Upload
uvacolloquium
View
209
Download
1
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
A BRIEF INTRODUCTION INTO EV CHARGING INFRASTRUCTURE
RESEARCH
Name: Drs. Ir. JR Helmus Colloquium: Computational science lab Date: 2016-02-19
Contents of this presentation
1. Introduction about myself2. Context of electric vehicles 3. The IDO-LAAD project4. Introduction in the dataset5. A rollout-strategy assessment (J.C. Spoelstra, J. Helmus, 2015)6. Taxonomy of EV users charging behavior (J. Helmus, vd hoed 2015)7. Future research – Vehicle to grid solutions
3
@JRHelmus / 35 yrs/ Father / Fiat X1-9 / AmersfoortNL Executive board PDMA / Lateral thinker
@HvA – lecturer innovation management / Senior researcher e-mobility
@UvA CSL – PhD research on Agent based model for optimizing
EV charging infrastructure
IT architecture for Basel II compliancy in non-ERP systems
European Central bank set out Basel II (from 2019 Basel III) legislation to govern the system stability of European Banks.
This requires• Banks to implement specific information in IT systems in order to comply with Basel II reporting• Banks to setup a credit risk evaluation framework for loans and loan portfolios. • Banks to report quarterly / monthly / yearly on a growing amount of reports
For large banks with large adaptive financial ERP systems this is a matter of performing a large IT project. For small banks the Basel II compliancy is a more difficult due to a scattered IT landscape.
How to setup a IT architecture that enables consistent reporting on non-ERP systems within the whole organization in order to be Basel II complient?
Modelling heat and mass transfer of milk powder in a shallow vibrating fluidized bed Develop a multiscale model that enables both R&D as well as process engineers to calculate process conditions and equipment requirements for the last phase of the milk drying process.
OmHbulkicRrtr MCCK
drdC
D2
*),(
OmH
Bulk
Bulksat
wy
wysattRcRr
r
dry
tR
wet
tR
MRT
TPRH
RTTPXitywateractiv
Kdr
dXD
XX 2
)(100)(
11
),(
),(),()0,(
),(),(
EQUATION 3 MASS TRANSFER AT PARTICLE BOUNDARY
EQUATION 4 HEAT TRANSFER AT PARTICLE BOUNDARY
Water evaporation
A modular multiscale model with three components was made
Time scale
Size
scal
e
Micro scale – particle size
Meso scale –rheology in CISTR
Macro scale –total fluidized bed
Macro model with parameters that enable process engineers to calculate optimal equipment specification and priceMeso model with parameters that enable R&D engineers to optimize rheology and drying process within the bedMicro model with parameters that enable R&D engineers to do product and process innovation (eg. new powder type)
The Netherlands is a frontrunner in E-mobility• Forced by EU emission regulations and clean air policies. • For example, Amsterdam aims to have an emission free city center in 2025• Vision is that charging infrastructure might not be the main barrier to switch to EV from ICE • Broader vision on sustanable energy transition in the netherlands (energie akkoord, 2015)
7
Main problem to solve: optimization of charging infrastructure usage and rollout
Typical Problems in EV charging infra field
• Investments in charging infrastructure is expensive (as in ~4-6k per charging point, 20-40k Fast charger)
• The business case for charging point operators is barely positive. Market takeover could be far away.
• Charging infrastructure rollout strategies are either slow (demand-driven) or uncertain (forecast driven). (Funke et al., 2015)
• Energy sales prices are regulated and capped (.028¢) whereas energy costs prices fluctuate over the day (on/off peak) due to energy production
• Energy grid capacity costs are relatively high compared to sales prices, whereas full power is almost never used currently
• New business models for smart EV charging in combination with energy transition (V2X) are needed (Bohnsack et al, 2015)
The University of Applied Sciences Amsterdam
The UASA Urban Technology research program supports stakeholders within the charging infrastructure ecosystem by developing and monitoring rollout strategies
Monitoring performance Predictive analytics Modelling & simulation
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
400000
450000
Total beforecleansing
Connection timerepair
Physicly impossiblecharge sessions
Unknown data Double records Short time Double provider Net usable records
Causes of ~35% data removal per error type
source: website urban technology
From Helmus vd. Hoed, (2015)
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 122012 2013 2014
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
CentrumNieuw-WestNoordOostWestWestpoortZuidZuidoost
Maand/Jaar
kWh
Amount of kWh charged per month per city district
The 167 Tesla taxis merely live in the Amterdam Nieuw-West area, where they charge overnight.
