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Cost Challenges In Construction Industry
Demand Side Challenges : Recession & Falling Demand
Supply Side Challenges : Increasing Cost Of Resources
Increase In Construction Cost In India
Managing Construction Cost Is Critical For Project Success And Company Profitability
Pareto's Principle - The 80-20 Ruleroughly 80% of the cost management come from effective control of 20% of the causes.
Costs Components Approx %**
Pre-acquisition costs All costs incurred for aquiring land 10-15
Construction Development and construction costs 40-45Amenities cost 10-15
Administrative & other
Site administration 8-10Marketing & sales 5-8
Insurance, taxes & regulatory charges 7-10Allocation of capitalized costs 5-10
**Based on our survey with few builders in Pune for joint venture projects with land owners
Costing & Quantity SurveySurveyor plays a critical role in real estate construction project management by supporting project manager for all commercial activities as follows:
Cost planning Cost estimating Cost control & monitoring budget Contracts negotiation Procurement advice Preparing bill of quantities (BOQ) Preparation of payment invoice and certification. Assessment of variations Contract dispute resolution Valuation for insurance purposes
Surveyor also helps project manager for preparing feasibility studies, risk management , investment appraisal and auditing
Project cost management includes the processes involved in planning, estimating, budgeting, financing, funding, managing and controlling costs so that the project can be completed within the approved budget.
Project Cost Management
Group 7. Project Cost Management
Initiating
Planning
7.1 Plan Cost Management
7.2 Estimate Costs
7.3 Determine Budget
Executing
M&C 7.4 Control Costs
Closing
It is the process that establishes the policies, procedures and documentation for planning, managing, expending and controlling project costs
7.1 Plan Cost Management
Fixed Cost Vs Variable Cost Total Cost = Fixed Cost + Unit Cost X Units Used
Direct Costs Vs Indirect Costs
Plan Cost Management
Cost Management Plan : Also includes
Rules for performance measurement
Organizational procedures links : The WBS component used for the project cost accounting is called control account.
Control Thresholds : Variance thresholds for monitoring cost performance to indicate an agreed-upon amount of variation to be allowed before some action needs to be taken. Typically expressed as percentage deviations from the baseline plan
Cost estimating involves developing an estimate of the costs of all resources needed to complete the project.
The accuracy of estimates tends to improve as a project moves though its life cycle.
7.2 Estimate Costs
Order of magnitude estimates: “Ballpark” estimates without detailed data, done at the feasibility stage for selecting right construction project. The range of accuracy is given as -25 to +75% and would be used for initiating or project approval.
Budget estimates: Based on slightly better data and used to establish initial funding during the early stages of planning. This budget is used for alternative resource analysis and getting funding approval for the project. The range of accuracy is given as -10 to +25%.
Definitive estimates: A bottom-up estimate using estimates of WBS work packages This estimate would be done in the latter stages of planning and be used to establish a cost baseline and monitor spending. It is progressively elaborated. Range of accuracy is -5 to +10%.
7.2 Estimate Costs
7.2 Estimate Costs
Inputs
1. Cost Management Plan2. Scope Baseline3. Project Schedule4. Risk Register
5. Human Resource Management Plan
6. EEFs7. OPAs
T & T
1. Expert Judgment2. Analogous estimating3. Parametric estimating4. Bottom-up estimating5. Three-point estimating
6. Reserve Analysis7. Cost of Quality8. Vendor bid Analysis9. Group decision making
techniques
Outputs1. Activity cost Estimates2. Basis of Estimates3. Project Documents Updates
Reserve Analysis Applied to the base cost to account for uncertainties in quantities,unit costs work elements or other project requirements duringconstruction. requirements for an activity or work item. Contingency Reserve
It used to manage identified risks It is estimated based on decision tree method or Expected
Monitory Value (EMV) The project manager has authority to use
Management Reserve It is used to manage unidentified risks It is calculated as a percentage of the cost, or time of project Management approval is required to use management
reserveThe use of either type of reserve is intended to reduce the chance of a cost overrun
Determine Budget
For Small construction projects use Small internal workshops using the Pre-defined Excel workbook
For mid size project use Cost Risk Assessment (CRA) workshops typically held internally
For large projects / programs / portfolio use Cost Estimating and Validation Process (CEVP) workshops which includes external subject matter experts
Cost budgeting involves aggregating cost estimates for all individual activities or work packages so that a cost baseline can be established for measuring performance.
