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a VCS Mosaic REDD Methodology and Participatory Biomass Inventories

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Presentation by Steven De Gryze & Leslie Durschinger, Terra Global Capital Measuring and monitoring, baselines and leakage, Forest Day 3 Sunday, 13 December 2009 Copenhagen, Denmark

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Page 1: a VCS Mosaic REDD Methodology and Participatory Biomass Inventories

a VCS Mosaic REDD Methodology and Participatory Biomass

Inventories

Steven De GryzeLeslie Durschinger

Page 2: a VCS Mosaic REDD Methodology and Participatory Biomass Inventories

Acknowledgements

• Forestry Administration, Cambodia• Community Forestry International• PACT Cambodia• Clinton Climate Initiative• Technical Working Group on Forests and the

Environment, Cambodia• Children’s Development Association, Cambodia• Buddhist Monk’s Association, Oddar Meanchey,

Cambodia• Communities of Oddar Meanchey Province, Cambodia• MacArthur Foundation• DANIDA, Denmark• Clinton Climate Initiative, USA

Page 3: a VCS Mosaic REDD Methodology and Participatory Biomass Inventories

Applicability of VCS methodology• Main applicability criteria

– Mosaic deforestation, defined using• Minimal population density• Minimal road network• Minimal historical deforestation rate

– Data must be available on historical deforestation/forest degradation

– Allowable drivers and project actions are defined– No commercial timber logging before or after project

starts• Allows the exclusion of long-lived wood products• Logging for domestic is still allowed• Illegal logging may have occurred in the baseline

– Agricultural intensification only on land that is already under agriculture

Page 4: a VCS Mosaic REDD Methodology and Participatory Biomass Inventories

Main Drivers and Actions

Project ActionsStrengthening land-tenure

Sustainable forest use plans

Forest protection

Fuel-efficient woodstoves

Agricultural intensification

Assisted NaturalRegeneration

Dri

vers

Fuel-wood collection

✔ ✔ ✔

Forest fires ✔

Crop-land conversion

✔ ✔ ✔ ✔

Settlementconversion

✔ ✔ ✔

Illegal logging ✔ ✔

Logging of timber for domestic use

✔ ✔

Page 5: a VCS Mosaic REDD Methodology and Participatory Biomass Inventories

Baseline• Baseline is based on combination of historical

remote sensing analysis (fixed number of images and intervals) and a land-use change model

• Includes deforestation/reforestation as well as degradation/regeneration

• Historical rates determinedin a reference region

• Similarity Test– Same drivers of deforestation are present– Similar landscape features (slope, aspect, etc.)– Similar land-tenure and land policies

Size of the Project Area

Minimal Size of the Reference Region

< 25,000 20 ×25,000 – 50,000 10 ×

50,000 – 100,000 5 ×> 100,000 2 ×

Page 6: a VCS Mosaic REDD Methodology and Participatory Biomass Inventories

Accuracy Discounting and Inclusion of Degradation

• Credits are discounted according to lower confidence interval (alpha=5%)

• Credits from deforestation, forest degradation and assisted natural regeneration have different accuracy, and therefore different discounting

• Including forest degradation is optional and may be included after project start– Forest degradation must be detected with a minimal

accuracy

– Initial income from carbon can be used to purchase the necessary high-resolution imagery

Page 7: a VCS Mosaic REDD Methodology and Participatory Biomass Inventories

Ex-ante Credit Estimation

Effectiveness ofproject activities

Annual rate ofproject activities

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

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Project Year

Annual rate for activity 5: Fuel-efficient

Stoves

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

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90%

100%

2008

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Rela

tive R

eduction in

Defo

resta

tion R

ate

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Year

No Reduction in

Deforestation/degradation

Compared to Baseline Rates

Complete Elimination of

Deforestation/Degradation

Predicted Deforestation Rates

under Project Scenario

Relative importance of drivers

Page 8: a VCS Mosaic REDD Methodology and Participatory Biomass Inventories

Leakage• Leakage divided into

– Activity-shifting within leakage belts (monitored)

– Activity shifting outside of leakage belts (ex-ante factor)

– Market leakage (ex-ante factor)

Page 9: a VCS Mosaic REDD Methodology and Participatory Biomass Inventories

Community-Based Monitoring• Goals

– Provides employment and education/training to local communities

– Reinforces integration of communities with the carbon project

– Theoretically more cost-effective, dependent on accuracy

• Strict QA/QC is required– Training– Re-measurement of 20% of the plots– Re-visiting of 100% of the plots to check

GPS location– Requirement to take pictures of GPS device– Spot-check of 1-2 plots of every crew by

professional team