More than 135 reports were developed for stakeholders to support and monitor effective EV infrastructure rolloutFor example new modalities such as Tesla taxis are closely monitored
Source: CHIEF database
The dataset ~2M transactions from 50K, ~5k charging stations users for this research is unique in the world
Parameter Example Explanation
Charge point address
Admiralengracht 44
Adress of the charge point
Charge point operator
Nuon Owner of the charge point
Charging service provider
Essent Owner of the used charging card
Charge point city
Amsterdam
Charge point postal code
1057EW ZIP code of the area of the charge point
Volume 0,86 Charged energy [kWh]
Connection time
0:14:23 Time the car was connected
Start Date 18-04-2012 Date the session started
End Date 18-04-2012 Date the session ended
Start Time 23:20:55 Time the session started
End Time 23:35:18 Time the session ended
Charging time
0:14:23 Time the car is actually charging
RFID 60DF4D78 RFID code of a charging card
Charge volume
Charge point address
Connection time
RFID
The data is anonimized de RFID tag is not coupled to personal information in this dataset. De SQL server database is behind VPN and firewall en HvA has exclusive right to publish on scientific results.
Participating geographic areas- Amsterdam /Rotterdam /the Hague /Utrecht- Metropool Regio Amsterdam (from Haarlem to Amersfoort)- Evnet in whole of Netherlands
Deeper insight- Specific charging cards for Taxi, Car2Go, Entrepreneurs, RDW,
and more to come- Implemented interventions in G4 (Parking) and EVNET (price)
Timing spectrum- From real-time to monthly from first charging point 2012 to 5 min ago
From vd. Hoed, Helmus, Bardok (2014)
De data van Amsterdam is exceptional
4933 charging sessions in een test environment
In current state of literature there is no such dataset for scientific usage in dense metropolean areas public charging infrastructure.
10 months data 10 EV drivers
No EV data available – GPS location of non EV users
36 mln km’s / 28,000 vehicles 0 EV’s
The IDOLAAD subsidy program (4 years) supports this research and requires deliverables as well
Research team - 1 lector- 3 Post doc senior researchers - 2 PhD students - 3 junior researchers (Applied mathematicians)- 3 IT specialists - Computational science lab
Consortium participants (deliver data and cases and work)- 4 largest cities and areas surrounding - 3 charging infrastructure providers (delivering data)- 1 charging point producer - 1 network grid provider- 1 consultancy firm (specialized in EV interventions)
Expectations- Prediction model for local demand (not this PhD study)- Simulation model for optimizing charging infrastructure usage and
rollout (as always ASAP)
Working packages Research team and participants
From IDOLAAD proposal, Hoed, Maase, Helmus (2014)
Program goal: develop insights that enable stakeholders within EV value chain to have a effective rollout and efficient use of charging infrastructure
General methodology of IDOLAAD research
My PhD project at CSL
Goal of this PhD research: Deliver insight and tools for interventions for professionals in the EV value chain that enable optimization of both usage as well as future rollout of charging infrastructure.
Fundamental research question: Which factors determine EV users
charging behavior?
Applied research question: How can EV users charging behavior be integrated
in a spatiotemporal simulation model in order to gain insight in optimization mechanisms for charging infrastructure efficiency?
From PhD proposal, Helmus (2015)
Public Charging infrastructure use in the Netherlands: A rollout-strategy assessment
Research by Amsterdam University of Applied Sciences and ElaadNLLarge Dutch EV charging infrastructure rollout 2009 – 2014Demand-driven and Strategic strategies
How does the rollout-strategy of the public EVnetNL charging points in the Netherlands influence the use of these charging points?
From J.C. Spoelstra, J. Helmus (2015)
Rollout StrategiesLocal/regional governments apply for EV charging pointSubsidised by National Government, performed by EVnetNL
Strategic
?
Demand-driven
? ?