The baseline includes authorized budgets and contingency reserves, but excludes management reserves.
7.3 Determine Budget
Challenges For Budgeting In Construction Industry
Budget / costing need to be decided at very early stage of the project life cycle with very little room to change latter.
The compilation and uncertainty of project may result in poor budget reliability
Working drawing at initial stage might result in unpractical budget
It is difficult to control costs especially for contracts and external workers if basic construction procedures are followed
The financing structure is unreasonable if it depends on one financing channel too much which contributes to the rise of costs
Most builders do not have relevant systems and processes in place
Cost Aggregation
Cost estimates at lower level are aggregated or “rolled up” at higher levels (including control accounts) and then finally for the entire project.
Outputs Cost Baseline : The approved version of the time-phased project
budget excluding management reserves. The management reserves plus the cost baseline give the project budget.
The baseline is often displayed in the form of an S-curve. Large projects may have multiple cost baselines.
Determine Budget
Effective cost control requires management of the approved cost performance baseline (often simply called the cost baseline or approved budget) and any changes to that baseline.
7.4 Control Costs
Tools &
Technique
1. Earned Value Management2. Forecasting (EAC)3. To-complete Performance index (TCPI)4. Performance Reviews5. Performance Management software6. Reserve Analysis
Outputs1. Change requests2. Project Management Plan Updates3. Work Performance Information
Earned Value Management
Term Definition & Equation
Planned Value (PV)
Also called Budgeted cost of work scheduled (BCWS)PV or BCWS = Hourly rate * Total hour planned or scheduled
Earned value (EV)
Also called budgeted cost of work performed (BCWP)EV or BCWP = sum of the planned value of work completed or Baseline cost * % completed actual
Actual cost (AC)
Also called actual cost of work performed (ACWP)AC or ACWP = Sum of all costs actually incurred for the work completed by the specified date
Term Definition & Equation
(BAC) Budget At Completion- The value of total planned
work, the project cost baseline
Cost
varianc
e (CV)
CV = EV – AC
+Ve = under planned cost, Neutral = on planned cost,
-Ve = over planned cost
Schedu
le
varianc
e(SV)
SV = EV – PV
Positive = ahead of schedule, Neutral = On schedule,
Negative = Behind schedule
Varianc
e at
comple
tion
(VAC)
VAC = BAC – EAC
Positive = Under the planned cost, Neutral = On
planned cost, Negative = Over planned cost
Term Definition & Equation
CPI CPI = EV / AC
Greater than 1 – under planned cost, exactly 1 – on
planned cost, less than 1 – over planned cost
SPI SPI = EV / PV
1< ahead of schedule, exactly 1 – on schedule, 1>
behind schedule
Estimate
at
completi
on (EAC)
1. If the CPI is expected to be the same for the
reminder of the project, EAC can be calculated
using EAC = BAC / CPI
2. If the future work will be accomplished at planned
rate, use EAC = AC + (BAC – EV)
3. If initial plan is no longer valid , use EAC = AC +
Bottom-up ETC
4. If both the CPI and SPI influence the remaining
work , use EAC = AC + [(BAC-EV) / (CPI*SPI)]
Term Definition & Equation
Estimate
to
complete
(ETC)
ETC = EAC – AC
To
complete
performa
nce
index
(TCPI)
1. The efficiency that must be maintained in order to
complete on plan TCPI = (BAC-EV) / (BAC-AC)
2. The efficiency that must be maintained in order to
complete at current EAC TCPI = (BAC-EV) / (EAC-
AC)
Greater than 1 – Harder to complete, Exactly 1 –
Same to complete, Lesser than 1 – Easier to
complete