Pension Plan

Aldeman Iowa pension presentation

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Page 1: Aldeman Iowa pension presentation

Chad Aldeman February 15, 2017

Myths and Realities About Iowa’s Teacher Pension Plan

Page 2: Aldeman Iowa pension presentation

There are at least three myths surrounding teacher pension plans.

• Myth 1: Traditional pension plans take all the risk on behalf of teachers.

• Myth 2: Traditional pension plans help retain teachers.

• Myth 3: Traditional pension plans offer better benefits than alternative models.

Page 3: Aldeman Iowa pension presentation

A quick note on assumptions and data sources

• Throughout my presentation, I’ll be looking at pension wealth accrual and retention rates for new, 25-year-old female teachers.

• Data on plan specifics and assumed turnover rates come from IPERS’ FY2016 Comprehensive Annual Financial Report, available at: https://www.ipers.org/about-us/publications.

Page 4: Aldeman Iowa pension presentation

Myth 1: Traditional pension plans take all the risk on behalf of

teachers.

Page 5: Aldeman Iowa pension presentation

Due to a back-loaded benefit structure, Iowa teachers suffer from attrition risk, the risk that they might leave.

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$0

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000Iowa Teacher Retirement Wealth, By Age

Total Retirement WealthAge

Very little retire-ment savings for early- and mid-ca-reer teachers

Pension wealth spikes

Pension wealth de-clines

Page 6: Aldeman Iowa pension presentation

Most Iowa teachers do not stay long enough to qualify for the large back-end benefits. They’re losing out.

252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960616263646566676869707172737475

$0

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%Comparing Pension Wealth Versus Retention

Rates

Total Retirement Wealth Cumulative Teacher Retention

Age

Page 7: Aldeman Iowa pension presentation

Myth 2: Traditional pension plans help retain teachers.

Page 8: Aldeman Iowa pension presentation

If Iowa teachers valued a pension, they should change their behavior to qualify for one (at 7 years). But they don’t.

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Iowa's Withdrawal RateIowa's Withdrawal Rate If Vesting Mattered (Hypothetical)

Years of Experience

Ann

ual T

runo

ver R

ate

(%)

Page 9: Aldeman Iowa pension presentation

In contrast, Iowa’s pension plan pushes out teachers at much higher rates, starting at the early retirement age of 55.

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Years of Experience

Cum

ulat

ive

Ann

ual T

runo

ver R

ate

(%)

Page 10: Aldeman Iowa pension presentation

On a cumulative basis, half of Iowa’s teachers leave before 5 years, and only 1 percent make it 40 years.

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Years of Experience

Cum

ulat

ive

Ret

entio

n R

ate

(%)

Page 11: Aldeman Iowa pension presentation

Myth 3: Traditional pension plans offer better benefits than alternative

models.

Page 12: Aldeman Iowa pension presentation

Most Iowa teachers would be better off in a more portable retirement plan like a cash balance plan...

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$0

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000Comparing Iowa’s Existing Defined Benefit (DB) Plan Versus A Cost-Neutral Cash Balance Plan

Existing DB Plan Cash Balance PlanAge

Existing DB plan fi-nally worth more after 23 years

Page 13: Aldeman Iowa pension presentation

…Or even a defined contribution plan…

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$0

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000Comparing Iowa’s Existing Defined Benefit (DB) Plan Versus A Cost-Neutral Defined Contribution

(DC) Plan

Existing DB Plan DC PlanAge

Existing DB plan finally worth more after 26 years

Page 14: Aldeman Iowa pension presentation

…Let alone the defined contribution offered to state university employees (TIAA plan)

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$0

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000

$1,000,000Comparing Iowa’s Existing Defined Benefit (DB)

Plan Versus TIAA DC Plan

Existing DB Plan TIAA PlanAge

Existing DB plan finally worth more after 31 years

Page 15: Aldeman Iowa pension presentation

Key lessons for Iowa

• Retirement plans are for workers, not employers. Iowa’s main goal should be providing a path to a secure retirement to all of its workers, no matter how long they choose to stay.

• Given rapid turnover rates, most teachers would be better off in a more portable plan.

• There are multiple options for Iowa to provide a simple, low-cost, financially sustainable retirement plan for all teachers.

Page 16: Aldeman Iowa pension presentation

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