From J.C. Spoelstra, J. Helmus (2015)
Historical context of charging point rollout
Strategic
Demand-driven
Unknown
Figure 2: Public charging point locations in the Netherlands on January 1st 2015
2012 2012 23 2012 45 2013 15 2013 37 2014 7 2014 29 2014 510
200400600800
100012001400160018002000 Charging point rollout
Demand-driven Strategic
Time
Char
ging
poi
nts
Figure 1: Public EVnetNL charging point rollout between 2012 and February 2015
• More strategic charging points in January 2012 (480 vs. 54)• Comparable growth in numbers (631 vs. 673)• Demand-driven charging points primarily in highly populated
urbanized areas• Several, primarily strategic, charging points in low populated
rural areas
(J.C. Spoelstra, J. Helmus, 2015)
Charging point use: Energy transfer & Connection times
2012 2012 242012 472013 182013 412014 122014 35 2015 65
7
9
11
13
Average energy transfer per transaction
Demand-driven Strategic
Time
Aver
age
ener
gy tr
ansf
er p
er
tran
sacti
on p
er w
eek
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 200
3500
7000
Energytransfer distribution
Demand-driven Strategic
kWh
Tran
sacti
ons p
er 0
,1 k
Wh
Figure 5: Average energy transfer (kWh) per transaction per week for the two rollout-strategies, 2012 – Feb 2015
Figure 6: Distribution of charging transactions per 0,1 kWh energy transfer
2012 2012 252012 492013 212013 452014 172014 4105:0007:0009:0011:0013:0015:0017:0019:00
Average connection duration per transaction
Demand-driven Strategic
TimeAver
age
conn
ectio
n du
ratio
n pe
r tr
ansa
ction
per
wee
k
00:00:0003:25:0006:50:0010:15:0013:40:0017:05:0020:30:0023:55:000
1000200030004000500060007000
Connection time distributionDemand-driven Strategic
Connection time (hours)
Tran
sacti
ons p
er 5
min
utes
co
nnec
tionti
me
Figure 7: Average connection duration per transaction per week for the two rollout strategies, 2012 – Feb 2015
Figure 8: Distribution of charging transactions per 5 minutes connection duration (0-24 hours)
From J.C. Spoelstra, J. Helmus (2015)
Taxonomy of EV user charging behavior
Aim: develop a set of different meaningful EV user types with specific properties related to charging behavior from the data (1) to be used in an agent based model(2) develop algorithm that continuously scans for new user types/changes over time (new cars, user types, etc) (3) expand taxonomy for more than 1 city (make uniform)(4) rerun algorithm if new data/insight/city is added
(e.g. run in production environment)
This paper will be a successor of the paper presented at EVS28 EVS28 KINTEX, Korea, May 3-6, 2015 Unraveling User Type Characteristics: Towards a Taxonomy for Charging Infrastructure J. Helmus MSc. R. van den Hoed MSc PhD
Dimensions of Charging behavior
Charging behavior has dimensions with measureable parameters of charging behavior:(1) WHEN - start / end times (2) WHERE – area type/ (amount) locations(3) WHAT - kWh / State of Charging (SOC) / duration(4) LONG - activity during life span and time between sessions(5) EV usage determined – max battery capacity / range / (6) PREDICTABILITY – constancy of aforementioned parameters *(7) SENSITIVITY – to external conditions (weather, parking pressure, interventions)
**Relation driver and origin destination matrix(1) one-to-one – one driver one car (residents, commuters, etc)(2a) one-to-several (entrepreneurs in logistics)(2b) one-to-several combined with one-to-one (taxi with home charging as well)(3) many-to-many – car sharing scheme (both private as large)
Full overview of charging behavior parametersSign Residents Commuters Taxis Visitors Car sharing RC chargers
Start time
Weekdays between 5:00 PM and 7:00 PM with low standard deviation
Weekdays between 7:30 AM and 9:00 AM with low to medium standard deviation
Varies, at night, around midday at residential zones, spread over the day in other zones
Mostly between 10:00 AM and 2:00 PM, high standard deviation
All day, standard deviation irrelevant
Both resident and commuter times
End time
Next morning between 7:00 AM and 9:00 AM hours with low standard deviation
Same day around 6 PM with low standard deviation
Varies, in the early morning,
Mostly between 6:00 PM and 22:00 PM, high standard deviation
All day, standard deviation irrelevant
Both resident and commuter times
Duration
Long, around 8 hours with low standard deviation
Long, around 8 hours with low standard deviation
Short, 4 hours Long, 8 hours Very short (around 4 hours), except for charging sessions starting at night
Both resident and commuter aspects
TBSweekdays
Medium around 10 hours, consistent per user with low standard deviation
Medium around 10 hours, consistent per user with low standard deviation
Low (2 to 4 hours) to medium (6-8 hours)
Very long (varying from days to weeks), inconsistent, high standard deviation
Very short (2-4 hours) with high standard deviation
Both resident and commuter
TBSweekends
Medium consistency per user. medium standard deviation
Inconsistent per user. High standard deviation
Low (2 to 4 hours) to medium (6-8 hours)
Very long (varying from days to weeks), inconsistent, high standard deviation
Very short (2-4 hours) with high standard deviation
Inconsistent, medium standard deviation
kWh
Mean 60% of max kWh of car type, ,medium standard deviation
Mean 80% of max kWh of car type, medium standard deviation
Inconsistent per session, high standard deviation, many times max kWh of car battery
Inconsistent per user, high standard deviation across all user types even with same cars
Median around 60% of max battery capacity mean is slightly lower.
Consistent per user, could vary based on early or later charging session at a specific day
Charge point volatility
Mean low (1-5) for absolute volatility, individual users could deviate
Very low (1-3) absolute volatility
Medium (around 10), except for home charging between shifts
High over all users, medium (around 8) per user
High > 80 charging points used, absolute volatility and relative volatility high as well
Medium (around 10)
Time Ratio
Low, consistent around 20-30%
Medium, per user consistent around 20-30%
High on the short sessions medium on the longer sessions (around 40%)
Low, inconsistent around 20-30%
high, many times 100% mean around 40%
Low, inconsistent around 20-30%
C,L,kWhMedium (~0.5), varies per user
Low to none (0 to 0.2), varies per user
Medium (~0.5), depending on starting time
Low to none, varies per user
High (~0.8), for all users Medium to high (0.5 to 0.8)
C,S,TR
High correlation between, later arrival tends to result in higher time ratio
High correlation between, later arrival tends to result in higher time ratio
Low for all users Low for all users Low for all users Low, due to the combination of both patterns
Pattern type
Valley hill Multiple saw teeth Flatt with possible peaks Valley at daytimes when driving flat at night
Flat pattern with two small valleys for travel time
Some typical examples of connection profiles
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 230.002.004.006.008.00
10.0012.0014.0016.0018.00
Office charger**
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 220.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00Car sharing car
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011121314151617181920212223240.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00Early night charger
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011121314151617181920212223240.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00 Late night charger
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011121314151617181920212223240.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00 Visitor*
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 2202468
101214161820
Taxi
From J. Helmus, R. van den Hoed ( 2015)
Plots display percentage of total hours connected at specific hour (1-24) - total 100%
Typical charging point connection profiles
Profiel AJ Ernststraat 2014
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 230
20
40
60
80
100
120
Hours of the day
Conn
ectio
n in
hou
rs
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 230
20
40
60
80
100
120
Hours of the day
Profiel Abbenesstraat
Plots display total connection hours per hour (1-24) on a single charging point
Connection profiles for charging points are a portfolio of charging sessions of users at a charging station.
Let’s take a short look at the (smart) grid
Time Ratio is a leading factor for V2X applicationsThe time ratio is defined as the charge time divided by the connection time
Power delivery
Net Charging
PV charging
Net Charging
Power deliveryLow time rato
High time ratio
Slack
Note:1. Sessions with time ratio <<100% are best usable for V2X applications2. Sessions with time ratio of 100% are not useful for V2X, these mostly occur at car sharing sessionIn Amsterdam the non-smart charging
points directly start charging after connection3. Slack exists only after charging is finished while connection remains4. To identify max battery capacity the data requires 1 time ratio 100% session and 1 << 100% session
No slack for power delivery/ postponing or slower charging, low V2X potential
Slack for other charging modalities, thus high V2X potential
J. Helmus, V2X congres Amsterdam (2015)
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 900
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
kWh charged
Tim
e Ra
tio
Note: for this graph a subset of the data was used since not all charging times are present in the data
Predictive V2X technology based on charging behavior reveals sweet spots for different applicationsThe dispersion in the graph is indicative for the predictability of the time ratio.
Time ratio versus kWh charged for Amsterdam
Potential sweet spot for peak shaving
Potential sweet spot for power delivery
High
v2x
po
tenti
alLo
w v
2x
pote
ntial
Source: CHIEF database
Sweet spots in the Amsterdam Area can be found using complex algorithms
Currently available data• The avg kWh charged per session to per area per user• The potential left kWh at start of charging per • The Time ratio in combintion with Clustered user types with same high v2X
potential
Curently not available data• The available PV cells per m2 per household to be connected to the V2x solution
needs to be substantial• The hourly used kWh of households within a selected area gathered by the smart
metering systems
And of courseThe local grid must allow V2X technology to be implemented
In order to be a sweet spot for V2X the following requirements should be fulfilled
Note: Of course we are more than willing to collaborate with data providers in European projects
The avg kWh charged per session per user on a charging point reveals several potential V2x clusters
Map of Amsterdam with avg kWh per user
Source: CHIEF database
Future research for future solutions- A way of digging the
goldmine together
• How can future charging behavior and its impact on the public charging infrastructure be simulated based on historical user profiles of Tesla owners?
• Can we develop a model that is able to project the use of charging infrastructure by car sharing programs on other cities based on typical user behavior and local circumstances?
• What could be the effect of smart charging in metropolitan areas such as Amsterdam for different stakeholders within the value chain of electric mobility?
ANY QUESTIONS